Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction
AI call
Auckland or draw
41%
28%
31%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix prediction: Sportiko gives Auckland a 41% chance of winning, Wellington Phoenix 31% and the draw 28%. Last updated 7 Nov 2026, 06:52.
Premium picks
Premium- 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
- Away to Score 72%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
See Premium picks
Timeline
HT 0–0
⇄
73'
Rafael Duran
Callan Elliot
⇄ Lachlan Brook
79'
⇄
Sam Cosgrove
Yellow Card
82'
▮
Lachlan Brook
Yellow Card
84'
▮
▮
84'
Corban Piper
Yellow Card
Lachlan Bayliss
⇄ Isa Prins
88'
⇄
▮
90+2'
Alex Rufer
Yellow Card
FT 0–0
Auckland
Match Stats
Wellington Phoenix
59%
Ball Possession
41%
Expected Goals (xG)
14
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Goal
2
7
Shots off Goal
3
4
Blocked Shots
3
9
Shots insidebox
6
5
Shots outsidebox
2
5
Corner Kicks
2
Offsides
8
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
0
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
383
Total passes
261
284
Passes accurate
174
74%
Passes %
67%
goals_prevented
Auckland
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Ronan Wynne D | 7.7 | 83' | – | – | – | 54 (46%) | 3 |
| 15 Francis De Vries D | 7.5 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 39 (25%) | 1 |
| 4 Nando Pijnaker D | 7.3 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 57 (47%) | 1 |
| 2 Hiroki Sakai D | 7.3 | 83' | – | – | – | 53 (39%) | 3 |
| 1 Michael Woud G | 7.0 | 83' | – | – | – | 22 (17%) | – |
| 9 Sam Cosgrove F | 6.9 | 83' | – | – | 3 | 19 (13%) | – |
| 16 Daniel Normann M | 6.9 | 83' | – | – | – | 33 (22%) | 3 |
| 27 Logan Rogerson M | 6.7 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 16 (11%) | 2 |
| 17 Callan Elliot M | 6.5 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 21 (14%) | 1 |
| 10 Lachlan Bayliss M | 6.3 | 83' | – | – | 2 | 26 (16%) | 1 |
| 8 Felipe Gallegos M | 6.2 | 83' | – | – | – | 41 (32%) | – |
| 77 Lachlan Brook F | — | 4' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
Wellington Phoenix
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Matthew Sheridan D | 7.2 | 83' | – | – | – | 18 (9%) | 1 |
| 13 Henry Gray G | 7.2 | 83' | – | – | – | 27 (13%) | – |
| 14 Alex Rufer M | 6.9 | 83' | – | – | – | 21 (17%) | 1 |
| 99 Corban Piper F | 6.9 | 83' | – | – | – | 20 (10%) | 1 |
| 8 Max Anderson M | 6.9 | 83' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | 3 |
| 18 Lukas Kelly-Heald D | 6.7 | 83' | – | – | – | 32 (28%) | – |
| 25 Kazuki Nagasawa M | 6.7 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 20 (14%) | 2 |
| 28 Bill Tuiloma D | 6.6 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 31 (21%) | 1 |
| 7 B. Duke M | 6.6 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 20 (10%) | – |
| 11 Riley Bidois F | 6.5 | 10' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 9 Rafael Duran F | 6.2 | 73' | – | – | 2 | 14 (10%) | 1 |
| 23 James McGarry D | 6.2 | 83' | – | – | – | 29 (20%) | – |
Premium
Unlock the AI's full read on Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix
- All 70+ probability markets
- AI Deep-Dive match report
- Pick types you choose
Confidence
Low (41%)
At a glance
Our lean
Auckland or draw
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade Now
Auckland
DDLWL
Wellington Phoenix
DWWWL
Last 3 meetings
Auckland · 3W 0D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming A-League clash, Auckland faces Wellington Phoenix. Auckland has shown a strong attacking presence this season, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while Wellington Phoenix has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. Both teams have experienced fluctuating form, but Auckland's recent home performances suggest they could capitalize on defensive lapses from Wellington. Key players to watch include Auckland's leading scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Wellington's playmaker, known for creating scoring opportunities. This matchup could hinge on Auckland's ability to exploit Wellington's defensive weaknesses.
Live insights
75'
time check
80% sure
Min 75: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 67%. Late goal chance: 36.9%.
45'
half time
65% sure
Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 73.8%. Over 1.5 remaining: 42.4%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
41%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
31%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Auckland
L. Bayliss
2 gls
H. Sakai
1 gls
Wellington Phoenix
C. Piper
3 gls
R. Bidois
2 gls
N. Walker
1 gls
R. Durán
1 gls
You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix
3
Auckland Wins
0
Draws
0
Wellington Phoenix Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Wellington Phoenix | 0 - 5 | Auckland |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Auckland | 3 - 1 | Wellington Phoenix |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Wellington Phoenix | 1 - 2 | Auckland |
Auckland — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Wellington Phoenix | D | 0 - 0 |
| 30 Oct | A Brisbane Roar | D | 1 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Western Sydney Wanderers | L | 5 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Melbourne City | W | 3 - 1 |
| 19 Sep | H Western Sydney Wanderers | L | 1 - 3 |
Wellington Phoenix — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Auckland | D | 0 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Newcastle Jets | W | 0 - 3 |
| 25 Oct | H Central Coast Mariners | W | 2 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | H Melbourne Victory | W | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Apr | A Macarthur | L | 4 - 0 |
A-League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Wellington Phoenix
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 2 |
Sydney
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 |
Melbourne City
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 |
Perth Glory
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 |
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 5 |
| 6 |
Macarthur
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 |
Auckland
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 |
Brisbane Roar
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 |
Melbourne Victory
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 |
| 10 |
Newcastle Jets
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
| 11 |
Central Coast Mariners
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 |
| 12 |
Adelaide United
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
Wellington Phoenix
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
13
Gray
23
McGarry
18
Kelly-Heald
28
Tuiloma
27
Sheridan
25
Nagasawa
14
Rufer
8
Anderson
7
Duke
9
Duran
99
Piper
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Henry Gray | G |
| 27 | Matthew Sheridan | D |
| 28 | Bill Tuiloma | D |
| 18 | Lukas Kelly-Heald | D |
| 23 | James McGarry | D |
| 7 | Bryce Duke | M |
| 8 | Max Anderson | M |
| 14 | Alex Rufer | M |
| 25 | Kazuki Nagasawa | M |
| 99 | Corban Piper | F |
| 9 | Rafael Duran | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | Alby Kelly-Heald | G |
| 24 | Tze-xuan Loke | F |
| 15 | Isaac Hughes | D |
| 5 | Walter Scott | D |
| 17 | Nathan Walker | F |
| 35 | Luke Mitchell | M |
| 11 | Riley Bidois | F |
Auckland
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1
Woud
15
Vries
4
Pijnaker
23
Wynne
2
Sakai
8
Gallegos
16
Normann
27
Rogerson
10
Bayliss
17
Elliot
9
Cosgrove
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Woud | G |
| 2 | Hiroki Sakai | D |
| 23 | Ronan Wynne | D |
| 4 | Nando Pijnaker | D |
| 15 | Francis De Vries | D |
| 16 | Daniel Normann | M |
| 8 | Felipe Gallegos | M |
| 17 | Callan Elliot | M |
| 10 | Lachlan Bayliss | M |
| 27 | Logan Rogerson | M |
| 9 | Sam Cosgrove | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | Joseph James Knowles | G |
| 46 | James Mitchell | M |
| 21 | Isa Prins | M |
| 57 | Van Fitzharris | M |
| 18 | Marley Leuluai | M |
| 77 | Lachlan Brook | F |
| 35 | Jonty Bidois | F |