Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 16

12 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Sturm Graz

Away

Merkur Arena, Graz

AI call Sturm Graz to win or draw

12%

21%

67%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz prediction: Sportiko gives Grazer AK a 12% chance of winning, Sturm Graz 67% and the draw 21%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 11.4%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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Grazer AK

DWWDL

Sturm Graz

LDWWL

Last 3 meetings Grazer AK · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash between Grazer AK and Sturm Graz, both teams will look to secure vital points. Grazer AK has shown a tendency to perform well defensively, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match this season. Conversely, Sturm Graz boasts a more potent attack, averaging 2.1 goals per match, showcasing their offensive strength. The match dynamics may hinge on Grazer AK's ability to stifle Sturm Graz's attack while capitalizing on set-pieces or counter-attacks. Ultimately, the result could be influenced by the tactical adjustments made by both managers in this high-stakes encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sturm Graz goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	9	11	9	5	2
1	3	10	10	8	4	2
2	2	4	4	3	2	1
3	1	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Grazer AK goals · most likely 0–2 (11.4%)

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Players in form

Grazer AK

A. Hofleitner 3 gls

Sturm Graz

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

67%

Draw

21%

Home Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

67%

Draw

21%

Home Win

12%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

84% Away (No Draw) 16% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

44% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Away Scores More 21% Equal Goals 12% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.6%	8.9%	11.4%	8.6%	4.9%
1	2.7%	10.0%	10.0%	7.6%	4.3%
2	1.7%	3.9%	4.4%	3.3%	1.9%
3	0.5%	1.1%	1.3%	1.0%	0.6%
4	0.1%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Grazer AK	Draw	Sturm Graz
Grazer AK	7.3%	3.8%	3.5%
Draw	4.5%	12.4%	21.7%
Sturm Graz	0.8%	2.9%	43.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

35%

1.5

65%

62%

2.5

38%

83%

3.5

17%

Away Exact Goals

11%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz

0 Grazer AK Wins

0 Draws

3 Sturm Graz Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Dec 2025	Sturm Graz	2 - 1	Grazer AK
30 Aug 2025	Grazer AK	0 - 3	Sturm Graz
09 Mar 2025	Grazer AK	1 - 2	Sturm Graz

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Grazer AK — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Austria Vienna	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A SCR Altach	W	1 - 2
06 Sep	A Kitzbühel	W	0 - 2
29 Aug	H Wolfsberger AC	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	A Ried	L	1 - 0

Sturm Graz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Red Bull Salzburg	L	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Rennes	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	H Lask Linz	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Voitsberg	W	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Rapid Vienna	L	3 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	7	6	0	1	21	7	+14	18
2	Red Bull Salzburg	7	5	2	0	18	4	+14	17
3	Lask Linz	7	5	1	1	19	7	+12	16
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	8	9	-1	11
5	Ried	7	2	2	3	11	12	-1	8
6	TSV Hartberg	7	2	2	3	10	13	-3	8
7	WSG Wattens	7	2	2	3	9	12	-3	8
8	Austria Lustenau	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
9	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	6	16	-10	8
10	Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	7	13	-6	7
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	7	13	-6	5
12	SCR Altach	7	1	0	6	5	12	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.