Perth Glory vs Melbourne City Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 8

11 Dec 2026, 10:45

Post on X

Melbourne City

Away

HBF Park, Perth

AI call Difficult Perth Glory win or draw

64%

25%

11%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Perth Glory vs Melbourne City prediction: Sportiko gives Perth Glory a 64% chance of winning, Melbourne City 11% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Perth Glory

DWDWD

Melbourne City

LWDLW

Last 3 meetings Perth Glory · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Perth Glory will face Melbourne City in an A-League clash on December 11, 2026. Historically, Melbourne City has been strong offensively, boasting a high goals-per-game ratio, while Perth Glory has shown inconsistency in defense, often conceding multiple goals. Key players to watch include Melbourne City's attacking threats and Perth's ability to rebound from defensive lapses. This match will be critical for both teams as they vie for positioning in the league standings, making for an intriguing encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Melbourne City goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	4	2
1	14	11	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	9	6	2
4	4	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Perth Glory goals · most likely 1–0 (14.4%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

64%

Draw

25%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

64%

Draw

25%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

85% Home (No Draw) 15% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

64% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	4.2%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
1	14.4%	11.4%	3.2%	0.7%	0.1%
2	14.3%	9.2%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%
3	8.7%	5.6%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
4	4.0%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Perth Glory	Draw	Melbourne City
Perth Glory	41.7%	3.0%	0.6%
Draw	21.8%	16.6%	5.0%
Melbourne City	2.1%	3.1%	6.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

53%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Perth Glory vs Melbourne City

1 Perth Glory Wins

1 Draws

1 Melbourne City Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Mar 2026	Perth Glory	1 - 1	Melbourne City
28 Dec 2025	Melbourne City	1 - 3	Perth Glory
25 Oct 2025	Melbourne City	4 - 0	Perth Glory

Perth Glory — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Jul	A Lions	D	1 - 1
25 Apr	H Brisbane Roar	W	2 - 1
18 Apr	A Sydney	D	0 - 0
12 Apr	H Macarthur	W	3 - 1
04 Apr	A Central Coast Mariners	D	0 - 0

Melbourne City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Palermo	L	0 - 2
26 Jul	A Weston Bears	W	0 - 3
02 May	A Auckland	D	1 - 1
26 Apr	H Adelaide United	L	1 - 2
18 Apr	A Brisbane Roar	W	2 - 3

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.