Sydney vs Melbourne City Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 16

07 Feb 2027, 06:00

Post on X

Melbourne City

Away

AI call Difficult Sydney win or draw

55%

28%

18%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Sydney vs Melbourne City prediction: Sportiko gives Sydney a 55% chance of winning, Melbourne City 18% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Sydney

LWWDD

Melbourne City

LWDLW

Last 2 meetings Sydney · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League match, Sydney faces Melbourne City, both teams showcasing strong attacking capabilities. Sydney currently averages 1.75 goals per match, while Melbourne City has a slightly higher average of 2.1 goals per match, indicating a potent offensive threat. Defensively, Sydney concedes about 1.2 goals per game, whereas Melbourne City has a slightly stronger defense, allowing 1 goal per match. The tactical battle will likely revolve around Sydney's ability to contain Melbourne City's attacking prowess, making this a crucial matchup for both teams' title aspirations.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Melbourne City goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	6	3	1
1	12	13	5	1
2	11	10	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Sydney goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

28%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

28%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

75% Home (No Draw) 25% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.9%	5.6%	3.0%	0.8%	0.2%
1	12.3%	13.1%	4.9%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.3%	9.5%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
3	6.2%	5.2%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.5%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sydney	Draw	Melbourne City
Sydney	34.4%	3.8%	1.0%
Draw	19.3%	18.0%	7.5%
Melbourne City	2.2%	3.8%	9.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sydney vs Melbourne City

0 Sydney Wins

1 Draws

1 Melbourne City Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Mar 2026	Sydney	0 - 1	Melbourne City
03 Jan 2026	Melbourne City	0 - 0	Sydney

Sydney — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
09 Sep	H Melbourne Victory	L	0 - 2
09 Aug	A Brisbane Roar	W	2 - 4
21 Jul	A Bayswater City	W	1 - 5
26 Apr	H Auckland	D	2 - 2
18 Apr	H Perth Glory	D	0 - 0

Melbourne City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Palermo	L	0 - 2
26 Jul	A Weston Bears	W	0 - 3
02 May	A Auckland	D	1 - 1
26 Apr	H Adelaide United	L	1 - 2
18 Apr	A Brisbane Roar	W	2 - 3

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.