Melbourne Victory vs Western Sydney Wanderers Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 17

14 Feb 2027, 06:00

Post on X

Western Sydney Wanderers

Away

AAMI Park, Melbourne

AI call Difficult Melbourne Victory win or draw

64%

24%

12%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Melbourne Victory vs Western Sydney Wanderers prediction: Sportiko gives Melbourne Victory a 64% chance of winning, Western Sydney Wanderers 12% and the draw 24%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Melbourne Victory

DWDWW

Western Sydney Wanderers

WDWLL

Last 3 meetings Melbourne Victory · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Melbourne Victory will face Western Sydney Wanderers. Both teams have shown fluctuating form, with Melbourne Victory currently maintaining a solid defensive record, conceding an average of only 1 goal per match in their last five outings. Conversely, Western Sydney has struggled with consistency, particularly away from home, averaging 1.5 goals conceded per match in similar fixtures. Key players to watch include Melbourne's forward, who has been pivotal in attack, and Western Sydney's midfield, which will need to control possession to create scoring opportunities. This match will be crucial for both teams as they vie for playoff positioning.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Western Sydney Wanderers goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	4	2
1	13	11	4	1
2	13	10	4	1
3	8	6	2	1
4	4	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Melbourne Victory goals · most likely 2–0 (13.2%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

64%

Draw

24%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

64%

Draw

24%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

84% Home (No Draw) 16% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

64% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	4.0%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%
1	12.5%	11.4%	3.7%	0.9%	0.2%
2	13.2%	9.6%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%
3	8.4%	6.1%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%
4	4.0%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory	41.6%	3.2%	0.8%
Draw	21.1%	15.5%	5.3%
Western Sydney Wanderers	2.4%	3.3%	6.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

48%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Melbourne Victory vs Western Sydney Wanderers

1 Melbourne Victory Wins

1 Draws

1 Western Sydney Wanderers Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Aug 2026	Western Sydney Wanderers	1 - 1	Melbourne Victory
25 Apr 2026	Western Sydney Wanderers	0 - 2	Melbourne Victory
10 Jan 2026	Melbourne Victory	0 - 1	Western Sydney Wanderers

Melbourne Victory — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Viettel	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	A Sydney	W	0 - 2
08 Aug	A Western Sydney Wanderers	D	1 - 1
26 Jul	A Kingborough Lions	W	0 - 4
25 Apr	A Western Sydney Wanderers	W	0 - 2

Western Sydney Wanderers — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Auckland	W	1 - 3
08 Aug	H Melbourne Victory	D	1 - 1
22 Jul	A Cooma Tigers FC	W	0 - 2
25 Apr	H Melbourne Victory	L	0 - 2
18 Apr	A Wellington Phoenix	L	2 - 1

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.