Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction
AI call
Melbourne Victory or draw
29%
27%
44%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory prediction: Sportiko gives Wellington Phoenix a 29% chance of winning, Melbourne Victory 44% and the draw 27%. Last updated 18 Oct 2026, 03:55.
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Timeline
Corban Piper
assist: Matthew Sheridan
14'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
24'
Charles Nduka
Rafael Duran
⇄ Nathan Walker
28'
⇄
▮
45'
Philipp Ziereis
Yellow Card
HT 1–1
⇄
62'
Clarismario
⇄ Keegan Jelacic
⇄
62'
Philipp Ziereis
⇄ Tom Lockyer
James McGarry
⇄ Walter Scott
62'
⇄
▮
71'
Denis Genreau
Yellow Card
⇄
74'
Guillermo May
⇄ Xavier Stella
⇄
74'
Matthew Grimaldi
assist: Nathan Walker
77'
⚽
2–1
77'
⇄
⇄
87'
Charles Nduka
⇄ Brendan Hamill
FT 2–1
Wellington Phoenix
Match Stats
Melbourne Victory
41%
Ball Possession
59%
Expected Goals (xG)
8
Total Shots
4
3
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots off Goal
1
1
Blocked Shots
1
5
Shots insidebox
3
3
Shots outsidebox
1
6
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
3
7
Fouls
5
0
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
305
Total passes
471
222
Passes accurate
366
73%
Passes %
78%
goals_prevented
Wellington Phoenix
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Bill Tuiloma D | 7.7 | 80' | – | – | – | 36 (24%) | 3 |
| 99 Corban Piper F | 7.7 | 80' | 1 | – | 3 | 11 (9%) | – |
| 7 B. Duke F | 7.5 | 80' | – | – | – | 37 (26%) | 5 |
| 11 Riley Bidois F | 7.3 | 3' | 1 | – | 1 | – | – |
| 8 Max Anderson M | 7.2 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 36 (30%) | 4 |
| 27 Matthew Sheridan D | 7.0 | 80' | – | 1 | – | 33 (22%) | – |
| 23 James McGarry D | 6.9 | 62' | – | – | – | 27 (19%) | – |
| 17 Nathan Walker F | 6.9 | 52' | – | 1 | 1 | 4 (2%) | 1 |
| 5 Walter Scott D | 6.7 | 18' | – | – | – | 10 (6%) | – |
| 25 Kazuki Nagasawa M | 6.6 | 80' | – | – | – | 39 (31%) | – |
| 13 Henry Gray G | 6.5 | 80' | – | – | – | 16 (6%) | – |
| 9 Rafael Duran F | 6.3 | 28' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 18 Lukas Kelly-Heald D | 6.3 | 80' | – | – | – | 29 (25%) | – |
Melbourne Victory
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 Charles Nduka F | 7.3 | 80' | 1 | – | 2 | 18 (11%) | – |
| 10 Denis Genreau M | 7.2 | 80' | – | – | – | 61 (49%) | 1 |
| 4 Philipp Ziereis D | 6.9 | 62' | – | – | – | 69 (59%) | 1 |
| 11 Clarismario M | 6.6 | 62' | – | – | – | 16 (13%) | 2 |
| 14 Matthew Grimaldi M | 6.5 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 13 (8%) | 1 |
| 23 Keegan Jelacic F | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 16 Joshua Inserra D | 6.3 | 80' | – | – | – | 39 (30%) | 1 |
| 15 Tom Lockyer D | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 23 (16%) | – |
| 21 Guillermo May F | 6.2 | 74' | – | – | – | 31 (25%) | – |
| 3 Jason Davidson D | 6.2 | 80' | – | – | – | 83 (64%) | – |
| 8 Jordi Valadon M | 6.2 | 80' | – | – | – | 40 (34%) | 3 |
| 18 Franco Lino D | 6.2 | 80' | – | – | – | 37 (24%) | 1 |
| 25 Jack Duncan G | 5.9 | 80' | – | – | – | 26 (21%) | – |
| 22 Xavier Stella D | — | 6' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 29 Michael Ghossaini F | — | 6' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (44%)
At a glance
Our lean
Melbourne Victory or draw
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Wellington Phoenix
DWWWL
Melbourne Victory
DLDLD
Last 3 meetings
Wellington Phoenix · 0W 1D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory, both teams will look to capitalize on their recent form. Wellington Phoenix has shown resilience in their last few matches, demonstrating a strong attacking output, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season. Meanwhile, Melbourne Victory has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per game, which could be crucial in this match. The battle in midfield will be pivotal; controlling possession may determine the outcome. Overall, this match promises to be competitive, with both teams eager to secure valuable points.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Wellington Phoenix
C. Piper
3 gls
R. Bidois
2 gls
N. Walker
1 gls
R. Durán
1 gls
Melbourne Victory
C. Nduka
1 gls
K. Jelacic
1 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory
0
Wellington Phoenix Wins
1
Draws
2
Melbourne Victory Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr 2026 | Melbourne Victory | 0 - 0 | Wellington Phoenix |
| 06 Feb 2026 | Wellington Phoenix | 2 - 3 | Melbourne Victory |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Melbourne Victory | 5 - 1 | Wellington Phoenix |
Wellington Phoenix — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Auckland | D | 0 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Newcastle Jets | W | 0 - 3 |
| 25 Oct | H Central Coast Mariners | W | 2 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | H Melbourne Victory | W | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Apr | A Macarthur | L | 4 - 0 |
Melbourne Victory — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | A Adelaide United | D | 2 - 2 |
| 04 Nov | H Persib Bandung | L | 1 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | H Central Coast Mariners | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | A Persib Bandung | L | 2 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Melbourne City | D | 1 - 1 |
A-League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Wellington Phoenix
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 2 |
Sydney
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 |
Melbourne City
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 |
Perth Glory
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 |
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 5 |
| 6 |
Macarthur
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 |
Auckland
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 |
Brisbane Roar
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 |
Melbourne Victory
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 |
| 10 |
Newcastle Jets
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
| 11 |
Central Coast Mariners
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 |
| 12 |
Adelaide United
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
Wellington Phoenix
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Seong-jae Kim
13
Gray
23
McGarry
18
Kelly-Heald
28
Tuiloma
27
Sheridan
35
Mitchell
25
Nagasawa
8
Anderson
9
Duran
99
Piper
7
Duke
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Henry Gray | G |
| 27 | Matthew Sheridan | D |
| 28 | Bill Tuiloma | D |
| 18 | Lukas Kelly-Heald | D |
| 23 | James McGarry | D |
| 8 | Max Anderson | M |
| 25 | Kazuki Nagasawa | M |
| 35 | Luke Mitchell | M |
| 7 | Bryce Duke | F |
| 99 | Corban Piper | F |
| 9 | Rafael Duran | F |
Substitutes
| 17 | Nathan Walker | F |
| 5 | Walter Scott | D |
| 30 | Alby Kelly-Heald | G |
| 34 | Dylan Gardiner | D |
| 24 | Tze-xuan Loke | F |
| 37 | Anaru Cassidy | M |
| 11 | Riley Bidois | F |
Melbourne Victory
Formation: 4-4-1-1
Coach: Seong-jae Kim
25
Duncan
18
Lino
3
Davidson
4
Ziereis
16
Inserra
14
Grimaldi
10
Genreau
8
Valadon
11
Clarismario
21
May
44
Nduka
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jack Duncan | G |
| 16 | Joshua Inserra | D |
| 4 | Philipp Ziereis | D |
| 3 | Jason Davidson | D |
| 18 | Franco Lino | D |
| 11 | Clarismario | M |
| 8 | Jordi Valadon | M |
| 10 | Denis Genreau | M |
| 14 | Matthew Grimaldi | M |
| 21 | Guillermo May | F |
| 44 | Charles Nduka | F |
Substitutes
| 15 | Tom Lockyer | D |
| 23 | Keegan Jelacic | F |
| 1 | Jack Warshawsky | G |
| 5 | Brendan Hamill | D |
| 36 | Harrison Shillington | D |
| 22 | Xavier Stella | D |
| 29 | Michael Ghossaini | F |