Tigres UANL vs Atlante FC Prediction

Liga MX · Apertura - 5

Post on X

Atlante FC

Away

AI call Difficult Tigres UANL win or draw

55%

27%

18%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Tigres UANL vs Atlante FC prediction: Sportiko gives Tigres UANL a 55% chance of winning, Atlante FC 18% and the draw 27%. Last updated 22 Aug 2026, 03:04.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
1st Half Draw or Away 76%

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Timeline

▮ 29'

Luis Calzadilla Yellow Card

▮ 36'

Luis Calzadilla Yellow Card

▮ 36'

Luis Calzadilla Red Card

⇄ 41'

⇄ Armando Escobar

HT 0–0

⇄ 58'

Walter Clar ⇄ Martín Sarrafiore

Vladimir Loroña ⇄ Isac Galván

69' ⇄

✗ 72'

Luis Puente Missed Penalty

Rafael Guerrero ⇄ Joaquim

77' ⇄

Rodrigo Aguirre assist: Juan Brunetta

79' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 82'

Luis Puente ⇄ Joaquin Moxica

⇄ 82'

Jhojan Julio

⇄ 82'

Nicolas Carrera ⇄ Cristobal Alfaro

Juan Brunetta assist: Isac Galván

90' ⚽ 2–0

Diego Lainez ⇄ Mauro Laínez

90+6' ⇄

FT 2–0

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Tigres UANL win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 15%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Tigres UANL

LDDDW

Atlante FC

WDLDD

Match summary

Tigres UANL enters this match against Atlante FC with a solid home record, having won 70% of their last five home games in Liga MX. They boast a strong attacking lineup, led by key forwards who contribute significantly to their goal tally. Atlante FC, while showing resilience, has struggled on the road, securing only two wins in their last five away matches. With Tigres' potent offense and home performance, they are favored to secure a victory against a less consistent Atlante side. The match promises to be crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their standings in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

55%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

18%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atlante FC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	9	6	2	1
1	11	15	7	3	1
2	7	8	4	2
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Tigres UANL goals · most likely 1–1 (15.0%)

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Players in form

Tigres UANL

R. Aguirre 3 gls

Atlante FC

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

27%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

27%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

54% Home (No Draw) 46% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 31% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.1%	9.5%	6.0%	2.2%	0.6%
1	10.6%	15.0%	7.2%	2.6%	0.7%
2	7.3%	7.9%	4.3%	1.5%	0.4%
3	2.9%	3.1%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.9%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

46%

34%

15%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

55%

1.5

45%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Tigres UANL	Draw	Atlante FC
Tigres UANL	18.5%	4.0%	1.7%
Draw	17.3%	21.9%	15.1%
Atlante FC	1.9%	4.0%	15.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Tigres UANL vs Atlante FC

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Tigres UANL — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A FC Juarez	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Monterrey	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Necaxa	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Santos Laguna	D	0 - 0
22 Aug	H Atlante FC	W	2 - 0

Atlante FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
26 Sep	H Monterrey	W	4 - 2
19 Sep	A Puebla	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H CF Pachuca	L	0 - 3
06 Sep	A Atlas	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Leon	D	1 - 1

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.