Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 1

18 Oct 2026, 04:00

Post on X

Brisbane Roar

Away

Coopers Stadium, Adelaide

AI call Adelaide United to win or draw

72%

23%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar prediction: Sportiko gives Adelaide United a 72% chance of winning, Brisbane Roar 5% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 21.6%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

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Adelaide United

LWLDD

Brisbane Roar

LLLDD

Last 2 meetings Adelaide United · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Adelaide United faces Brisbane Roar. Adelaide has demonstrated a strong home record, having secured 60% of their points at home this season. Brisbane Roar, on the other hand, has struggled with consistency on the road, winning only 30% of their away matches. The key matchup will likely be in midfield, where Adelaide's possession game could challenge Brisbane’s counter-attacking strategy. Both teams will be looking to solidify their standings as the season progresses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

72%

45%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Brisbane Roar goals →

	0	1	2
0	14	3	1
1	22	8	1
2	20	6	1
3	11	4	1
4	5	2
5	2	1

↑ Adelaide United goals · most likely 1–0 (21.6%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

72%

Draw

23%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

72%

Draw

23%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

93% Home (No Draw) 7% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

44% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

25%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.8%	3.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
1	21.6%	7.9%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.7%	6.1%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
3	11.5%	3.6%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	5.0%	1.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

36%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

35%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Adelaide United	Draw	Brisbane Roar
Adelaide United	47.3%	1.8%	0.2%
Draw	24.8%	17.7%	2.6%
Brisbane Roar	1.2%	1.8%	2.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

73%

23%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar

1 Adelaide United Wins

0 Draws

1 Brisbane Roar Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Jan 2026	Brisbane Roar	2 - 3	Adelaide United
07 Dec 2025	Adelaide United	0 - 1	Brisbane Roar

Adelaide United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
09 May	A Auckland	L	1 - 0
26 Apr	A Melbourne City	W	1 - 2
19 Apr	H Macarthur	L	0 - 1
11 Apr	A Newcastle Jets	D	1 - 1
03 Apr	H Auckland	D	1 - 1

Brisbane Roar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
09 Aug	H Sydney	L	2 - 4
25 Apr	A Perth Glory	L	2 - 1
18 Apr	H Melbourne City	L	2 - 3
10 Apr	A Central Coast Mariners	D	2 - 2
02 Apr	H Sydney	D	0 - 0

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.