Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 3

31 Oct 2026, 04:00

Post on X

Wellington Phoenix

Away

McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

AI call Newcastle Jets to win or draw

68%

23%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix prediction: Sportiko gives Newcastle Jets a 68% chance of winning, Wellington Phoenix 9% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 16.1%

Both teams to score

36%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Newcastle Jets

LWDDL

Wellington Phoenix

LWLDW

Last 2 meetings Newcastle Jets · 2W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Newcastle Jets will face Wellington Phoenix. Newcastle has shown a strong attacking form this season, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while their defense allows only 1.2 goals against per game. Wellington Phoenix, on the other hand, struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match and scoring 1.3. Given the contrasting defensive records, Newcastle Jets may capitalize on their home ground advantage to secure crucial points. The match will likely hinge on Newcastle's ability to exploit Wellington's defensive vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Wellington Phoenix goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	4	1
1	16	10	2
2	16	9	2
3	10	5	1
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Newcastle Jets goals · most likely 2–0 (16.1%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

23%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

23%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

89% Home (No Draw) 11% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

42% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

68% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 9% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

20%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.3%	3.6%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
1	15.9%	10.2%	2.4%	0.4%	0.1%
2	16.1%	8.5%	2.3%	0.4%	0.1%
3	10.1%	5.3%	1.4%	0.3%	0.0%
4	4.7%	2.5%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Newcastle Jets	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets	45.2%	2.6%	0.4%
Draw	22.7%	16.0%	4.0%
Wellington Phoenix	1.9%	2.6%	4.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

59%

31%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix

2 Newcastle Jets Wins

0 Draws

0 Wellington Phoenix Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Jan 2026	Newcastle Jets	4 - 1	Wellington Phoenix
14 Dec 2025	Wellington Phoenix	1 - 3	Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Jul	A Preston Lions	L	3 - 2
25 Apr	H Central Coast Mariners	W	4 - 0
17 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	2 - 2
11 Apr	H Adelaide United	D	1 - 1
02 Apr	A Macarthur	L	3 - 2

Wellington Phoenix — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Apr	A Macarthur	L	4 - 0
18 Apr	H Western Sydney Wanderers	W	2 - 1
12 Apr	A Melbourne City	L	1 - 0
05 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	0 - 0
21 Mar	A Brisbane Roar	W	1 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.