Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 2

25 Oct 2026, 02:00

Post on X

Central Coast Mariners

Away

AI call Difficult Central Coast Mariners win or draw

14%

27%

59%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners prediction: Sportiko gives Wellington Phoenix a 14% chance of winning, Central Coast Mariners 59% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 15.3%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Wellington Phoenix

LWLDW

Central Coast Mariners

DLWDL

Last 2 meetings Wellington Phoenix · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Wellington Phoenix will face Central Coast Mariners. Both teams have shown competitive form recently, with Wellington scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game in their last five outings, while Central Coast Mariners have maintained a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.8 goals per game on average during the same period. The matchup will likely hinge on Wellington's ability to exploit their attacking prowess against the Mariners' organized defense. Key players to watch include Wellington's top scorer, who has been instrumental in their recent successes, and Central Coast's goalkeeper, who has been crucial in maintaining clean sheets. This contest promises to be tightly contested as both teams vie for vital points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Central Coast Mariners goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12	15	14	7	3	1
1	5	12	9	5	2	1
2	2	4	3	2	1
3		1	1
4
5

↑ Wellington Phoenix goals · most likely 0–1 (15.2%)

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Match Result

Away Win

59%

Draw

27%

Home Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

59%

Draw

27%

Home Win

14%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

81% Away (No Draw) 19% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 14% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.7%	15.3%	13.5%	7.3%	3.0%
1	5.4%	12.4%	8.9%	4.8%	2.0%
2	2.2%	3.6%	2.9%	1.6%	0.6%
3	0.5%	0.8%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
Wellington Phoenix	7.5%	3.4%	2.0%
Draw	6.1%	18.9%	21.1%
Central Coast Mariners	0.7%	3.3%	37.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

52%

34%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners

1 Wellington Phoenix Wins

1 Draws

0 Central Coast Mariners Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Dec 2025	Wellington Phoenix	3 - 1	Central Coast Mariners
02 Nov 2025	Central Coast Mariners	1 - 1	Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Apr	A Macarthur	L	4 - 0
18 Apr	H Western Sydney Wanderers	W	2 - 1
12 Apr	A Melbourne City	L	1 - 0
05 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	0 - 0
21 Mar	A Brisbane Roar	W	1 - 2

Central Coast Mariners — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Jul	A Sydney United	D	1 - 1
25 Apr	A Newcastle Jets	L	4 - 0
19 Apr	A Auckland	W	0 - 1
10 Apr	H Brisbane Roar	D	2 - 2
07 Apr	A Melbourne City	L	2 - 1

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.