Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 12

10 Jan 2027, 06:00

Post on X

Wellington Phoenix

Away

AAMI Park, Melbourne

AI call Melbourne City or draw

39%

31%

30%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix prediction: Sportiko gives Melbourne City a 39% chance of winning, Wellington Phoenix 30% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Melbourne City

LWDLW

Wellington Phoenix

LWLDW

Last 2 meetings Melbourne City · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Melbourne City will face Wellington Phoenix. Melbourne City has been strong offensively, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, while Wellington Phoenix has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Both teams have shown inconsistency, but Melbourne City's recent form, with 3 wins in their last 5 matches, provides them with momentum. Wellington will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on counter-attacks to secure a positive result. The match promises to be a competitive encounter, with both teams vying for crucial points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Wellington Phoenix goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	9	6	2	1
1	10	15	7	3	1
2	8	8	5	2
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Melbourne City goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

31%

Away Win

30%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

31%

Away Win

30%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 30% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.0%	8.5%	5.6%	2.1%	0.6%
1	10.2%	14.8%	7.2%	2.6%	0.7%
2	7.6%	8.4%	4.6%	1.7%	0.5%
3	3.2%	3.6%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.0%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Melbourne City	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City	23.3%	4.4%	1.6%
Draw	14.8%	20.2%	12.2%
Wellington Phoenix	1.8%	4.3%	17.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix

1 Melbourne City Wins

1 Draws

0 Wellington Phoenix Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Apr 2026	Melbourne City	1 - 0	Wellington Phoenix
30 Jan 2026	Wellington Phoenix	2 - 2	Melbourne City

Melbourne City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Palermo	L	0 - 2
26 Jul	A Weston Bears	W	0 - 3
02 May	A Auckland	D	1 - 1
26 Apr	H Adelaide United	L	1 - 2
18 Apr	A Brisbane Roar	W	2 - 3

Wellington Phoenix — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Apr	A Macarthur	L	4 - 0
18 Apr	H Western Sydney Wanderers	W	2 - 1
12 Apr	A Melbourne City	L	1 - 0
05 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	0 - 0
21 Mar	A Brisbane Roar	W	1 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.