Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 12

07 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Red Bull Salzburg

Away

Merkur Arena, Graz

AI call Difficult Sturm Graz win or draw

50%

26%

24%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction: Sportiko gives Sturm Graz a 50% chance of winning, Red Bull Salzburg 24% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.9%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

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Sturm Graz

LDWWL

Red Bull Salzburg

WWDWW

Last 3 meetings Sturm Graz · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In this Bundesliga clash, Sturm Graz will face Red Bull Salzburg, who currently lead the league with a strong offensive record. Salzburg averages 2.5 goals per match, showcasing their attacking prowess, while Sturm Graz has struggled defensively, conceding 1.7 goals per game. The matchup will heavily depend on Sturm's ability to contain Salzburg's dynamic forwards and convert their chances, as they average just 1.4 goals per match. This contest promises to be pivotal for both teams as they vie for crucial points in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Red Bull Salzburg goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	4	3	1
1	7	12	6	3	1
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	5	6	4	2
4	2	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Sturm Graz goals · most likely 1–1 (11.9%)

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Players in form

Sturm Graz

No scorer data.

Red Bull Salzburg

K. Konaté 4 gls

H. Tabaković 3 gls

Y. Vertessen 2 gls

N. Veratschnig 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

26%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

41%

2.5

59%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

26%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

68% Home (No Draw) 32% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

41%

2.5

59%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	4.3%	3.5%	1.4%	0.4%
1	7.2%	11.9%	6.5%	2.7%	0.8%
2	8.0%	9.8%	6.0%	2.5%	0.8%
3	5.0%	6.1%	3.8%	1.5%	0.5%
4	2.3%	2.9%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

48%

1.5

52%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sturm Graz	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz	29.9%	3.6%	1.3%
Draw	18.4%	14.8%	8.0%
Red Bull Salzburg	3.7%	5.2%	15.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg

0 Sturm Graz Wins

2 Draws

1 Red Bull Salzburg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Sep 2026	Red Bull Salzburg	3 - 0	Sturm Graz
20 Mar 2026	Sturm Graz	1 - 1	Red Bull Salzburg
09 Nov 2025	Sturm Graz	1 - 1	Red Bull Salzburg

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Sturm Graz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Red Bull Salzburg	L	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Rennes	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	H Lask Linz	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Voitsberg	W	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Rapid Vienna	L	3 - 1

Red Bull Salzburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Sturm Graz	W	3 - 0
17 Sep	A Levski Sofia	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	A Ried	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A SKN ST. Polten	W	0 - 3
02 Sep	H Rapid Vienna	W	5 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	7	6	0	1	21	7	+14	18
2	Red Bull Salzburg	7	5	2	0	18	4	+14	17
3	Lask Linz	7	5	1	1	19	7	+12	16
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	8	9	-1	11
5	Ried	7	2	2	3	11	12	-1	8
6	TSV Hartberg	7	2	2	3	10	13	-3	8
7	WSG Wattens	7	2	2	3	9	12	-3	8
8	Austria Lustenau	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
9	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	6	16	-10	8
10	Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	7	13	-6	7
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	7	13	-6	5
12	SCR Altach	7	1	0	6	5	12	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.