FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus Prediction

Superliga Superliga · Regular Season - 11
FT
Post on X
Parken, København
AI call Difficult FC Copenhagen win or draw
57%
24%
18%
Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus prediction: Sportiko gives FC Copenhagen a 57% chance of winning, Aarhus 18% and the draw 24%. Last updated 18 Oct 2026, 17:58.

Timeline

Robert assist: Marcos López
35' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 45'
R. Carstensen ⇄ Jacob Andersen
HT 1–0
⚽ 1–1 63'
Janni Serra assist: Frederik Emmery
William Clem ⇄ Thomas Delaney
65' ⇄
⇄ 67'
Daníel Grétarsson ⇄ Eric Kahl
⇄ 74'
Janni Serra ⇄ James Bogere
Alex Král Yellow Card
75' ▮
⇄ 75'
Callum McCowatt ⇄ Markus Solbakken
Viktor Bjarki Dadason ⇄ Geovanni Vianney
75' ⇄
Mohamed Elyounoussi ⇄ Thapelo Maseko
84' ⇄
Robert ⇄ Mads Emil Madsen
84' ⇄
Marcos López ⇄ Birger Meling
84' ⇄
▮ 90+1'
Tobias Mølgaard Yellow Card
FT 1–1
FC Copenhagen

Match Stats

Aarhus
60% Ball Possession 40%
2.04 Expected Goals (xG) 0.88
24 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots off Goal 4
8 Blocked Shots 0
18 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 1
11 Corner Kicks 1
1 Offsides 0
17 Fouls 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
453 Total passes 446
361 Passes accurate 363
6 Free Kicks 17
FC Copenhagen
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
16 Robert M 8.2 84' 1 – 7 23 (21%) 1
4 Asger Sørensen D 7.2 90' – – 1 54 (51%) 1
6 Ákos Markgráf D 7.0 90' – – – 65 (56%) 1
15 Marcos López D 6.8 84' – 1 1 31 (25%) 1
10 Mohamed Elyounoussi M 6.8 84' – – 2 31 (23%) 1
2 Felix Beijmo D 6.7 90' – – 2 55 (46%) 1
27 Thomas Delaney M 6.7 25' – – – 28 (22%) –
39 Viktor Bjarki Dadason F 6.6 75' – – 2 20 (13%) 1
21 Mads Emil Madsen M 6.5 6' – – – 2 (1%) –
24 Birger Meling D 6.5 6' – – – 7 (5%) –
20 Junnosuke Suzuki M 6.4 90' – – 4 25 (18%) 6
44 Geovanni Vianney F 6.4 15' – – 1 2 (2%) 1
12 Thapelo Maseko F 6.3 6' – – – – –
36 William Clem M 6.2 65' – – 2 24 (20%) 1
33 Alex Král M 6.1 90' – – 1 42 (30%) 3
1 Diant Ramaj G 6.0 90' – – – 41 (26%) –
Aarhus
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
13 Janni Serra F 7.9 74' 1 – 2 13 (8%) –
1 Jesper Hansen G 7.6 90' – – – 27 (20%) –
5 Frederik Tingager D 7.0 90' – – 1 83 (76%) 1
39 Frederik Emmery M 7.0 90' – 1 1 17 (14%) –
18 Callum McCowatt M 6.9 75' – – – 22 (20%) 2
3 Daníel Grétarsson D 6.8 67' – – – 49 (37%) 2
4 Magnus Knudsen M 6.6 90' – – 1 46 (40%) 5
28 James Bogere F 6.5 16' – – – 3 (1%) –
14 Tobias Mølgaard D 6.5 90' – – – 53 (46%) 2
19 Eric Kahl D 6.4 23' – – – 14 (10%) –
31 Tobias Bech M 6.4 90' – – 2 30 (22%) 2
26 Jacob Andersen D 6.4 44' – – – 14 (9%) 4
10 Kristian Arnstad M 6.3 90' – – – 54 (44%) –
29 R. Carstensen M 6.3 46' – – – 13 (10%) 1
7 Markus Solbakken M 6.3 15' – – – 8 (6%) –
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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult FC Copenhagen win or draw
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FC Copenhagen
WWWWD
Aarhus
DLWWD
Last 3 meetings FC Copenhagen · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

FC Copenhagen faces Aarhus in a Superliga clash on October 18, 2026. FC Copenhagen has historically performed well against Aarhus, with a strong home record that includes a high win percentage in recent fixtures. They boast a solid defensive line, conceding minimal goals this season, while also possessing a potent attack, averaging over two goals per match. Aarhus will need to improve their away form, as they have struggled to secure points on the road. The match could hinge on Copenhagen's ability to control possession and create scoring opportunities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
57%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
18%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

FC Copenhagen
M. Elyounoussi 7 gls
B. Meling 5 gls
Aarhus
J. Serra 5 gls
C. McCowatt 3 gls

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Head to Head: FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus

1 FC Copenhagen Wins
0 Draws
2 Aarhus Wins
Date Home Score Away
30 Nov 2025 Aarhus 2 - 0 FC Copenhagen
08 Aug 2025 FC Copenhagen 2 - 3 Aarhus
27 Apr 2025 Aarhus 1 - 3 FC Copenhagen
See all 10 meetings — Premium

FC Copenhagen — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H Brondby W 1 - 0
05 Nov H FC Iberia 1999 W 2 - 1
02 Nov A Sonderjyske W 0 - 2
29 Oct A Aarhus Fremad W 0 - 3
26 Oct H Odense D 1 - 1

Aarhus — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H SC Braga D 0 - 0
01 Nov A Brondby L 2 - 0
28 Oct A Roskilde W 1 - 2
25 Oct H Viborg W 2 - 1
22 Oct H Egnatia Rrogozhinë D 1 - 1

Superliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Midtjylland
13 9 4 0 +12 31
2
FC Copenhagen
13 9 2 2 +16 29
3
Viborg
14 8 2 4 +9 26
4
Brondby
13 7 1 5 +3 22
5
FC Nordsjaelland
13 5 5 3 +3 20
6
Odense
14 4 5 5 -3 17
7
AC Horsens
13 4 4 5 +2 16
8
Silkeborg
14 3 6 5 -6 15
9
Aarhus
13 2 6 5 -4 12
10
Randers FC
13 3 2 8 -8 11
11
Lyngby
14 2 5 7 -10 11
12
Sonderjyske
13 2 2 9 -14 8

FC Copenhagen

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: B. Svensson
1 Ramaj
15 López
6 Markgráf
4 Sørensen
2 Beijmo
36 Clem
33 Král
16 Robert
10 Elyounoussi
20 Suzuki
39 Dadason

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 D. Ramaj G
2 F. Beijmo D
4 A. Sørensen D
6 A. Markgráf D
15 M. López D
33 A. Král M
36 W. Clem M
20 J. Suzuki M
10 M. Elyounoussi M
16 Robert M
39 V. Dadason F

Substitutes

7 M. Carrizo F
27 T. Delaney M
12 T. Maseko F
21 M. Emil Madsen M
34 M. Nasnas M
28 Hunor Vajk Németh M
31 R. Rúnarsson G
24 B. Meling D
44 G. Vianney F

Aarhus

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: J. Poulsen
1 Hansen
3 Grétarsson
5 Tingager
14 Mølgaard
39 Emmery
4 Knudsen
10 Arnstad
29 Carstensen
18 McCowatt
31 Bech
13 Serra

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Hansen G
14 T. Mølgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
3 D. Grétarsson D
29 R. Carstensen M
10 Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad M
4 M. Knudsen M
39 Frederik Emmery M
31 T. Bech M
18 C. McCowatt M
13 J. Serra F

Substitutes

27 S. Tchamche F
7 M. Solbakken M
25 C. Rösler D
19 E. Kahl D
16 J. Jønsson M
21 M. Hedenstad Christiansen G
28 J. Bogere F
26 J. Andersen D
8 S. Jørgensen M

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