Auckland vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 5

21 Nov 2026, 04:00

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Melbourne Victory

Away

AI call Difficult Melbourne Victory win or draw

15%

26%

59%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Auckland vs Melbourne Victory prediction: Sportiko gives Auckland a 15% chance of winning, Melbourne Victory 59% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 12.4%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Auckland

LLLWD

Melbourne Victory

DWDWW

Last 2 meetings Auckland · 0W 2D 0L

Match summary

Auckland faces Melbourne Victory in an intriguing A-League clash. Auckland currently sits mid-table, showcasing a balanced attack with an average of 1.5 goals per game, while their defense allows approximately 1.3 goals per match. Conversely, Melbourne Victory has struggled for consistency, averaging 1.2 goals per game and conceding around 1.5. Key players to watch include Auckland's leading scorer, who has netted 6 goals this season, and Melbourne's playmaker, who leads in assists. The match promises to be competitive, with both teams vying for crucial points to bolster their playoff ambitions.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

15%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

59%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Melbourne Victory goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	12	12	7	3	1
1	5	12	10	6	3	1
2	2	4	4	2	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Auckland goals · most likely 0–1 (12.4%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

59%

Draw

26%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

59%

Draw

26%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

80% Away (No Draw) 20% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 15% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.2%	12.4%	12.2%	7.2%	3.2%
1	4.8%	12.3%	9.7%	5.7%	2.5%
2	2.4%	4.3%	3.8%	2.3%	1.0%
3	0.6%	1.1%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Auckland	Draw	Melbourne Victory
Auckland	8.4%	3.6%	2.3%
Draw	6.4%	16.8%	20.2%
Melbourne Victory	0.9%	3.5%	37.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

45%

36%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Auckland vs Melbourne Victory

0 Auckland Wins

2 Draws

0 Melbourne Victory Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Apr 2026	Auckland	1 - 1	Melbourne Victory
18 Oct 2025	Melbourne Victory	0 - 0	Auckland

Auckland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Western Sydney Wanderers	L	1 - 3
26 Aug	A Al-Ahli Jeddah	L	1 - 0
26 Jul	H Tottenham	L	0 - 2
09 May	H Adelaide United	W	1 - 0
02 May	H Melbourne City	D	1 - 1

Melbourne Victory — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Viettel	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	A Sydney	W	0 - 2
08 Aug	A Western Sydney Wanderers	D	1 - 1
26 Jul	A Kingborough Lions	W	0 - 4
25 Apr	A Western Sydney Wanderers	W	0 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.