Ried vs Grazer AK Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4

21 Aug 2026, 17:30

Post on X

Grazer AK

Away

AI call Ried or draw

39%

29%

31%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Ried vs Grazer AK prediction: Sportiko gives Ried a 39% chance of winning, Grazer AK 31% and the draw 29%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:54.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Ried

DWDDL

Grazer AK

LWLWW

Last 2 meetings Ried · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

Ried faces Grazer AK in a Bundesliga clash, with both teams looking to establish momentum early in the season. Ried will rely on their home form, which historically shows a stronger defensive record, while Grazer AK aims to exploit their attacking prowess, having scored an average of 1.5 goals per match last season. Key players to watch include Ried's top scorer from last season and Grazer's creative midfielder, who can change the game's dynamics. Set pieces may also play a crucial role, given both teams' tendencies to concede from corners. Expect a tightly contested match as both squads seek to capitalize on their strengths.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

31%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Grazer AK goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	7	5	2	1
1	8	14	8	3	1
2	7	9	5	2	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Ried goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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Players in form

Ried

J. Nasrawe 1 gls

A. Bajić 0 gls

Grazer AK

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

31%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

31%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 31% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	7.2%	5.4%	2.2%	0.7%
1	8.5%	14.1%	7.7%	3.1%	1.0%
2	7.1%	8.8%	5.4%	2.2%	0.7%
3	3.4%	4.1%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.2%	1.5%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ried	Draw	Grazer AK
Ried	23.6%	4.4%	1.8%
Draw	14.8%	18.3%	11.9%
Grazer AK	2.2%	4.6%	18.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ried vs Grazer AK

0 Ried Wins

1 Draws

1 Grazer AK Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Mar 2026	Grazer AK	2 - 1	Ried
27 Sep 2025	Ried	0 - 0	Grazer AK

Ried — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	A Austria Lustenau	D	1 - 1
24 Jul	A Dornbirn	W	1 - 5
10 Jul	H Başakşehir	D	1 - 1
26 Jun	H Austria Salzburg	D	2 - 2
21 Mar	A FC BW Linz	L	3 - 2

Grazer AK — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Jul	A Lask Linz	L	3 - 0
25 Jul	A Fach-Donaufeld	W	0 - 4
07 Jul	H First Vienna	L	2 - 4
21 Mar	A WSG Wattens	W	1 - 5
14 Mar	H Wolfsberger AC	W	2 - 0

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Wolfsberger AC	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
2	Lask Linz	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
3	SCR Altach	2	1	0	1	3	2	+1	3
4	Rapid Vienna	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
5	Red Bull Salzburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
6	Ried	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
7	Austria Lustenau	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
8	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
9	WSG Wattens	2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1
10	TSV Hartberg	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
11	Grazer AK	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0
12	Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.