FC Luzern vs FC Lugano Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 15

28 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

FC Lugano

Away

swissporarena, Luzern

AI call FC Lugano to win

16%

79%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Luzern vs FC Lugano prediction: Sportiko gives FC Luzern a 4% chance of winning, FC Lugano 79% and the draw 16%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 18.5%

Both teams to score

30%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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FC Luzern

WLDWD

FC Lugano

WWDWW

Last 3 meetings FC Luzern · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Super League match, FC Luzern faces FC Lugano with both teams looking to solidify their standings. FC Luzern has shown a strong home record, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game at home this season. Conversely, FC Lugano has struggled on the road, with only 1 win in their last 5 away matches. Both teams will need to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, but Luzern's offensive form could give them the edge in this encounter. Expect a competitive match with tactical battles in midfield, but Luzern's home performance may tilt the odds in their favor.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Lugano goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	15	19	14	8	4
1	2	7	7	6	3	1
2	1	1	1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ FC Luzern goals · most likely 0–2 (18.5%)

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Players in form

FC Luzern

D. Mikołajewski 4 gls

FC Lugano

D. Moncada 3 gls

H. Delcroix 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

79%

Draw

16%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

79%

Draw

16%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

95% Away (No Draw) 5% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

56% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

79% Away Scores More 16% Equal Goals 4% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	15.3%	18.5%	14.2%	8.2%
1	1.9%	7.1%	7.2%	5.5%	3.2%
2	0.5%	1.2%	1.4%	1.1%	0.6%
3	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Luzern	Draw	FC Lugano
FC Luzern	2.2%	1.7%	1.6%
Draw	2.0%	11.4%	22.8%
FC Lugano	0.2%	1.7%	56.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

68%

26%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

81%

0.5

19%

98%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

34%

1.5

66%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

Away Exact Goals

10%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Luzern vs FC Lugano

1 FC Luzern Wins

0 Draws

2 FC Lugano Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Mar 2026	FC Lugano	1 - 3	FC Luzern
17 Jan 2026	FC Luzern	2 - 5	FC Lugano
30 Oct 2025	FC Lugano	2 - 0	FC Luzern

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FC Luzern — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Grasshoppers	W	5 - 1
13 Sep	H FC Basel 1893	L	2 - 4
05 Sep	A BSC Young Boys	D	3 - 3
02 Sep	H FC Vaduz	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Servette FC	D	1 - 1

FC Lugano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Lausanne	W	0 - 4
16 Sep	H FC ST. Gallen	W	4 - 1
12 Sep	H BSC Young Boys	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A FC Basel 1893	W	1 - 3
03 Sep	H Servette FC	W	1 - 0

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	9	8	1	0	27	7	+20	25
2	BSC Young Boys	9	5	4	0	31	18	+13	19
3	FC Sion	9	6	1	2	23	14	+9	19
4	FC Basel 1893	9	4	1	4	17	17	0	13
5	FC ST. Gallen	9	4	1	4	16	19	-3	13
6	FC Luzern	9	3	3	3	17	18	-1	12
7	FC Zurich	9	3	2	4	14	20	-6	11
8	Servette FC	9	3	1	5	11	13	-2	10
9	FC Thun	9	3	1	5	15	23	-8	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	13	24	-11	8
11	FC Vaduz	9	2	0	7	18	21	-3	6
12	Lausanne	9	1	3	5	7	15	-8	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.