Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8

10 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Red Bull Salzburg

Away

Merkur Arena, Graz

AI call Difficult Red Bull Salzburg win or draw

18%

26%

57%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction: Sportiko gives Grazer AK a 18% chance of winning, Red Bull Salzburg 57% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.3%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Grazer AK

DWWDL

Red Bull Salzburg

WWDWW

Last 3 meetings Grazer AK · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Grazer AK faces a challenging matchup against Red Bull Salzburg in the Bundesliga. Salzburg has been dominant in the league, boasting a strong offensive line that averages over 2.5 goals per match this season. Grazer AK, while competitive, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. The contrast in attacking prowess and defensive solidity suggests that Salzburg will likely control the game, making it crucial for Grazer AK to capitalize on any scoring opportunities to secure a possible upset.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Red Bull Salzburg goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	10	11	7	3	1
1	5	12	10	6	3	1
2	3	5	5	3	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Grazer AK goals · most likely 1–1 (12.3%)

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Players in form

Grazer AK

A. Hofleitner 3 gls

Red Bull Salzburg

K. Konaté 4 gls

H. Tabaković 3 gls

Y. Vertessen 2 gls

N. Veratschnig 2 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

26%

Home Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

26%

Home Win

18%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

76% Away (No Draw) 24% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 18% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	10.3%	10.7%	6.5%	3.0%
1	4.5%	12.3%	10.0%	6.1%	2.8%
2	2.8%	5.1%	4.6%	2.8%	1.3%
3	0.9%	1.6%	1.4%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Grazer AK	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
Grazer AK	9.6%	3.7%	2.4%
Draw	7.3%	16.0%	18.7%
Red Bull Salzburg	1.2%	4.0%	37.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg

0 Grazer AK Wins

2 Draws

1 Red Bull Salzburg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Feb 2026	Grazer AK	1 - 1	Red Bull Salzburg
09 Aug 2025	Red Bull Salzburg	5 - 0	Grazer AK
02 Nov 2024	Red Bull Salzburg	0 - 0	Grazer AK

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Grazer AK — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Austria Vienna	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A SCR Altach	W	1 - 2
06 Sep	A Kitzbühel	W	0 - 2
29 Aug	H Wolfsberger AC	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	A Ried	L	1 - 0

Red Bull Salzburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Sturm Graz	W	3 - 0
17 Sep	A Levski Sofia	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	A Ried	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A SKN ST. Polten	W	0 - 3
02 Sep	H Rapid Vienna	W	5 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	7	6	0	1	21	7	+14	18
2	Red Bull Salzburg	7	5	2	0	18	4	+14	17
3	Lask Linz	7	5	1	1	19	7	+12	16
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	8	9	-1	11
5	Ried	7	2	2	3	11	12	-1	8
6	TSV Hartberg	7	2	2	3	10	13	-3	8
7	WSG Wattens	7	2	2	3	9	12	-3	8
8	Austria Lustenau	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
9	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	6	16	-10	8
10	Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	7	13	-6	7
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	7	13	-6	5
12	SCR Altach	7	1	0	6	5	12	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.