CF Pachuca vs Puebla Prediction

Liga MX · Apertura - 4

18 Aug 2026, 03:00

Post on X

Puebla

Away

AI call CF Pachuca or draw

42%

32%

26%

Home Win · 1.39 Draw · 4.60 Away Win · 8.25

CF Pachuca vs Puebla prediction: Sportiko gives CF Pachuca a 42% chance of winning, Puebla 26% and the draw 32%. Last updated 4 Aug 2026, 06:06.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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CF Pachuca

LLLLW

Puebla

LDLWL

Last 2 meetings CF Pachuca · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, CF Pachuca will face Puebla. Both teams have shown contrasting form; Pachuca has a solid home record, winning 70% of their matches at home last season, while Puebla struggled on the road, securing only 30% of their away games. Key players to watch include Pachuca's striker, who scored 15 goals last season, and Puebla's playmaker, who provided 10 assists. The match will be crucial for both teams as they aim to secure points early in the season. Expect a tactical battle with Pachuca likely to dominate possession.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Puebla goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	9	5	2
1	12	15	6	2
2	9	8	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ CF Pachuca goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Players in form

CF Pachuca

S. Rondón 3 gls

E. Montiel 1 gls

Puebla

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

32%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

32%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

62% Home (No Draw) 38% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.6%	8.5%	4.8%	1.5%	0.4%
1	12.2%	14.8%	6.2%	1.9%	0.5%
2	8.9%	8.4%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%
3	3.8%	3.6%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.2%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	CF Pachuca	Draw	Puebla
CF Pachuca	25.6%	4.2%	1.3%
Draw	16.4%	21.4%	10.8%
Puebla	1.8%	4.1%	14.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: CF Pachuca vs Puebla

1 CF Pachuca Wins

1 Draws

0 Puebla Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Mar 2026	CF Pachuca	2 - 1	Puebla
23 Sep 2025	Puebla	2 - 2	CF Pachuca

CF Pachuca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	A Columbus Crew	L	2 - 1
04 Aug	A FC Cincinnati	L	3 - 1
02 Aug	A Leon	L	1 - 0
27 Jul	H Club Queretaro	L	1 - 2
18 Jul	A U.N.A.M. - Pumas	W	0 - 3

Puebla — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	A Portland Timbers	L	5 - 2
01 Aug	H Guadalajara Chivas	D	1 - 1
22 Jul	A Cruz Azul	L	2 - 1
18 Jul	A FC Juarez	W	0 - 1
25 Apr	H Club Queretaro	L	1 - 2

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Club America	3	2	1	0	5	1	+4	7
2	Club Tijuana	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
3	Toluca	3	2	0	1	6	3	+3	6
4	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	3	2	0	1	7	5	+2	6
5	Monterrey	3	2	0	1	6	4	+2	6
6	Cruz Azul	3	2	0	1	7	6	+1	6
7	Club Queretaro	3	2	0	1	5	4	+1	6
8	Necaxa	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
9	Atlas	3	2	0	1	4	4	0	6
10	Atlante FC	3	1	1	1	5	5	0	4
11	Puebla	3	1	1	1	3	3	0	4
12	Guadalajara Chivas	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
13	CF Pachuca	3	1	0	2	4	3	+1	3
14	Leon	3	1	0	2	3	4	-1	3
15	Atletico San Luis	3	0	2	1	4	5	-1	2
16	Tigres UANL	3	0	1	2	5	8	-3	1
17	Santos Laguna	3	0	0	3	2	7	-5	0
18	FC Juarez	3	0	0	3	1	7	-6	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.