Adelaide United vs Macarthur Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 8

11 Dec 2026, 08:40

Post on X

Macarthur

Away

Coopers Stadium, Adelaide

AI call Difficult Adelaide United win or draw

62%

25%

13%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Adelaide United vs Macarthur prediction: Sportiko gives Adelaide United a 62% chance of winning, Macarthur 13% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 12.8%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Adelaide United

LWLDD

Macarthur

WWWLW

Last 3 meetings Adelaide United · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Adelaide United faces Macarthur in a crucial A-League clash. Adelaide has shown strong form at home, leveraging their offensive prowess, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season. Macarthur, however, has been resilient, particularly in defense, conceding an average of 1.2 goals away. Both teams will need to capitalize on set pieces, with Adelaide ranking high in corners won. The matchup promises a tactical battle, with midfield control likely to be pivotal for both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Macarthur goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	4	2	1
1	12	12	4	1
2	13	10	4	1
3	8	6	2	1
4	4	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Adelaide United goals · most likely 2–0 (12.8%)

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

25%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

49%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

25%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

82% Home (No Draw) 18% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

38% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

62% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 13% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

49%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	4.2%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
1	12.3%	11.7%	3.9%	1.0%	0.2%
2	12.8%	9.7%	3.7%	0.9%	0.2%
3	8.0%	6.1%	2.3%	0.6%	0.1%
4	3.8%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Adelaide United	Draw	Macarthur
Adelaide United	40.7%	3.4%	0.8%
Draw	20.7%	15.8%	5.7%
Macarthur	2.3%	3.4%	7.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

47%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Adelaide United vs Macarthur

0 Adelaide United Wins

1 Draws

2 Macarthur Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Apr 2026	Adelaide United	0 - 1	Macarthur
30 Jan 2026	Adelaide United	1 - 1	Macarthur
27 Oct 2025	Macarthur	2 - 1	Adelaide United

Adelaide United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
09 May	A Auckland	L	1 - 0
26 Apr	A Melbourne City	W	1 - 2
19 Apr	H Macarthur	L	0 - 1
11 Apr	A Newcastle Jets	D	1 - 1
03 Apr	H Auckland	D	1 - 1

Macarthur — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Jul	A Uni Azzurri	W	0 - 3
24 Apr	H Wellington Phoenix	W	4 - 0
19 Apr	A Adelaide United	W	0 - 1
12 Apr	A Perth Glory	L	3 - 1
02 Apr	H Newcastle Jets	W	3 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.