Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8

10 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Sturm Graz

Away

AI call Too close to call

38%

26%

35%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz prediction: Sportiko gives Austria Vienna a 38% chance of winning, Sturm Graz 35% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.9%

Both teams to score

65%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

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Austria Vienna

DWWLL

Sturm Graz

LDWWL

Last 3 meetings Austria Vienna · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Austria Vienna faces Sturm Graz in a crucial match. Austria Vienna has shown a strong home record this season, averaging 1.8 goals per match while conceding 1.2. Conversely, Sturm Graz has been resilient on the road, with a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.9 goals per away game. The match will likely hinge on Austria Vienna's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities against a disciplined Sturm Graz defense. Both teams will aim to secure crucial points as they vie for a higher position in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

38%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

35%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sturm Graz goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	5	5	3	1
1	5	12	8	4	2	1
2	6	9	7	4	1
3	3	5	4	2	1
4	1	2	2	1
5		1

↑ Austria Vienna goals · most likely 1–1 (11.9%)

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Players in form

Austria Vienna

M. Fischer 2 gls

J. Hettwer 2 gls

Sturm Graz

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

35%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS Yes 35% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

35%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

52% Home (No Draw) 48% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 17% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 35% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS Yes 35% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

23%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.5%	5.1%	5.0%	2.6%	1.0%
1	5.4%	11.9%	8.2%	4.3%	1.7%
2	5.6%	8.7%	6.8%	3.5%	1.4%
3	3.0%	4.7%	3.7%	1.9%	0.8%
4	1.2%	1.9%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Austria Vienna	Draw	Sturm Graz
Austria Vienna	27.7%	6.4%	3.6%
Draw	10.3%	14.7%	14.1%
Sturm Graz	1.5%	3.3%	18.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz

2 Austria Vienna Wins

0 Draws

1 Sturm Graz Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Mar 2026	Austria Vienna	2 - 5	Sturm Graz
14 Dec 2025	Austria Vienna	3 - 1	Sturm Graz
14 Sep 2025	Sturm Graz	0 - 1	Austria Vienna

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Austria Vienna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Grazer AK	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Austria Lustenau	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Traiskirchen	W	0 - 6
02 Sep	H WSG Wattens	L	0 - 1
30 Aug	A Red Bull Salzburg	L	4 - 1

Sturm Graz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Red Bull Salzburg	L	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Rennes	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	H Lask Linz	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Voitsberg	W	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Rapid Vienna	L	3 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	7	6	0	1	21	7	+14	18
2	Red Bull Salzburg	7	5	2	0	18	4	+14	17
3	Lask Linz	7	5	1	1	19	7	+12	16
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	8	9	-1	11
5	Ried	7	2	2	3	11	12	-1	8
6	TSV Hartberg	7	2	2	3	10	13	-3	8
7	WSG Wattens	7	2	2	3	9	12	-3	8
8	Austria Lustenau	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
9	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	6	16	-10	8
10	Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	7	13	-6	7
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	7	13	-6	5
12	SCR Altach	7	1	0	6	5	12	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.