Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 1

17 Oct 2026, 08:40

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Newcastle Jets

Away

AI call Central Coast Mariners or draw

38%

31%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets prediction: Sportiko gives Central Coast Mariners a 38% chance of winning, Newcastle Jets 31% and the draw 31%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:55.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Central Coast Mariners

DLWDL

Newcastle Jets

LWDDL

Last 3 meetings Central Coast Mariners · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Central Coast Mariners will face Newcastle Jets. Historically, the Mariners have demonstrated a strong offensive capability, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while the Jets have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game. The Mariners will look to capitalize on their attacking prowess, especially at the start of the match, where they have been most potent. Newcastle's ability to maintain possession will be crucial, as they need to limit the Mariners' chances to secure a positive result. This matchup will be pivotal for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Newcastle Jets goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	9	6	2	1
1	10	15	7	3	1
2	7	8	4	2
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Central Coast Mariners goals · most likely 1–1 (14.9%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

31%

Away Win

31%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

31%

Away Win

31%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

55% Home (No Draw) 45% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 31% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.4%	8.9%	5.8%	2.1%	0.6%
1	10.3%	14.9%	7.3%	2.7%	0.7%
2	7.4%	8.2%	4.5%	1.7%	0.5%
3	3.1%	3.4%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.0%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners	22.3%	4.3%	1.6%
Draw	14.7%	20.6%	12.3%
Newcastle Jets	1.8%	4.4%	18.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets

1 Central Coast Mariners Wins

1 Draws

1 Newcastle Jets Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Apr 2026	Newcastle Jets	4 - 0	Central Coast Mariners
28 Feb 2026	Central Coast Mariners	0 - 0	Newcastle Jets
19 Oct 2025	Central Coast Mariners	3 - 2	Newcastle Jets

Central Coast Mariners — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Jul	A Sydney United	D	1 - 1
25 Apr	A Newcastle Jets	L	4 - 0
19 Apr	A Auckland	W	0 - 1
10 Apr	H Brisbane Roar	D	2 - 2
07 Apr	A Melbourne City	L	2 - 1

Newcastle Jets — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Jul	A Preston Lions	L	3 - 2
25 Apr	H Central Coast Mariners	W	4 - 0
17 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	2 - 2
11 Apr	H Adelaide United	D	1 - 1
02 Apr	A Macarthur	L	3 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.