FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 13

Post on X

FC Lugano

Away

Stadio di Cornaredo, Lugano

AI call Too close to call

37%

27%

36%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano prediction: Sportiko gives FC ST. Gallen a 37% chance of winning, FC Lugano 36% and the draw 27%. Last updated 9 Nov 2026, 21:00.

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1st Half Draw or Away 74%

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Timeline

▮ 11'

David von Ballmoos Yellow Card

▮ 11'

Albian Ajeti Red Card

⇄ 26'

David von Ballmoos ⇄ Felix Gebhardt

▮ 29'

Daniel Dos Santos Yellow Card

Chima Okoroji assist: Lukas Daschner

33' ⚽ 1–0

Andrin Hunziker assist: Lukas Daschner

34' ⚽ 2–0

Tom Gaal Yellow Card

40' ▮

⇄ 45'

Daniel Dos Santos ⇄ Kevin Behrens

Tom Gaal ⇄ Colin Noah Kleine-Bekel

45' ⇄

Tom Gaal assist: Lukas Görtler

45+2' ⚽ 3–0

HT 3–0

⇄ 65'

Martim Marques ⇄ Ezgjan Alioski

⇄ 65'

Mattia Zanotti ⇄ Bekhruz Karimov

FT 5–0

FC ST. Gallen

Match Stats

FC Lugano

66% Ball Possession 34%

2.33 Expected Goals (xG) 0.19

14 Total Shots 9

5 Shots on Goal 3

8 Shots off Goal 5

1 Blocked Shots 1

14 Shots insidebox 4

0 Shots outsidebox 5

5 Corner Kicks 2

18 Fouls 14

1 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 1

3 Goalkeeper Saves 2

327 Total passes 283

274 Passes accurate 220

14 Free Kicks 18

FC ST. Gallen

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Lukas Daschner M	8.6	64'	–	2	–	31 (28%)	1
16 Lukas Görtler M	7.8	64'	–	1	1	41 (33%)	4
26 Tom Gaal D	7.7	46'	1	–	1	38 (33%)	1
36 Chima Okoroji M	7.7	64'	1	–	1	30 (22%)	–
9 Andrin Hunziker F	7.6	64'	1	–	6	10 (7%)	–
4 Jozo Stanić D	7.6	64'	–	–	1	41 (37%)	–
1 Lawrence Ati Zigi G	7.4	64'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	–
68 Mostafa Heydari D	7.3	64'	–	–	–	37 (35%)	3
11 Carlo Boukhalfa F	7.0	64'	–	–	4	18 (12%)	–
64 Mihailo Stevanović M	6.9	64'	–	–	–	25 (25%)	2
3 Colin Noah Kleine-Bekel D	6.9	18'	–	–	–	14 (14%)	1
28 Hugo Vandermersch M	6.1	64'	–	–	–	27 (17%)	1

FC Lugano

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
17 Lars Lukas Mai D	6.5	64'	–	–	–	34 (30%)	2
8 Anto Grgić M	6.4	64'	–	–	1	45 (38%)	1
21 Yanis Cimignani M	6.3	64'	–	–	2	18 (16%)	–
91 Kevin Behrens F	6.3	18'	–	–	–	12 (8%)	–
6 Antonios Papadopoulos D	6.2	64'	–	–	1	21 (15%)	1
18 Joel Bichsel D	6.2	64'	–	–	2	39 (36%)	6
25 Uran Bislimi M	5.8	64'	–	–	–	33 (28%)	–
46 Mattia Zanotti M	5.7	65'	–	–	–	8 (3%)	–
27 Daniel Dos Santos M	5.7	46'	–	–	2	16 (12%)	–
9 Albian Ajeti F	5.4	11'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
26 Martim Marques M	5.3	65'	–	–	1	23 (14%)	–
16 David von Ballmoos G	4.6	26'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	–
28 Felix Gebhardt G	4.5	38'	–	–	–	19 (9%)	–

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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FC ST. Gallen

WWLWW

FC Lugano

LWWWW

Last 3 meetings FC ST. Gallen · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Super League match, FC St. Gallen faces FC Lugano, both teams looking for crucial points as the season progresses. FC St. Gallen has shown a solid home record with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match, while FC Lugano tends to struggle defensively, conceding around 1.5 goals per game. Key players to watch include St. Gallen’s top scorer, who has been instrumental in their attacking play, and Lugano’s playmaker, whose creativity will be vital in breaking down the opposition's defense. The match is likely to be competitive, with both teams aiming to leverage their attacking strengths.

Live insights

67' Goal 85% sure

FC ST. Gallen now leads 4-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 50%.

45' Goal 85% sure

FC ST. Gallen now leads 3-0 with 98.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 73.5%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 3-0. FC ST. Gallen leads. Win probability: 98.9%. Over 0.5 more goals: 73.5%.

38' Goal 85% sure

FC ST. Gallen now leads 2-0 with 92.7% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 78.2%.

37' Goal 85% sure

FC ST. Gallen now leads 2-0 with 92.6% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 78.8%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

37%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

36%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

FC ST. Gallen

A. Hunziker 4 gls

L. Görtler 4 gls

FC Lugano

Daniel Dos Santos 5 gls

D. Moncada 5 gls

Y. Cimignani 4 gls

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Head to Head: FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano

1 FC ST. Gallen Wins

1 Draws

1 FC Lugano Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Sep 2026	FC Lugano	4 - 1	FC ST. Gallen
17 Mar 2026	FC ST. Gallen	1 - 1	FC Lugano
26 Nov 2025	FC Lugano	1 - 3	FC ST. Gallen

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FC ST. Gallen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
08 Nov	H FC Lugano	W	5 - 0
31 Oct	H Servette FC	W	2 - 1
24 Oct	A BSC Young Boys	L	2 - 0
16 Oct	A Rapperswil	W	0 - 2
11 Oct	H Lausanne	W	1 - 0

FC Lugano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
08 Nov	A FC ST. Gallen	L	5 - 0
05 Nov	H Kauno Žalgiris	W	3 - 0
01 Nov	H FC Basel 1893	W	2 - 1
25 Oct	A FC Thun	W	2 - 3
22 Oct	A Getafe	W	2 - 5

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	13	11	1	1	36	15	+21	34
2	BSC Young Boys	13	8	4	1	41	25	+16	28
3	FC Sion	13	8	2	3	29	18	+11	26
4	FC ST. Gallen	13	7	1	5	24	22	+2	22
5	FC Zurich	13	6	3	4	25	26	-1	21
6	Servette FC	13	5	2	6	17	16	+1	17
7	FC Basel 1893	13	4	3	6	21	25	-4	15
8	FC Thun	13	4	2	7	27	37	-10	14
9	FC Luzern	13	3	4	6	21	28	-7	13
10	Grasshoppers	13	2	5	6	16	29	-13	11
11	FC Vaduz	13	3	1	9	24	29	-5	10
12	Lausanne	13	1	4	8	12	23	-11	7

FC Lugano

Formation: 3-5-1-1 Coach: M. Croci-Torti

16 Ballmoos

18 Bichsel

17 Mai

6 Papadopoulos

26 Marques

25 Bislimi

8 Grgić

21 Cimignani

46 Zanotti

27 Santos

9 Ajeti

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	D. von Ballmoos	G
6	A. Papadopoulos	D
17	L. Mai	D
18	J. Bichsel	D
46	M. Zanotti	M
21	Y. Cimignani	M
8	A. Grgić	M
25	U. Bislimi	M
26	Martim Marques	M
27	Daniel Dos Santos	M
9	A. Ajeti	F

Substitutes

22	B. Castro	F
28	F. Gebhardt	G
2	B. Karimov	D
4	D. Kelvin	D
14	A. Kendouci	M
24	E. Pihlström	F
11	R. Steffen	F
7	E. Alioski	D
91	K. Behrens	F

FC ST. Gallen

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: E. Maaßen

1 Zigi

68 Heydari

4 Stanić

26 Gaal

64 Stevanovic

36 Okoroji

10 Daschner

16 Görtler

28 Vandermersch

9 Hunziker

11 Boukhalfa

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	L. Zigi	G
26	T. Gaal	D
4	J. Stanić	D
68	M. Heydari	D
64	M. Stevanovic	M
28	H. Vandermersch	M
16	L. Görtler	M
10	L. Daschner	M
36	C. Okoroji	M
11	C. Boukhalfa	F
9	A. Hunziker	F

Substitutes

70	N. Scherrer	F
25	L. Watkowiak	G
14	A. Balde	F
27	K. Csoboth	M
23	B. Fazliji	M
20	L. Frokaj	M
3	C. Kleine-Bekel	D
74	J. Ruiz	D