Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 21

13 Mar 2027, 06:00

Post on X

Wellington Phoenix

Away

AI call Central Coast Mariners to win or draw

68%

24%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix prediction: Sportiko gives Central Coast Mariners a 68% chance of winning, Wellington Phoenix 8% and the draw 24%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 18.6%

Both teams to score

30%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Central Coast Mariners

DLWDL

Wellington Phoenix

LWLDW

Last 2 meetings Central Coast Mariners · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Central Coast Mariners will face Wellington Phoenix. The Mariners have shown strong form at home, with a record of 10 wins in their last 15 matches, while the Phoenix have struggled on the road, securing only 3 wins from their last 15 away fixtures. Key players to watch include the Mariners' leading scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Phoenix's playmaker, whose assists have been pivotal for their attacking play. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they vie for playoff positions, making it a must-watch encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Wellington Phoenix goals →

	0	1	2
0	12	4	1
1	19	10	2
2	17	8	2
3	10	4	1
4	4	2
5	2	1

↑ Central Coast Mariners goals · most likely 1–0 (18.6%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

24%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

24%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

90% Home (No Draw) 10% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

41% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

68% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

22%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.4%	3.8%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
1	18.6%	9.8%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
2	17.3%	7.6%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%
3	10.1%	4.4%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
4	4.4%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners	44.4%	2.4%	0.3%
Draw	23.5%	17.6%	3.7%
Wellington Phoenix	1.6%	2.4%	4.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

64%

28%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix

0 Central Coast Mariners Wins

1 Draws

1 Wellington Phoenix Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Dec 2025	Wellington Phoenix	3 - 1	Central Coast Mariners
02 Nov 2025	Central Coast Mariners	1 - 1	Wellington Phoenix

Central Coast Mariners — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Jul	A Sydney United	D	1 - 1
25 Apr	A Newcastle Jets	L	4 - 0
19 Apr	A Auckland	W	0 - 1
10 Apr	H Brisbane Roar	D	2 - 2
07 Apr	A Melbourne City	L	2 - 1

Wellington Phoenix — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Apr	A Macarthur	L	4 - 0
18 Apr	H Western Sydney Wanderers	W	2 - 1
12 Apr	A Melbourne City	L	1 - 0
05 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	0 - 0
21 Mar	A Brisbane Roar	W	1 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.