Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4

23 Aug 2026, 17:00

Post on X

Rapid Vienna

Away

AI call Red Bull Salzburg or draw

41%

28%

32%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna prediction: Sportiko gives Red Bull Salzburg a 41% chance of winning, Rapid Vienna 32% and the draw 28%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:54.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Red Bull Salzburg

WWWLW

Rapid Vienna

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings Red Bull Salzburg · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Red Bull Salzburg faces Rapid Vienna in a Bundesliga clash on August 23, 2026. Salzburg has demonstrated a strong attacking form, averaging 2.5 goals per match in their last five outings, while Rapid Vienna has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals. The match will be crucial for both teams, as Salzburg aims to maintain their title challenge and Rapid seeks to secure vital points for European qualification. Expect a high-tempo game with Salzburg likely to dominate possession given their recent performances.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

41%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

32%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rapid Vienna goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	5	2	1
1	7	13	8	4	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	3	5	3	1	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Red Bull Salzburg goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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Players in form

Red Bull Salzburg

K. Konaté 1 gls

D. Schmid 0 gls

Rapid Vienna

P. Dahl 1 gls

M. Seidl 0 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

32%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

32%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Home Scores More 32% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.8%	5.8%	5.0%	2.3%	0.8%
1	6.9%	13.0%	7.9%	3.6%	1.2%
2	6.6%	9.0%	6.2%	2.8%	1.0%
3	3.4%	4.7%	3.2%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.4%	1.9%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

48%

1.5

52%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Rapid Vienna
Red Bull Salzburg	24.4%	4.7%	2.3%
Draw	14.8%	16.4%	12.4%
Rapid Vienna	2.5%	4.5%	18.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna

1 Red Bull Salzburg Wins

0 Draws

2 Rapid Vienna Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Mar 2026	Red Bull Salzburg	0 - 1	Rapid Vienna
08 Mar 2026	Rapid Vienna	1 - 0	Red Bull Salzburg
05 Oct 2025	Red Bull Salzburg	2 - 1	Rapid Vienna

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Red Bull Salzburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	H Pafos	W	1 - 0
01 Aug	H TSV Hartberg	W	1 - 0
25 Jul	A Oberwart	W	1 - 7
15 Jul	H Başakşehir	L	1 - 2
04 Jul	H Gornik Zabrze	W	2 - 1

Rapid Vienna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A Paide	W	1 - 4
02 Aug	H SCR Altach	W	1 - 0
29 Jul	H FC Santa Coloma	W	6 - 2
26 Jul	A Wienerberg	W	0 - 3
23 Jul	A FC Santa Coloma	W	1 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Wolfsberger AC	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
2	Lask Linz	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
3	SCR Altach	2	1	0	1	3	2	+1	3
4	Rapid Vienna	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
5	Red Bull Salzburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
6	Ried	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
7	Austria Lustenau	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
8	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
9	WSG Wattens	2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1
10	TSV Hartberg	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
11	Grazer AK	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0
12	Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.