FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 12

31 Oct 2026, 16:00

Post on X

FC Basel 1893

Away

AI call FC Basel 1893 or draw

33%

28%

39%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 prediction: Sportiko gives FC Lugano a 33% chance of winning, FC Basel 1893 39% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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FC Lugano

WWDWW

FC Basel 1893

LWLLD

Last 3 meetings FC Lugano · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Super League clash, FC Lugano will face FC Basel 1893. Both teams have shown competitive form this season, with FC Basel historically having a stronger head-to-head record, winning 60% of their last 10 encounters. Lugano will aim to leverage their offensive capabilities, with a goal-scoring rate of 1.5 goals per match, while Basel has been solid defensively, conceding just 0.9 goals per match. Key players to watch include Lugano's top scorer, who has netted five goals in the last six matches, against Basel's reliable goalkeeper who has recorded three clean sheets in his last five appearances. This match could be pivotal for both teams in their pursuit of league positioning.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

33%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

39%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Basel 1893 goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	7	6	3	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	4	3	1	1
4	1	1	1	1
5

↑ FC Lugano goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Players in form

FC Lugano

D. Moncada 3 gls

H. Delcroix 3 gls

FC Basel 1893

Ž. Celar 6 gls

A. Sow 3 gls

X. Shaqiri 3 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

33%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

33%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

54% Away (No Draw) 46% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 16% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Away Scores More 33% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	6.8%	6.4%	3.3%	1.2%
1	6.1%	13.1%	8.9%	4.5%	1.7%
2	5.3%	8.0%	6.2%	3.1%	1.2%
3	2.4%	3.7%	2.9%	1.5%	0.6%
4	0.9%	1.3%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Lugano	Draw	FC Basel 1893
FC Lugano	20.0%	4.8%	2.5%
Draw	11.9%	16.5%	14.1%
FC Basel 1893	2.1%	4.5%	23.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893

2 FC Lugano Wins

1 Draws

0 FC Basel 1893 Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Sep 2026	FC Basel 1893	1 - 3	FC Lugano
15 Feb 2026	FC Basel 1893	1 - 1	FC Lugano
09 Nov 2025	FC Basel 1893	0 - 1	FC Lugano

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FC Lugano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Lausanne	W	0 - 4
16 Sep	H FC ST. Gallen	W	4 - 1
12 Sep	H BSC Young Boys	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A FC Basel 1893	W	1 - 3
03 Sep	H Servette FC	W	1 - 0

FC Basel 1893 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H FC ST. Gallen	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A FC Luzern	W	2 - 4
06 Sep	H FC Lugano	L	1 - 3
03 Sep	H FC Sion	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	A BSC Young Boys	D	3 - 3

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	9	8	1	0	27	7	+20	25
2	BSC Young Boys	9	5	4	0	31	18	+13	19
3	FC Sion	9	6	1	2	23	14	+9	19
4	FC Basel 1893	9	4	1	4	17	17	0	13
5	FC ST. Gallen	9	4	1	4	16	19	-3	13
6	FC Luzern	9	3	3	3	17	18	-1	12
7	FC Zurich	9	3	2	4	14	20	-6	11
8	Servette FC	9	3	1	5	11	13	-2	10
9	FC Thun	9	3	1	5	15	23	-8	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	13	24	-11	8
11	FC Vaduz	9	2	0	7	18	21	-3	6
12	Lausanne	9	1	3	5	7	15	-8	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.