Brisbane Roar vs Auckland Prediction

A-League A-League · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
AI call Too close to call
36%
28%
36%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Brisbane Roar vs Auckland prediction: Sportiko gives Brisbane Roar a 36% chance of winning, Auckland 36% and the draw 28%. Last updated 30 Oct 2026, 10:57.

Premium picks

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  • 1st Half Home or Draw 76%
  • Over 1.5 Goals 75%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
  • Home to Score 73%
  • Away to Score 72%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 12'
Hiroki Sakai
Justin Vidic Yellow Card
21' ▮
HT 0–1
Sabit James Ngor Yellow Card
53' ▮
Virgiliu Postolachi ⇄ Marko Ilic
58' ⇄
⇄ 72'
Lachlan Brook ⇄ Callan Elliot
⇄ 72'
Jonty Bidois ⇄ Isa Prins
Milorad Stajić ⇄ Emin Durakovic
75' ⇄
Sabit James Ngor ⇄ Nathan Amanatidis
76' ⇄
▮ 78'
Francis De Vries Yellow Card
Tyrese Francois ⇄ Jordan Lauton
82' ⇄
⇄ 89'
Jake Brimmer ⇄ Daniel Normann
⇄ 90+3'
Lachlan Bayliss ⇄ Fitzharris Van
Tom Aldred
90+5' ⚽ 1–1
FT 1–1
Brisbane Roar

Match Stats

Auckland
69% Ball Possession 31%
Expected Goals (xG)
15 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 6
7 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 5
10 Corner Kicks 2
2 Offsides 3
10 Fouls 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
586 Total passes 264
508 Passes accurate 202
87% Passes % 77%
goals_prevented
Brisbane Roar
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
16 Joel King D 8.2 87' – – – 101 (93%) 3
6 Noah Maieroni M 7.9 87' – – – 73 (67%) 5
77 Milorad Stajić D 7.2 75' – – 1 49 (47%) 3
5 Tom Aldred D 7.0 87' – – – 83 (72%) 2
22 Nathan Amanatidis F 6.9 11' – – – 5 (4%) 1
14 Emin Durakovic M 6.7 12' – – – 7 (6%) –
8 Tyrese Francois M 6.7 82' – – – 58 (51%) 1
10 Tae Hee Nam M 6.6 87' – – – 58 (47%) 1
40 George Plusnin G 6.5 87' – – – 25 (23%) –
13 Tate Russell M 6.5 87' – – 1 42 (34%) 2
11 Marko Ilic F 6.5 29' – – 1 17 (13%) –
17 Justin Vidic F 6.3 87' – – 1 15 (9%) –
19 Sabit James Ngor M 6.3 76' – – 3 30 (23%) –
9 Virgiliu Postolachi F 6.3 58' – – 1 21 (17%) –
44 Jordan Lauton M — 5' – – – 2 (2%) –
Auckland
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
2 Hiroki Sakai D 8.6 87' 1 – 1 29 (21%) 3
4 Nando Pijnaker D 7.3 87' – – – 23 (19%) 1
15 Francis De Vries D 7.0 87' – – – 26 (20%) –
23 Ronan Wynne D 7.0 87' – – – 23 (18%) 3
8 Felipe Gallegos M 6.9 87' – – – 32 (28%) 1
10 Lachlan Bayliss F 6.7 87' – – – 18 (14%) 1
35 Jonty Bidois F 6.7 72' – – 1 9 (4%) 3
1 Michael Woud G 6.6 87' – – – 23 (13%) –
17 Callan Elliot D 6.6 15' – – – 1 (1%) 1
77 Lachlan Brook M 6.5 72' – – 2 26 (20%) 1
22 Jake Brimmer M 6.5 87' – – 1 26 (23%) 1
21 Isa Prins M 6.5 15' – – – 6 (4%) –
27 Logan Rogerson M 6.3 87' – – 2 22 (17%) –
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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

Our lean
Too close to call
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Brisbane Roar
WDWLL
Auckland
DDLWL
Last 2 meetings Brisbane Roar · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League match, Brisbane Roar faces Auckland on October 30, 2026. Brisbane Roar has shown a solid home record, scoring an average of 2 goals per match in their last five home games, while maintaining a strong defensive line that concedes less than 1 goal per match. Auckland, on the other hand, has struggled in away fixtures, typically averaging less than 1 goal scored per game. This trend may give Brisbane an edge in securing a victory, especially with their efficient attack and disciplined defense. Expect a competitive match, but Brisbane's home form could be the decisive factor.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
36%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
36%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Brisbane Roar

No scorer data.

Auckland
L. Bayliss 2 gls
H. Sakai 1 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Brisbane Roar vs Auckland

0 Brisbane Roar Wins
1 Draws
1 Auckland Wins
Date Home Score Away
09 Jan 2026 Brisbane Roar 0 - 2 Auckland
23 Nov 2025 Auckland 1 - 1 Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov A Macarthur W 1 - 2
30 Oct H Auckland D 1 - 1
23 Oct H Perth Glory W 2 - 1
09 Aug H Sydney L 2 - 4
25 Apr A Perth Glory L 2 - 1

Auckland — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Wellington Phoenix D 0 - 0
30 Oct A Brisbane Roar D 1 - 1
24 Oct A Western Sydney Wanderers L 5 - 2
17 Oct H Melbourne City W 3 - 1
19 Sep H Western Sydney Wanderers L 1 - 3

A-League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Wellington Phoenix
4 3 1 0 +6 10
2
Sydney
4 2 1 1 +3 7
3
Melbourne City
4 2 1 1 0 7
4
Perth Glory
4 2 0 2 +3 6
5
Western Sydney Wanderers
4 1 2 1 +2 5
6
Macarthur
3 1 2 0 +1 5
7
Auckland
4 1 2 1 -1 5
8
Brisbane Roar
2 1 1 0 +1 4
9
Melbourne Victory
3 0 2 1 -1 2
10
Newcastle Jets
4 0 2 2 -4 2
11
Central Coast Mariners
4 0 2 2 -5 2
12
Adelaide United
2 0 0 2 -5 0

Brisbane Roar

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Seong-jae Kim
40 Plusnin
16 King
5 Aldred
77 Stajić
19 Ngor
8 Francois
6 Maieroni
10 Nam
13 Russell
9 Postolachi
17 Vidic

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 George Plusnin G
77 Milorad Stajić D
5 Tom Aldred D
16 Joel King D
13 Tate Russell M
10 Tae Hee Nam M
6 Noah Maieroni M
8 Tyrese Francois M
19 Sabit James Ngor M
17 Justin Vidic F
9 Virgiliu Postolachi F

Substitutes

11 Marko Ilic F
1 Dean Bouzanis G
15 Hosine Bility D
2 Jacob Nasso D
14 Emin Durakovic M
44 Jordan Lauton M
22 Nathan Amanatidis F

Auckland

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Seong-jae Kim
1 Woud
15 Vries
4 Pijnaker
23 Wynne
2 Sakai
27 Rogerson
22 Brimmer
8 Gallegos
77 Brook
10 Bayliss
35 Bidois

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Michael Woud G
2 Hiroki Sakai D
23 Ronan Wynne D
4 Nando Pijnaker D
15 Francis De Vries D
77 Lachlan Brook M
8 Felipe Gallegos M
22 Jake Brimmer M
27 Logan Rogerson M
35 Jonty Bidois F
10 Lachlan Bayliss F

Substitutes

30 Joseph James Knowles G
25 Luka Vicelich D
17 Callan Elliot D
16 Daniel Normann M
57 Van Fitzharris M
18 Marley Leuluai M
21 Isa Prins M

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