Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz Prediction
FT
AI call
Rapid Vienna or draw
48%
25%
26%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz prediction: Sportiko gives Rapid Vienna a 48% chance of winning, Sturm Graz 26% and the draw 25%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 17:00.
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Timeline
▮
3'
Jurgen Heil
Yellow Card
Yusuf Demir
Penalty
7'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
10'
Belmin Beganović
assist: Simon Seidl
Marco Tilio
assist: Tonni Adamsen
17'
⚽
2–1
HT 2–1
⇄
46'
Emran Soglo
⇄ Luís Balbo
Jannes Horn
⇄ Eaden Roka
46'
⇄
⇄
46'
Jacob Hödl
⇄ Gizo Mamageishvili
▮
53'
Jon Gorenc Stanković
Yellow Card
Romeo Amane
Yellow Card
59'
▮
⇄
59'
Belmin Beganović
⇄ Nelson Weiper
Marco Tilio
⇄ Petter Nosakhare Dahl
61'
⇄
▮
65'
Luca Weinhandl
Yellow Card
Romeo Amane
⇄ Matthias Seidl
73'
⇄
Tonni Adamsen
⇄ Ercan Kara
73'
⇄
⇄
75'
Simon Seidl
⇄ Valmir Matoshi
⇄
81'
Paul Koller
⇄ Joshua Quarshie
Moulaye Haïdara
⇄ Nikolaus Wurmbrand
84'
⇄
Petter Nosakhare Dahl
assist: Yusuf Demir
86'
⚽
3–1
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
Yellow Card
89'
▮
▮
90'
Albert Vallci
Red Card
FT 3–1
Rapid Vienna
Match Stats
Sturm Graz
56%
Ball Possession
44%
2.01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
15
Total Shots
19
6
Shots on Goal
5
6
Shots off Goal
10
3
Blocked Shots
4
9
Shots insidebox
7
6
Shots outsidebox
12
6
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
5
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
441
Total passes
352
359
Passes accurate
270
81%
Passes %
77%
-0.85
goals_prevented
-0.85
Rapid Vienna
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Petter Nosakhare Dahl F | 7.9 | 29' | 1 | – | 2 | 7 (5%) | 2 |
| 22 Yusuf Demir M | 7.7 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 39 (33%) | – |
| 7 Marco Tilio M | 7.0 | 61' | 1 | – | 2 | 12 (7%) | 3 |
| 1 Niklas Hedl G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (29%) | – |
| 55 Nenad Cvetković D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (30%) | 2 |
| 8 Tonni Adamsen F | 6.9 | 73' | – | 1 | 1 | 24 (13%) | – |
| 2 Eaden Roka D | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 16 (15%) | – |
| 43 Moulaye Haïdara M | 6.9 | 84' | – | – | 2 | 18 (12%) | – |
| 18 Matthias Seidl M | 6.7 | 17' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | – |
| 30 Nicolas Bajlicz M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (47%) | 3 |
| 6 Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (40%) | – |
| 29 Romeo Amane M | 6.6 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 38 (31%) | 3 |
| 9 Ercan Kara F | 6.6 | 17' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 38 Jannes Horn D | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 24 (24%) | – |
| 77 Bendegúz Bolla D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 46 (38%) | – |
| 15 Nikolaus Wurmbrand F | — | 6' | – | – | – | – | – |
Sturm Graz
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Belmin Beganović F | 7.2 | 59' | 1 | – | 3 | 12 (10%) | – |
| 5 Albert Vallci D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 51 (44%) | 3 |
| 15 Gizo Mamageishvili M | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 9 (6%) | 1 |
| 19 Simon Seidl M | 6.7 | 75' | – | 1 | 2 | 23 (18%) | – |
| 20 Seedy Jatta F | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 14 (10%) | – |
| 30 Paul Koller D | 6.7 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 45 (42%) | 1 |
| 27 Luís Balbo D | 6.6 | 45' | – | – | – | 11 (6%) | – |
| 18 Emran Soglo D | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 17 (11%) | 1 |
| 39 Luca Weinhandl M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (20%) | 2 |
| 4 Jon Gorenc Stanković M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 43 (31%) | 3 |
| 22 Ammar Helac G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (26%) | – |
| 2 Joshua Quarshie D | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 7 (4%) | – |
| 78 Valmir Matoshi M | 6.2 | 15' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 44 Nelson Weiper F | 6.0 | 31' | – | – | 3 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 28 Jurgen Heil D | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (27%) | 1 |
| 43 Jacob Hödl M | 5.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 12 (7%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (48%)
At a glance
Our lean
Rapid Vienna or draw
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Rapid Vienna
WWWLW
Sturm Graz
LDWWL
Last 3 meetings
Rapid Vienna · 3W 0D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming Bundesliga clash on August 30, 2026, Rapid Vienna will face Sturm Graz. Rapid has historically performed well at home, boasting a strong record in previous encounters, particularly against Sturm, where they have often capitalized on their attacking prowess. Sturm Graz, however, will look to counter with their solid defensive structure and recent form, which has shown resilience in away matches. Key players for both teams will be essential, as Rapid's offensive capabilities will be tested against Sturm's disciplined defense. Expect a closely contested match with potential for both teams to create scoring opportunities.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
48%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
26%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Rapid Vienna
T. Adamsen
4 gls
E. Kara
3 gls
P. Dahl
3 gls
Sturm Graz
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz
3
Rapid Vienna Wins
0
Draws
0
Sturm Graz Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov 2025 | Rapid Vienna | 2 - 1 | Sturm Graz |
| 10 Aug 2025 | Sturm Graz | 1 - 2 | Rapid Vienna |
| 18 May 2025 | Rapid Vienna | 3 - 1 | Sturm Graz |
Rapid Vienna — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H WSG Wattens | W | 3 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A Wolfsberger AC | W | 0 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A Austria Klagenfurt | W | 2 - 5 |
| 02 Sep | A Red Bull Salzburg | L | 5 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | H Sturm Graz | W | 3 - 1 |
Sturm Graz — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Red Bull Salzburg | L | 3 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | H Rennes | D | 0 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H Lask Linz | W | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Voitsberg | W | 1 - 4 |
| 30 Aug | A Rapid Vienna | L | 3 - 1 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rapid Vienna
|
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | +14 | 18 |
| 2 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 4 | +14 | 17 |
| 3 |
Lask Linz
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 16 |
| 4 |
Sturm Graz
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 5 |
Ried
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 |
TSV Hartberg
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 |
WSG Wattens
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 |
Austria Lustenau
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 |
Grazer AK
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 8 |
| 10 |
Austria Vienna
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 |
Wolfsberger AC
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
| 12 |
SCR Altach
|
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
Sturm Graz
Formation: 4-2-2-2
Coach: F. Ingolitsch
22
Helac
18
Soglo
30
Koller
5
Vallci
28
Heil
4
Stanković
39
Weinhandl
43
Hödl
19
Seidl
26
Beganović
20
Jatta
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Ammar Helac | G |
| 28 | Jurgen Heil | D |
| 5 | Albert Vallci | D |
| 30 | Paul Koller | D |
| 18 | Emran Soglo | D |
| 39 | Luca Weinhandl | M |
| 4 | Jon Gorenc Stanković | M |
| 19 | Simon Seidl | M |
| 43 | Jacob Hödl | M |
| 20 | Seedy Jatta | F |
| 26 | Belmin Beganović | F |
Substitutes
| 27 | Luís Balbo | D |
| 15 | Gizo Mamageishvili | M |
| 44 | Nelson Weiper | F |
| 41 | Elias Lorenz | G |
| 21 | Petar Petrović | D |
| 2 | Joshua Quarshie | D |
| 23 | Arjan Malić | D |
| 78 | Valmir Matoshi | M |
| 11 | Axel Kayombo | F |
Rapid Vienna
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Johannes Thorup
1
Hedl
38
Horn
6
Raux-Yao
55
Cvetković
77
Bolla
30
Bajlicz
29
Amane
43
Haïdara
22
Demir
7
Tilio
8
Adamsen
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niklas Hedl | G |
| 77 | Bendegúz Bolla | D |
| 55 | Nenad Cvetković | D |
| 6 | Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao | D |
| 38 | Jannes Horn | D |
| 29 | Romeo Amane | M |
| 30 | Nicolas Bajlicz | M |
| 7 | Marco Tilio | M |
| 22 | Yusuf Demir | M |
| 43 | Moulaye Haïdara | M |
| 8 | Tonni Adamsen | F |
Substitutes
| 2 | Eaden Roka | D |
| 10 | Petter Nosakhare Dahl | F |
| 25 | Paul Gartler | G |
| 61 | Furkan Demir | D |
| 47 | Amin Gröller | D |
| 18 | Matthias Seidl | M |
| 21 | Louis Schaub | M |
| 9 | Ercan Kara | F |
| 15 | Nikolaus Wurmbrand | F |