Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 4

08 Nov 2026, 06:00

Post on X

Melbourne Victory

Away

Coopers Stadium, Adelaide

AI call Adelaide United to win or draw

68%

23%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory prediction: Sportiko gives Adelaide United a 68% chance of winning, Melbourne Victory 9% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 15.5%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Adelaide United

LWLDD

Melbourne Victory

DWDWW

Last 3 meetings Adelaide United · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Adelaide United will face Melbourne Victory in a crucial A-League matchup on November 8, 2026. Both teams have shown fluctuating form, but Adelaide has been more consistent in recent outings, boasting a strong home record. Key players to watch include Adelaide's attacking midfielder, who has contributed significantly to their goal tally, and Melbourne's striker, known for his pace and finishing ability. The match is expected to be competitive, with both teams aiming for valuable points to boost their standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Melbourne Victory goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	4	1
1	15	10	3
2	16	9	3
3	10	6	2
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Adelaide United goals · most likely 2–0 (15.5%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

23%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

23%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

88% Home (No Draw) 12% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

68% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 9% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.4%	3.5%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%
1	14.8%	10.3%	2.6%	0.5%	0.1%
2	15.5%	8.9%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%
3	10.0%	5.7%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%
4	4.9%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Adelaide United	Draw	Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United	45.2%	2.7%	0.5%
Draw	22.7%	15.3%	4.0%
Melbourne Victory	2.1%	2.8%	4.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

57%

32%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory

1 Adelaide United Wins

1 Draws

1 Melbourne Victory Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Feb 2026	Melbourne Victory	1 - 1	Adelaide United
17 Jan 2026	Adelaide United	2 - 1	Melbourne Victory
13 Dec 2025	Melbourne Victory	2 - 1	Adelaide United

Adelaide United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
09 May	A Auckland	L	1 - 0
26 Apr	A Melbourne City	W	1 - 2
19 Apr	H Macarthur	L	0 - 1
11 Apr	A Newcastle Jets	D	1 - 1
03 Apr	H Auckland	D	1 - 1

Melbourne Victory — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Viettel	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	A Sydney	W	0 - 2
08 Aug	A Western Sydney Wanderers	D	1 - 1
26 Jul	A Kingborough Lions	W	0 - 4
25 Apr	A Western Sydney Wanderers	W	0 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.