Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 2

24 Oct 2026, 08:40

Post on X

Melbourne City

Away

AAMI Park, Melbourne

AI call Difficult Melbourne Victory win or draw

53%

27%

21%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City prediction: Sportiko gives Melbourne Victory a 53% chance of winning, Melbourne City 21% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.8%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Melbourne Victory

DWDWW

Melbourne City

LWDLW

Last 3 meetings Melbourne Victory · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League match, Melbourne Victory will face off against Melbourne City. Historically, this local derby has been closely contested; Melbourne City has a slight edge with 5 wins in their last 10 meetings. Melbourne Victory will rely on their attacking prowess, with players like Nani contributing significantly to their offensive stats. Conversely, Melbourne City boasts a stronger defense, having conceded the fewest goals in the league this season. This match promises to be intense as both teams vie for crucial points in their championship campaigns.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Melbourne City goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	5	3	1
1	10	13	6	2
2	10	10	5	2
3	6	6	3	1
4	2	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Melbourne Victory goals · most likely 1–1 (12.8%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

27%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

27%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

72% Home (No Draw) 28% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	5.0%	3.3%	1.1%	0.3%
1	9.6%	12.8%	5.8%	2.0%	0.5%
2	9.7%	9.9%	5.0%	1.7%	0.4%
3	5.7%	5.8%	2.9%	1.0%	0.3%
4	2.5%	2.5%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Melbourne Victory	Draw	Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory	33.4%	4.1%	1.4%
Draw	18.1%	16.4%	8.2%
Melbourne City	2.6%	4.1%	11.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City

2 Melbourne Victory Wins

0 Draws

1 Melbourne City Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Feb 2026	Melbourne City	1 - 3	Melbourne Victory
20 Dec 2025	Melbourne City	0 - 1	Melbourne Victory
08 Nov 2025	Melbourne Victory	0 - 2	Melbourne City

Melbourne Victory — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Viettel	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	A Sydney	W	0 - 2
08 Aug	A Western Sydney Wanderers	D	1 - 1
26 Jul	A Kingborough Lions	W	0 - 4
25 Apr	A Western Sydney Wanderers	W	0 - 2

Melbourne City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Palermo	L	0 - 2
26 Jul	A Weston Bears	W	0 - 3
02 May	A Auckland	D	1 - 1
26 Apr	H Adelaide United	L	1 - 2
18 Apr	A Brisbane Roar	W	2 - 3

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.