Adelaide United vs Perth Glory Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 20

05 Mar 2027, 08:40

Post on X

Perth Glory

Away

Coopers Stadium, Adelaide

AI call Difficult Adelaide United win or draw

61%

27%

12%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Adelaide United vs Perth Glory prediction: Sportiko gives Adelaide United a 61% chance of winning, Perth Glory 12% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 16.3%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Adelaide United

LWLDD

Perth Glory

DWDWD

Last 2 meetings Adelaide United · 2W 0D 0L

Match summary

Adelaide United faces Perth Glory in a crucial A-League matchup on March 5, 2027. Adelaide has been strong at home this season, leveraging their attacking prowess, with an average of 2.1 goals per game. Conversely, Perth Glory struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per match, which could be pivotal in this clash. Both teams will look to capitalize on set pieces, as both rank in the top five for goals scored from corners. Given their recent form, Adelaide United may have the upper hand in this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

61%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

12%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Perth Glory goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	5	2
1	16	12	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	8	5	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Adelaide United goals · most likely 1–0 (16.3%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

27%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

27%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

83% Home (No Draw) 17% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

61% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

22%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.3%	5.2%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%
1	16.3%	12.0%	3.2%	0.6%	0.1%
2	14.3%	8.6%	2.6%	0.5%	0.1%
3	7.8%	4.7%	1.4%	0.3%	0.0%
4	3.1%	1.9%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Adelaide United	Draw	Perth Glory
Adelaide United	38.5%	3.1%	0.6%
Draw	21.7%	19.0%	5.6%
Perth Glory	1.8%	3.1%	6.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

55%

33%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Adelaide United vs Perth Glory

2 Adelaide United Wins

0 Draws

0 Perth Glory Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Feb 2026	Adelaide United	4 - 0	Perth Glory
20 Dec 2025	Perth Glory	0 - 1	Adelaide United

Adelaide United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
09 May	A Auckland	L	1 - 0
26 Apr	A Melbourne City	W	1 - 2
19 Apr	H Macarthur	L	0 - 1
11 Apr	A Newcastle Jets	D	1 - 1
03 Apr	H Auckland	D	1 - 1

Perth Glory — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Jul	A Lions	D	1 - 1
25 Apr	H Brisbane Roar	W	2 - 1
18 Apr	A Sydney	D	0 - 0
12 Apr	H Macarthur	W	3 - 1
04 Apr	A Central Coast Mariners	D	0 - 0

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.