Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 8

12 Dec 2026, 08:40

Post on X

Newcastle Jets

Away

AAMI Park, Melbourne

AI call Difficult Newcastle Jets win or draw

22%

27%

51%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets prediction: Sportiko gives Melbourne Victory a 22% chance of winning, Newcastle Jets 51% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Melbourne Victory

DWDWW

Newcastle Jets

LWDDL

Last 2 meetings Melbourne Victory · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Melbourne Victory will face Newcastle Jets. Both teams have shown fluctuating form, with Melbourne Victory currently averaging 1.5 goals per game and a defensive record allowing 1.2 goals per match. Newcastle Jets, on the other hand, are slightly behind in goal-scoring with 1.2 goals per game but boast a solid defensive unit, conceding only 1 goal on average. The match will be crucial for both sides as they seek valuable points to enhance their standings in the league. Expect a tightly contested match, with key players needing to step up for each side.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Newcastle Jets goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	9	9	5	2	1
1	5	13	10	6	2	1
2	4	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Melbourne Victory goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

51%

Draw

27%

Home Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

51%

Draw

27%

Home Win

22%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

70% Away (No Draw) 30% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 22% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	9.3%	9.2%	5.3%	2.3%
1	5.2%	13.0%	9.8%	5.6%	2.4%
2	3.6%	6.1%	5.2%	3.0%	1.3%
3	1.3%	2.2%	1.8%	1.1%	0.5%
4	0.3%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Melbourne Victory	Draw	Newcastle Jets
Melbourne Victory	12.6%	4.3%	2.6%
Draw	8.7%	16.6%	17.7%
Newcastle Jets	1.4%	4.2%	31.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets

0 Melbourne Victory Wins

1 Draws

1 Newcastle Jets Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Apr 2026	Melbourne Victory	2 - 2	Newcastle Jets
24 Oct 2025	Newcastle Jets	5 - 2	Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Viettel	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	A Sydney	W	0 - 2
08 Aug	A Western Sydney Wanderers	D	1 - 1
26 Jul	A Kingborough Lions	W	0 - 4
25 Apr	A Western Sydney Wanderers	W	0 - 2

Newcastle Jets — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Jul	A Preston Lions	L	3 - 2
25 Apr	H Central Coast Mariners	W	4 - 0
17 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	2 - 2
11 Apr	H Adelaide United	D	1 - 1
02 Apr	A Macarthur	L	3 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.