Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction

A-League A-League · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
AAMI Park, Melbourne
AI call Melbourne Victory to win or draw
67%
21%
13%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners prediction: Sportiko gives Melbourne Victory a 67% chance of winning, Central Coast Mariners 13% and the draw 21%. Last updated 1 Nov 2026, 05:52.

Premium picks

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  • Home/Draw & Over 1.5 74%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Harrison Shillington Red Card
13' ▮
Keegan Jelacic ⇄ Philipp Ziereis
14' ⇄
HT 0–0
Louis D'Arrigo ⇄ Denis Genreau
62' ⇄
⚽ 0–1 63'
Oliver Lavale assist: Ali Auglah
⇄ 64'
Alexander Bolton ⇄ Luke Becvinovski
Jordi Valadon assist: Charles Nduka
69' ⚽ 1–1
▮ 70'
Chris Donnell Yellow Card
▮ 72'
Oliver Lavale Yellow Card
Philipp Ziereis Yellow Card
72' ▮
⇄ 78'
Bailey Brandtman ⇄ Arthur De Lima
⇄ 78'
Haine Eames ⇄ Jesse Mantell
Clarismario ⇄ M. Ghossaini
82' ⇄
Guillermo May ⇄ Matthew Grimaldi
82' ⇄
⇄ 87'
Oliver Lavale ⇄ Presley Ortiz
FT 1–1
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Confidence Medium (67%)

At a glance

Our lean
Melbourne Victory to win or draw
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Melbourne Victory
DLDLD
Central Coast Mariners
LDLDD
Last 2 meetings Melbourne Victory · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Melbourne Victory will face Central Coast Mariners. Melbourne Victory has shown resilience at home, boasting a solid defensive record, while Central Coast Mariners have displayed potent attacking prowess with key players contributing significantly to their goal tally this season. Both teams have fluctuated in form, making this match pivotal for their respective standings. The outcome may hinge on Melbourne's ability to contain the Mariners' counter-attacks and capitalize on set-pieces. Overall, it's a critical fixture for both sides as they strive for playoff positioning.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
67%
45%
Draw
21%
45%
Away
13%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Melbourne Victory
C. Nduka 1 gls
K. Jelacic 1 gls
Central Coast Mariners
O. Lavale 3 gls

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Head to Head: Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners

1 Melbourne Victory Wins
0 Draws
1 Central Coast Mariners Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Mar 2026 Melbourne Victory 4 - 1 Central Coast Mariners
01 Feb 2026 Central Coast Mariners 1 - 0 Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov A Adelaide United D 2 - 2
04 Nov H Persib Bandung L 1 - 2
01 Nov H Central Coast Mariners D 1 - 1
28 Oct A Persib Bandung L 2 - 0
24 Oct H Melbourne City D 1 - 1

Central Coast Mariners — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Sydney L 4 - 1
01 Nov A Melbourne Victory D 1 - 1
25 Oct A Wellington Phoenix L 2 - 0
17 Oct H Newcastle Jets D 2 - 2
22 Jul A Sydney United D 1 - 1

A-League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Wellington Phoenix
4 3 1 0 +6 10
2
Sydney
4 2 1 1 +3 7
3
Melbourne City
4 2 1 1 0 7
4
Perth Glory
4 2 0 2 +3 6
5
Western Sydney Wanderers
4 1 2 1 +2 5
6
Macarthur
3 1 2 0 +1 5
7
Auckland
4 1 2 1 -1 5
8
Brisbane Roar
2 1 1 0 +1 4
9
Melbourne Victory
3 0 2 1 -1 2
10
Newcastle Jets
4 0 2 2 -4 2
11
Central Coast Mariners
4 0 2 2 -5 2
12
Adelaide United
2 0 0 2 -5 0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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