FC Zurich vs FC Lugano Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 16

05 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

FC Lugano

Away

AI call Difficult FC Lugano win or draw

17%

27%

56%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Zurich vs FC Lugano prediction: Sportiko gives FC Zurich a 17% chance of winning, FC Lugano 56% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.8%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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FC Zurich

DWDLW

FC Lugano

WWDWW

Last 3 meetings FC Zurich · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Super League clash, FC Zurich faces FC Lugano. FC Zurich has shown strong form at home, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while their defense has conceded just 0.9 goals. FC Lugano, on the other hand, struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Both teams will need to capitalize on set pieces, as FC Zurich has scored 30% of their goals from dead-ball situations. Expect a tightly contested match, but Zurich’s superior home scoring rate could be decisive.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

17%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

56%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Lugano goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	12	12	7	3	1
1	5	13	10	5	2	1
2	3	5	4	2	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ FC Zurich goals · most likely 1–1 (12.8%)

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Players in form

FC Zurich

U. Emmanuel 4 gls

FC Lugano

D. Moncada 3 gls

H. Delcroix 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

27%

Home Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

27%

Home Win

17%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

77% Away (No Draw) 23% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 17% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	12.2%	11.6%	6.6%	2.8%
1	5.2%	12.8%	9.6%	5.5%	2.3%
2	2.8%	4.7%	4.0%	2.3%	1.0%
3	0.8%	1.3%	1.1%	0.6%	0.3%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Zurich	Draw	FC Lugano
FC Zurich	9.4%	3.7%	2.3%
Draw	7.0%	17.4%	19.3%
FC Lugano	1.0%	3.7%	36.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

50%

1.5

50%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Zurich vs FC Lugano

0 FC Zurich Wins

0 Draws

3 FC Lugano Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Aug 2026	FC Lugano	5 - 0	FC Zurich
11 Apr 2026	FC Zurich	0 - 1	FC Lugano
17 Dec 2025	FC Zurich	0 - 1	FC Lugano

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FC Zurich — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A FC Sion	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	H FC Vaduz	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Grasshoppers	D	2 - 2
01 Sep	H BSC Young Boys	L	2 - 4
29 Aug	A Lausanne	W	2 - 3

FC Lugano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Lausanne	W	0 - 4
16 Sep	H FC ST. Gallen	W	4 - 1
12 Sep	H BSC Young Boys	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A FC Basel 1893	W	1 - 3
03 Sep	H Servette FC	W	1 - 0

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	9	8	1	0	27	7	+20	25
2	BSC Young Boys	9	5	4	0	31	18	+13	19
3	FC Sion	9	6	1	2	23	14	+9	19
4	FC Basel 1893	9	4	1	4	17	17	0	13
5	FC ST. Gallen	9	4	1	4	16	19	-3	13
6	FC Luzern	9	3	3	3	17	18	-1	12
7	FC Zurich	9	3	2	4	14	20	-6	11
8	Servette FC	9	3	1	5	11	13	-2	10
9	FC Thun	9	3	1	5	15	23	-8	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	13	24	-11	8
11	FC Vaduz	9	2	0	7	18	21	-3	6
12	Lausanne	9	1	3	5	7	15	-8	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.