Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 22

20 Mar 2027, 04:00

Post on X

Macarthur

Away

AI call Wellington Phoenix or draw

49%

28%

23%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur prediction: Sportiko gives Wellington Phoenix a 49% chance of winning, Macarthur 23% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Wellington Phoenix

LWLDW

Macarthur

WWWLW

Last 2 meetings Wellington Phoenix · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

Wellington Phoenix will face Macarthur in a crucial A-League matchup. Wellington has shown resilience at home, with key players contributing significantly to their goal tally. Macarthur, while competitive, struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. The outcome may hinge on Wellington's ability to exploit these defensive vulnerabilities and maintain their attacking momentum. With both teams vying for playoff positions, this match promises to be tightly contested.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Macarthur goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	6	4	1
1	10	13	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Wellington Phoenix goals · most likely 1–1 (13.3%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

28%

Away Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

28%

Away Win

23%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

68% Home (No Draw) 32% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	5.6%	3.8%	1.3%	0.4%
1	9.5%	13.3%	6.2%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.1%	9.7%	5.1%	1.8%	0.5%
3	5.0%	5.3%	2.8%	1.0%	0.3%
4	2.1%	2.2%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix	30.7%	4.2%	1.4%
Draw	17.5%	17.1%	9.1%
Macarthur	2.5%	4.3%	13.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur

0 Wellington Phoenix Wins

0 Draws

2 Macarthur Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Apr 2026	Macarthur	4 - 0	Wellington Phoenix
22 Nov 2025	Wellington Phoenix	0 - 1	Macarthur

Wellington Phoenix — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Apr	A Macarthur	L	4 - 0
18 Apr	H Western Sydney Wanderers	W	2 - 1
12 Apr	A Melbourne City	L	1 - 0
05 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	0 - 0
21 Mar	A Brisbane Roar	W	1 - 2

Macarthur — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Jul	A Uni Azzurri	W	0 - 3
24 Apr	H Wellington Phoenix	W	4 - 0
19 Apr	A Adelaide United	W	0 - 1
12 Apr	A Perth Glory	L	3 - 1
02 Apr	H Newcastle Jets	W	3 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.