Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 21

14 Mar 2027, 08:00

Post on X

Melbourne Victory

Away

HBF Park, Perth

AI call Difficult Perth Glory win or draw

54%

26%

20%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory prediction: Sportiko gives Perth Glory a 54% chance of winning, Melbourne Victory 20% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.7%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Perth Glory

DWDWD

Melbourne Victory

DWDWW

Last 2 meetings Perth Glory · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Perth Glory will face Melbourne Victory. Perth has shown a strong attacking presence, averaging 1.5 goals per match this season, while Melbourne's defense has conceded 1.4 goals per match. Both teams have struggled with consistency, but Perth's home form has been slightly better, allowing them to capitalize on opportunities. Key players to watch include Perth's leading scorer, who has netted 8 goals this season, and Melbourne's playmaker, who leads the team in assists. This match could be pivotal for both teams in their pursuit of playoff positions.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Melbourne Victory goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	5	3	1
1	10	13	6	2
2	10	10	5	2
3	6	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Perth Glory goals · most likely 1–1 (12.7%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

26%

Away Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

26%

Away Win

20%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

73% Home (No Draw) 27% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 20% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	4.9%	3.1%	1.0%	0.3%
1	9.9%	12.7%	5.6%	1.8%	0.5%
2	10.0%	9.9%	4.9%	1.6%	0.4%
3	5.9%	5.9%	2.9%	1.0%	0.2%
4	2.6%	2.6%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Perth Glory	Draw	Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory	34.4%	4.1%	1.3%
Draw	18.4%	16.3%	8.0%
Melbourne Victory	2.5%	4.0%	11.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory

0 Perth Glory Wins

0 Draws

2 Melbourne Victory Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
02 Jan 2026	Melbourne Victory	3 - 2	Perth Glory
31 Oct 2025	Perth Glory	0 - 2	Melbourne Victory

Perth Glory — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Jul	A Lions	D	1 - 1
25 Apr	H Brisbane Roar	W	2 - 1
18 Apr	A Sydney	D	0 - 0
12 Apr	H Macarthur	W	3 - 1
04 Apr	A Central Coast Mariners	D	0 - 0

Melbourne Victory — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Viettel	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	A Sydney	W	0 - 2
08 Aug	A Western Sydney Wanderers	D	1 - 1
26 Jul	A Kingborough Lions	W	0 - 4
25 Apr	A Western Sydney Wanderers	W	0 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.