Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 11

02 Jan 2027, 04:00

Post on X

Newcastle Jets

Away

AI call Difficult Newcastle Jets win or draw

13%

26%

61%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets prediction: Sportiko gives Wellington Phoenix a 13% chance of winning, Newcastle Jets 61% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

Premium picks

Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — the AI's sharpest picks across all 70+ markets are Premium.

72% 70%

See Premium picks

Free account

Unlock all of today's AI predictions — free

You've seen today's free previews. Create a free account for the AI call, win probabilities and confidence on every match — plus follow your teams and get the daily digest.

Already have an account? Log in

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Wellington Phoenix

LWLDW

Newcastle Jets

LWDDL

Last 2 meetings Wellington Phoenix · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Wellington Phoenix will face Newcastle Jets. Wellington has shown a solid home record, averaging 1.5 goals per game, while Newcastle has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Both teams will be keen to secure points, with Wellington looking to maintain momentum from recent performances. Key players to watch include Wellington's top scorer, who has been pivotal in their attacking plays, and Newcastle’s midfield maestro, responsible for playmaking. This match promises to be competitive as both teams aim to improve their standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

13%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

61%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Newcastle Jets goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	14	14	8	3	1
1	5	12	9	5	2	1
2	2	4	3	2	1
3		1	1
4
5

↑ Wellington Phoenix goals · most likely 0–1 (14.3%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Away Win

61%

Draw

26%

Home Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Match Result

Away Win

61%

Draw

26%

Home Win

13%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Winner

82% Away (No Draw) 18% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

35% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

61% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 13% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.5%	14.3%	13.6%	7.8%	3.4%
1	4.8%	12.0%	9.2%	5.3%	2.3%
2	2.1%	3.6%	3.1%	1.8%	0.8%
3	0.5%	0.8%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Newcastle Jets
Wellington Phoenix	7.0%	3.2%	2.0%
Draw	5.9%	17.5%	21.1%
Newcastle Jets	0.7%	3.3%	39.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

51%

34%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets

0 Wellington Phoenix Wins

0 Draws

2 Newcastle Jets Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Jan 2026	Newcastle Jets	4 - 1	Wellington Phoenix
14 Dec 2025	Wellington Phoenix	1 - 3	Newcastle Jets

Wellington Phoenix — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Apr	A Macarthur	L	4 - 0
18 Apr	H Western Sydney Wanderers	W	2 - 1
12 Apr	A Melbourne City	L	1 - 0
05 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	0 - 0
21 Mar	A Brisbane Roar	W	1 - 2

Newcastle Jets — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Jul	A Preston Lions	L	3 - 2
25 Apr	H Central Coast Mariners	W	4 - 0
17 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	2 - 2
11 Apr	H Adelaide United	D	1 - 1
02 Apr	A Macarthur	L	3 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.