AC Horsens vs Aarhus Prediction
Nordstern Arena Horsens, Horsens
AI call
Aarhus or draw
26%
28%
46%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
AC Horsens vs Aarhus prediction: Sportiko gives AC Horsens a 26% chance of winning, Aarhus 46% and the draw 28%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 15:54.
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Timeline
Adam Herdonsson
Yellow Card
35'
▮
HT 0–0
⚽
0–1
58'
Magnus Knudsen
assist: Tobias Bech
Ole Kolskogen
⇄ Ivan Miličević
59'
⇄
Adam Herdonsson
⇄ Karlo Lusavec
59'
⇄
Alagie Saine
Yellow Card
60'
▮
⇄
61'
Tobias Bech
⇄ Sebastian Jørgensen
Yamirou Ouorou
66'
⇄
⇄
67'
Frederik Emmery
⇄ Stefen Tchamche
⇄
67'
Janni Serra
⇄ Callum McCowatt
⚽
0–2
68'
Callum McCowatt
Adrian Justinussen
⇄ Jacob Bonde
77'
⇄
Abdul Moro
⇄ J. Körkkö
77'
⇄
⇄
84'
Colin Rösler
⇄ Jacob Andersen
⇄
84'
R. Carstensen
⇄ Frederik Tingager
▮
89'
Kristian Arnstad
Yellow Card
Jacob Bonde
assist: Victor Pálsson
89'
⚽
1–2
Ivan Miličević
90+4'
⚽
2–2
▮
90+5'
Mikael Anderson
Yellow Card
FT 2–2
AC Horsens
Match Stats
Aarhus
53%
Ball Possession
47%
19
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Goal
3
9
Shots off Goal
9
5
Blocked Shots
2
9
Shots insidebox
9
10
Shots outsidebox
5
3
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
0
17
Fouls
6
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
483
Total passes
426
382
Passes accurate
339
5
Free Kicks
17
AC Horsens
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Victor Pálsson D | 7.1 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 53 (40%) | 1 |
| 35 Mikkel Kupijbida D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 72 (67%) | 1 |
| 6 Jacob Bonde M | 6.9 | 13' | 1 | – | 1 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 20 Karlo Lusavec M | 6.9 | 31' | – | – | 2 | 23 (22%) | 1 |
| Seamus Maughan | 6.6 | 24' | – | – | 2 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 24 Ole Kolskogen D | 6.6 | 59' | – | – | – | 25 (22%) | – |
| 18 J. Körkkö F | 6.5 | 13' | – | – | 2 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 7 Ivan Miličević D | 6.4 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 20 (14%) | 1 |
| 11 Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 16 (10%) | 2 |
| 28 Alagie Saine D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 57 (48%) | 1 |
| 16 Abdul Moro M | 6.1 | 77' | – | – | 2 | 56 (46%) | – |
| 14 Julius Madsen M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 34 (25%) | – |
| 27 Yamirou Ouorou M | 5.8 | 66' | – | – | 1 | 24 (15%) | 1 |
| 15 Adrian Justinussen M | 5.7 | 77' | – | – | – | 21 (15%) | 3 |
| 1 Matej Delač G | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (23%) | – |
| 17 Adam Herdonsson M | 5.3 | 59' | – | – | – | 28 (18%) | – |
Aarhus
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Magnus Knudsen M | 8.1 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 44 (37%) | 3 |
| 31 Tobias Bech M | 7.7 | 61' | – | 1 | 2 | 15 (12%) | 2 |
| 18 Callum McCowatt M | 7.3 | 23' | 1 | – | 1 | 7 (4%) | – |
| 3 Daníel Grétarsson D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 64 (56%) | 3 |
| 14 Tobias Mølgaard D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 63 (58%) | 1 |
| 21 Mads Hedenstad G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (23%) | – |
| 25 Colin Rösler D | 6.8 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 40 (32%) | – |
| 23 Mikael Anderson M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 23 (22%) | 3 |
| 5 Frederik Tingager D | 6.6 | 6' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 26 Jacob Andersen D | 6.6 | 6' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 8 Sebastian Jørgensen M | 6.5 | 29' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | 1 |
| 27 Stefen Tchamche F | 6.5 | 23' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | 1 |
| 10 Kristian Arnstad M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 57 (46%) | 1 |
| 13 Janni Serra F | 6.3 | 67' | – | – | – | 11 (6%) | 1 |
| 29 R. Carstensen M | 6.2 | 84' | – | – | 2 | 39 (28%) | – |
| 39 Frederik Emmery M | 6.1 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 11 (10%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (46%)
At a glance
Our lean
Aarhus or draw
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AC Horsens
DWLWL
Aarhus
DWLDL
Last 3 meetings
AC Horsens · 1W 0D 2L
Match summary
AC Horsens faces Aarhus in the Superliga on September 20, 2026. Horsens has struggled with consistency, currently positioned lower in the standings, while Aarhus has shown stronger form, particularly in away games. Key players to watch include Horsens' top scorer, who has been pivotal in recent matches, and Aarhus' solid defense that has conceded fewer goals on average. The outcome may hinge on whether Horsens can capitalize on their scoring opportunities against a well-organized Aarhus side. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they aim for points to improve their league standings.
Live insights
90'
Goal
80% sure
Late goal makes it 1-2! Aarhus win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.
90'
Goal
65% sure
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
76'
time check
80% sure
Min 76: Aarhus leads 0-2. Win probability: 98.8%. Comeback chance: 1.2%.
68'
Goal
85% sure
Aarhus now leads 0-2 with 97.6% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 49.2%.
58'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 0-1. Aarhus win: 79.6%. BTTS: 34.5%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
26%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
46%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
AC Horsens
K. Ehibhatiomhan
4 gls
Aarhus
C. McCowatt
3 gls
J. Serra
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: AC Horsens vs Aarhus
1
AC Horsens Wins
0
Draws
2
Aarhus Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar 2023 | Aarhus | 2 - 0 | AC Horsens |
| 26 Aug 2022 | AC Horsens | 2 - 1 | Aarhus |
| 13 Dec 2020 | AC Horsens | 1 - 2 | Aarhus |
AC Horsens — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Aarhus | D | 2 - 2 |
| 16 Sep | A Næsby | W | 2 - 3 |
| 11 Sep | A FC Copenhagen | L | 2 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Sonderjyske | W | 2 - 5 |
| 28 Aug | H Viborg | L | 2 - 3 |
Aarhus — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A AC Horsens | D | 2 - 2 |
| 16 Sep | A Skjold Sæby | W | 1 - 6 |
| 13 Sep | A FC Nordsjaelland | L | 2 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Silkeborg | D | 2 - 2 |
| 02 Sep | H FC Midtjylland | L | 0 - 2 |
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Copenhagen
|
9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 8 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 |
FC Midtjylland
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 |
Viborg
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 4 |
FC Nordsjaelland
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 |
Brondby
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 13 |
| 6 |
AC Horsens
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 |
Silkeborg
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 |
Randers FC
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Odense
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 |
Lyngby
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 |
Aarhus
|
9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 12 |
Sonderjyske
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 5 |
Aarhus
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: J. Poulsen
21
Christiansen
25
Rösler
3
Grétarsson
14
Mølgaard
39
Emmery
10
Arnstad
4
Knudsen
29
Carstensen
23
Anderson
31
Bech
13
Serra
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | M. Hedenstad Christiansen | G |
| 14 | T. Mølgaard | D |
| 3 | D. Grétarsson | D |
| 25 | C. Rösler | D |
| 29 | R. Carstensen | M |
| 4 | M. Knudsen | M |
| 10 | Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad | M |
| 39 | Frederik Emmery | M |
| 31 | T. Bech | M |
| 23 | M. Anderson | M |
| 13 | J. Serra | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | J. Jønsson | M |
| 18 | C. McCowatt | M |
| 27 | S. Tchamche | F |
| 33 | Luka Callø | D |
| 28 | J. Bogere | F |
| 5 | F. Tingager | D |
| 26 | J. Andersen | D |
| 8 | S. Jørgensen | M |
| 1 | J. Hansen | G |
AC Horsens
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Ramón Catalá
1
Delač
28
Saine
35
Kupijbida
24
Kolskogen
26
Pálsson
17
Herdonsson
16
Moro
15
Justinussen
14
Madsen
27
Ouorou
11
Ehibhatiomhan
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Delač | G |
| 26 | V. Pálsson | D |
| 24 | O. Kolskogen | D |
| 35 | M. Kupijbida | D |
| 28 | A. Saine | D |
| 16 | A. Moro | M |
| 17 | A. Herdonsson | M |
| 27 | Y. Ouorou | M |
| 14 | J. Madsen | M |
| 15 | A. Justinussen | M |
| 11 | K. Ehibhatiomhan | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | J. Batigi | F |
| 41 | Kingsley Bimpong | F |
| 6 | J. Bonde | M |
| 30 | S. Doua | D |
| 18 | J. Körkkö | F |
| 20 | K. Lusavec | M |
| 7 | I. Miličević | D |
| 31 | A. Hoff | G |
| 25 | Fallou Sene | F |