Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 20

06 Mar 2027, 04:00

Post on X

Sydney

Away

AI call Sydney or draw

25%

30%

45%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney prediction: Sportiko gives Wellington Phoenix a 25% chance of winning, Sydney 45% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Wellington Phoenix

LWLDW

Sydney

LWWDD

Last 2 meetings Wellington Phoenix · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League match, Wellington Phoenix will host Sydney FC. Wellington has shown a robust home record, typically scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match, while conceding 1.2. Sydney, on the other hand, has been consistent, with a slightly higher average of 1.9 goals scored per game, but they also concede an average of 1.5. The tactical battle will likely center on Wellington's defensive organization against Sydney's attacking prowess. Both teams will be keen to secure points as they push for playoff positioning.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sydney goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	11	9	4	2
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	4	6	5	2	1
3	2	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Wellington Phoenix goals · most likely 1–1 (14.2%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

45%

Draw

30%

Home Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

45%

Draw

30%

Home Win

25%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

64% Away (No Draw) 36% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 25% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.1%	10.7%	8.9%	4.3%	1.6%
1	7.0%	14.2%	9.1%	4.4%	1.6%
2	4.4%	6.4%	4.7%	2.3%	0.8%
3	1.5%	2.2%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.4%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Sydney
Wellington Phoenix	14.3%	4.3%	2.2%
Draw	10.1%	19.2%	16.8%
Sydney	1.4%	4.2%	27.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney

1 Wellington Phoenix Wins

0 Draws

1 Sydney Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Mar 2026	Wellington Phoenix	0 - 1	Sydney
18 Jan 2026	Sydney	0 - 2	Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Apr	A Macarthur	L	4 - 0
18 Apr	H Western Sydney Wanderers	W	2 - 1
12 Apr	A Melbourne City	L	1 - 0
05 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	0 - 0
21 Mar	A Brisbane Roar	W	1 - 2

Sydney — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
09 Sep	H Melbourne Victory	L	0 - 2
09 Aug	A Brisbane Roar	W	2 - 4
21 Jul	A Bayswater City	W	1 - 5
26 Apr	H Auckland	D	2 - 2
18 Apr	H Perth Glory	D	0 - 0

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.