FC Basel 1893 vs FC Luzern Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 14

21 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

FC Luzern

Away

St. Jakob-Park, Basel

AI call FC Basel 1893 to win

83%

15%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Basel 1893 vs FC Luzern prediction: Sportiko gives FC Basel 1893 a 83% chance of winning, FC Luzern 3% and the draw 15%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 20.2%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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FC Basel 1893

LWLLD

FC Luzern

WLDWD

Last 3 meetings FC Basel 1893 · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Super League clash, FC Basel 1893 will face FC Luzern. Basel has been strong at home, boasting an impressive record with a high average possession rate of 58% this season, which has allowed them to control games effectively. In contrast, Luzern has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Offensively, both teams have shown potential, with Basel averaging 1.9 goals per game compared to Luzern's 1.4. The match is expected to be competitive, but Basel's home form and superior goal difference may give them the edge.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

83%

45%

Draw

15%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Luzern goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	2
1	16	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	16	5	1
4	9	3
5	4	1

↑ FC Basel 1893 goals · most likely 2–0 (20.2%)

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Players in form

FC Basel 1893

Ž. Celar 6 gls

A. Sow 3 gls

X. Shaqiri 3 gls

FC Luzern

D. Mikołajewski 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

83%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

75%

3.5

25%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

83%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

97% Home (No Draw) 3% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

59% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

83% Home Scores More 15% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

75%

3.5

25%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	16.4%	5.8%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.2%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	15.9%	4.8%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	9.4%	2.8%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

33%

25%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Basel 1893	Draw	FC Luzern
FC Basel 1893	58.4%	1.2%	0.1%
Draw	23.9%	10.7%	1.4%
FC Luzern	1.4%	1.4%	1.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

33%

1.5

67%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

Home Exact Goals

10%

23%

27%

21%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

63%

1.5

37%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Basel 1893 vs FC Luzern

2 FC Basel 1893 Wins

0 Draws

1 FC Luzern Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Sep 2026	FC Luzern	2 - 4	FC Basel 1893
22 Feb 2026	FC Luzern	4 - 2	FC Basel 1893
17 Dec 2025	FC Luzern	1 - 2	FC Basel 1893

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FC Basel 1893 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H FC ST. Gallen	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A FC Luzern	W	2 - 4
06 Sep	H FC Lugano	L	1 - 3
03 Sep	H FC Sion	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	A BSC Young Boys	D	3 - 3

FC Luzern — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Grasshoppers	W	5 - 1
13 Sep	H FC Basel 1893	L	2 - 4
05 Sep	A BSC Young Boys	D	3 - 3
02 Sep	H FC Vaduz	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Servette FC	D	1 - 1

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	9	8	1	0	27	7	+20	25
2	BSC Young Boys	9	5	4	0	31	18	+13	19
3	FC Sion	9	6	1	2	23	14	+9	19
4	FC Basel 1893	9	4	1	4	17	17	0	13
5	FC ST. Gallen	9	4	1	4	16	19	-3	13
6	FC Luzern	9	3	3	3	17	18	-1	12
7	FC Zurich	9	3	2	4	14	20	-6	11
8	Servette FC	9	3	1	5	11	13	-2	10
9	FC Thun	9	3	1	5	15	23	-8	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	13	24	-11	8
11	FC Vaduz	9	2	0	7	18	21	-3	6
12	Lausanne	9	1	3	5	7	15	-8	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.