Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers Prediction

A-League A-League · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
AAMI Park, Melbourne
AI call Melbourne City or draw
43%
28%
29%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers prediction: Sportiko gives Melbourne City a 43% chance of winning, Western Sydney Wanderers 29% and the draw 28%. Last updated 7 Nov 2026, 10:42.

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  • Away to Score 73%
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Timeline

Matheus Rossetto
4' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 45'
Nicolas Milanović assist: Dylan Scicluna
HT 1–1
▮ 49'
Miguel Di Pizio Yellow Card
Aziz Behich Yellow Card
50' ▮
Matheus Rossetto ⇄ Mathew Leckie
56' ⇄
Andrew Nabbout assist: Julio Cascante
62' ⚽ 2–1
Awer Mabil Red Card
65' ▮
Kavian Rahmani ⇄ Besian Kutleshi
67' ⇄
⇄ 73'
Dylan Scicluna ⇄ Atiya Waraga
Andrew Nabbout ⇄ Quinn MacNicol
73' ⇄
Medin Memeti ⇄ Liam Bonetig
73' ⇄
Emiliano Marcondes ⇄ Takeshi Kanamori
73' ⇄
⇄ 83'
Miguel Di Pizio ⇄ Aydan Hammond
⇄ 83'
Liam Gillion ⇄ Hiroshi Ibusuki
Mathew Leckie Yellow Card
86' ▮
🖵 90+1'
Nicolas Milanović Goal Disallowed - offside
Julio Cascante Yellow Card
90+4' ▮
FT 2–1
Melbourne City

Match Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers
32% Ball Possession 68%
Expected Goals (xG)
9 Total Shots 27
4 Shots on Goal 10
5 Shots off Goal 5
0 Blocked Shots 12
5 Shots insidebox 12
4 Shots outsidebox 15
3 Corner Kicks 12
0 Offsides 1
17 Fouls 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 0
8 Goalkeeper Saves 2
274 Total passes 589
188 Passes accurate 506
69% Passes % 86%
goals_prevented
Melbourne City
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
40 James Nieuwenhuizen G 7.9 91' – – – 25 (11%) –
15 Andrew Nabbout F 7.9 73' 1 – 2 15 (6%) –
16 Aziz Behich D 7.3 91' – – 1 25 (18%) 5
24 Kavian Rahmani M 7.2 67' – – 2 26 (21%) 5
18 Julio Cascante D 7.2 91' – 1 1 25 (18%) 1
5 Matheus Rossetto M 7.2 56' 1 – 2 25 (20%) 2
7 Mathew Leckie F 7.0 35' – – – 10 (7%) 3
77 Takeshi Kanamori F 7.0 18' – – – 5 (1%) 1
2 Harrison Delbridge D 6.7 91' – – – 17 (13%) –
14 Besian Kutleshi D 6.6 24' – – – 1 (1%) 1
4 Liam Bonetig D 6.6 18' – – – – 2
13 Nathaniel Atkinson D 6.5 91' – – – 33 (24%) 2
19 Quinn MacNicol M 6.5 18' – – – 3 (3%) –
10 Emiliano Marcondes M 6.3 73' – – – 28 (23%) 6
23 Medin Memeti M 6.3 73' – – – 9 (3%) 2
11 Awer Mabil M 6.2 65' – – 1 27 (19%) 1
Western Sydney Wanderers
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
21 Liam Gillion M 8.3 83' – – – 35 (28%) 2
8 Dylan Scicluna M 7.5 73' – 1 2 51 (47%) 1
14 Nicolas Milanović M 7.3 91' 2 – 6 45 (34%) 3
32 Angus Thurgate M 7.2 91' – – 1 75 (67%) 7
24 Nathan Barrie D 7.2 91' – – – 74 (64%) 1
33 Germán Ferreyra D 7.0 91' – – – 87 (82%) 1
17 Jarrod Carluccio D 6.5 91' – – – 74 (65%) 3
9 Hiroshi Ibusuki F 6.5 8' – – – – –
20 Lawrence Thomas G 6.3 91' – – – 28 (23%) –
26 Brandon Borrello F 6.3 91' – – 2 24 (15%) –
10 Miguel Di Pizio M 6.3 83' – – 3 35 (28%) 1
11 Atiya Waraga F 6.3 18' – – – 14 (11%) –
7 Aydan Hammond F 6.2 8' – – 1 4 (4%) –
36 Panashe Madanha D 5.9 91' – – – 43 (38%) –
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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Our lean
Melbourne City or draw
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Melbourne City
WWDLL
Western Sydney Wanderers
LDWDW
Last 3 meetings Melbourne City · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Melbourne City will face off against Western Sydney Wanderers. Melbourne City has been strong at home, showcasing an average of 2.1 goals per match this season, while their defense has maintained a decent record, conceding just 1.0 goals per game. Conversely, Western Sydney Wanderers have struggled on the road, with an average of only 1.0 goal scored per match in away fixtures. Both teams will look to secure critical points, but Melbourne City's offensive capabilities may give them the edge in this matchup. Expect a tactical battle with potential for high scoring.

Live insights

90' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Melbourne City leads 2-1. Win probability: 84.1%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 15.9%.

62' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Melbourne City win: 79%. BTTS: 100%.

45' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 40.3%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-1. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 34.6%, Away win 2H: 25.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
43%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
29%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Melbourne City
E. Marcondes 1 gls
Western Sydney Wanderers
A. Waraga 1 gls
L. Gillion 1 gls

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Head to Head: Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers

1 Melbourne City Wins
2 Draws
0 Western Sydney Wanderers Wins
Date Home Score Away
04 Apr 2026 Melbourne City 3 - 0 Western Sydney Wanderers
07 Feb 2026 Western Sydney Wanderers 1 - 1 Melbourne City
18 Oct 2025 Western Sydney Wanderers 1 - 1 Melbourne City

Melbourne City — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Western Sydney Wanderers W 2 - 1
31 Oct H Sydney W 2 - 1
24 Oct A Melbourne Victory D 1 - 1
17 Oct A Auckland L 3 - 1
07 Aug H Palermo L 0 - 2

Western Sydney Wanderers — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Melbourne City L 2 - 1
31 Oct A Macarthur D 0 - 0
24 Oct H Auckland W 5 - 2
16 Oct A Sydney D 0 - 0
19 Sep A Auckland W 1 - 3

A-League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Wellington Phoenix
4 3 1 0 +6 10
2
Sydney
4 2 1 1 +3 7
3
Melbourne City
4 2 1 1 0 7
4
Perth Glory
4 2 0 2 +3 6
5
Western Sydney Wanderers
4 1 2 1 +2 5
6
Macarthur
3 1 2 0 +1 5
7
Auckland
4 1 2 1 -1 5
8
Brisbane Roar
2 1 1 0 +1 4
9
Melbourne Victory
3 0 2 1 -1 2
10
Newcastle Jets
4 0 2 2 -4 2
11
Central Coast Mariners
4 0 2 2 -5 2
12
Adelaide United
2 0 0 2 -5 0

Western Sydney Wanderers

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
20 Thomas
17 Carluccio
24 Barrie
33 Ferreyra
36 Madanha
8 Scicluna
32 Thurgate
21 Gillion
10 Pizio
14 Milanović
26 Borrello

Starting XI

# Player Pos
20 Lawrence Thomas G
36 Panashe Madanha D
33 Germán Ferreyra D
24 Nathan Barrie D
17 Jarrod Carluccio D
32 Angus Thurgate M
8 Dylan Scicluna M
14 Nicolas Milanović M
10 Miguel Di Pizio M
21 Liam Gillion M
26 Brandon Borrello F

Substitutes

11 Atiya Waraga F
23 Jordan Holmes G
35 Marcus Savic D
6 Steven Ugarković M
7 Aydan Hammond F
27 Jai Rose M
9 Hiroshi Ibusuki F

Melbourne City

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
40 Nieuwenhuizen
16 Behich
2 Delbridge
18 Cascante
13 Atkinson
24 Rahmani
5 Rossetto
11 Mabil
10 Marcondes
23 Memeti
15 Nabbout

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 James Nieuwenhuizen G
13 Nathaniel Atkinson D
18 Julio Cascante D
2 Harrison Delbridge D
16 Aziz Behich D
5 Matheus Rossetto M
24 Kavian Rahmani M
23 Medin Memeti M
10 Emiliano Marcondes M
11 Awer Mabil M
15 Andrew Nabbout F

Substitutes

7 Mathew Leckie F
14 Besian Kutleshi D
4 Liam Bonetig D
19 Quinn MacNicol M
77 Takeshi Kanamori F
50 Jonty Benfield G
39 Roland Ballah F

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