FC Thun vs FC Lugano Prediction
FT
Stadio di Cornaredo, Lugano
AI call
Difficult FC Lugano win or draw
25%
24%
51%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
FC Thun vs FC Lugano prediction: Sportiko gives FC Thun a 25% chance of winning, FC Lugano 51% and the draw 24%. Last updated 25 Oct 2026, 14:56.
Premium picks
Premium- 1st Half Over 0.5 75%
- Under 4.5 73%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
See Premium picks
Timeline
⚽
0–1
34'
Dereck Moncada
assist: Hannes Delcroix
🖵
34'
Dereck Moncada
Goal confirmed
Nassim Zoukit
37'
⚽
1–1
▮
38'
Elias Pihlström
Yellow Card
▮
44'
Damian Kelvin
Yellow Card
Louis Passavant
⇄ Mattias Käit
45'
⇄
⇄
45'
Damian Kelvin
⇄ Daniel Dos Santos
⇄
45'
Elias Pihlström
⇄ Mattia Zanotti
HT 1–1
⚽
1–2
49'
Uran Bislimi
assist: Daniel Dos Santos
Nico Maier
Yellow Card
52'
▮
⇄
60'
Dereck Moncada
⇄ Martim Marques
Furkan Dursun
⇄ Noah Christoffersson
65'
⇄
⇄
73'
Kevin Behrens
⇄ Albian Ajeti
Nico Maier
⇄ P. Kristal
74'
⇄
⚽
1–3
76'
Albian Ajeti
assist: Lars Lukas Mai
Brighton Labeau
⇄ Riccardo Braschi
81'
⇄
Nils Reichmuth
⇄ Adam Ilic
81'
⇄
⇄
84'
Uran Bislimi
⇄ Ahmed Kendouci
Fabio Fehr
Yellow Card
85'
▮
Riccardo Braschi
Penalty
88'
⚽
2–3
FT 2–3
FC Thun
Match Stats
FC Lugano
52%
Ball Possession
48%
1.75
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
17
Total Shots
19
9
Shots on Goal
6
5
Shots off Goal
6
3
Blocked Shots
7
14
Shots insidebox
11
3
Shots outsidebox
8
6
Corner Kicks
2
5
Offsides
3
15
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
7
396
Total passes
372
314
Passes accurate
287
13
Free Kicks
15
FC Thun
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Riccardo Braschi F | 7.8 | 9' | 1 | – | 2 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 13 Nassim Zoukit M | 7.4 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 45 (36%) | 2 |
| 70 Nils Reichmuth M | 6.7 | 81' | – | – | 4 | 24 (21%) | 1 |
| 26 Noah Christoffersson F | 6.6 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 5 (1%) | – |
| 96 Brighton Labeau F | 6.4 | 81' | – | – | 5 | 16 (15%) | 2 |
| 14 Mattias Käit M | 6.4 | 44' | – | – | – | 28 (26%) | – |
| 9 Furkan Dursun F | 6.3 | 65' | – | – | 2 | 16 (11%) | 1 |
| 54 Louis Passavant D | 6.3 | 46' | – | – | – | 23 (20%) | – |
| 47 Fabio Fehr D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (32%) | 3 |
| 16 Justin Roth M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (30%) | – |
| 5 Nicolas Bürgy D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 68 (54%) | 1 |
| 15 P. Kristal M | 5.9 | 16' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 18 Tom Strannegård D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (20%) | 1 |
| 52 Adam Ilic M | 5.8 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 1 Niklas Steffen G | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (27%) | – |
| 30 Nico Maier M | 5.3 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 20 (13%) | – |
FC Lugano
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dereck Moncada F | 8.2 | 60' | 1 | – | 5 | 16 (11%) | 1 |
| 25 Uran Bislimi M | 7.9 | 84' | 1 | – | 2 | 48 (38%) | 2 |
| 16 David von Ballmoos G | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (20%) | – |
| 9 Albian Ajeti F | 7.5 | 17' | 1 | – | 1 | 3 (1%) | – |
| 2 Bekhruz Karimov M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 20 (20%) | – |
| 17 Lars Lukas Mai D | 6.7 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 55 (42%) | 3 |
| 21 Yanis Cimignani M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 24 (19%) | 2 |
| 91 Kevin Behrens F | 6.5 | 73' | – | – | 2 | 23 (14%) | – |
| 8 Anto Grgić M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 53 (44%) | 1 |
| 46 Mattia Zanotti D | 6.2 | 44' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | – |
| 27 Daniel Dos Santos M | 6.2 | 44' | – | 1 | 1 | 14 (12%) | – |
| 14 Ahmed Kendouci M | 6.1 | 6' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | 1 |
| 26 Martim Marques D | 6.1 | 30' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 3 Hannes Delcroix D | 5.9 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 37 (27%) | 1 |
| 24 Elias Pihlström F | 5.8 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 14 (11%) | – |
| 4 Damian Kelvin D | 5.5 | 46' | – | – | – | 15 (11%) | – |
Premium
Unlock the AI's full read on FC Thun vs FC Lugano
- All 70+ probability markets
- AI Deep-Dive match report
- Pick types you choose
Confidence
Medium (51%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult FC Lugano win or draw
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade Now
FC Thun
WWLLD
FC Lugano
LWWWW
Last 3 meetings
FC Thun · 1W 0D 2L
Match summary
FC Thun faces FC Lugano in a Super League clash on October 24, 2026. Thun's performance at home has been solid, with an average of 1.5 goals scored per match this season, while their defense has conceded 1.2 goals. In contrast, Lugano has struggled on the road, averaging only 0.8 goals scored per away game. Both teams have shown variability in their recent form, but Thun's offensive capability may give them the edge in this matchup. Key players to watch include Thun’s leading scorer and Lugano’s top playmaker, whose performances could be pivotal.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowMost likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowPlayers in form
FC Thun
B. Labeau
5 gls
F. Dursun
3 gls
FC Lugano
Daniel Dos Santos
5 gls
D. Moncada
5 gls
Y. Cimignani
4 gls
You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: FC Thun vs FC Lugano
1
FC Thun Wins
0
Draws
2
FC Lugano Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr 2026 | FC Lugano | 1 - 0 | FC Thun |
| 22 Nov 2025 | FC Thun | 0 - 1 | FC Lugano |
| 27 Jul 2025 | FC Lugano | 1 - 2 | FC Thun |
FC Thun — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Heart Of Midlothian | W | 3 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | A Lausanne | W | 4 - 5 |
| 25 Oct | H FC Lugano | L | 2 - 3 |
| 22 Oct | H HNK Hajduk Split | L | 0 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A FC Schaffhausen | D | 2 - 2 |
FC Lugano — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | A FC ST. Gallen | L | 4 - 0 |
| 05 Nov | H Kauno Žalgiris | W | 3 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | H FC Basel 1893 | W | 2 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | A FC Thun | W | 2 - 3 |
| 22 Oct | A Getafe | W | 2 - 5 |
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Lugano
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 10 | +26 | 34 |
| 2 |
BSC Young Boys
|
13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 41 | 25 | +16 | 28 |
| 3 |
FC Sion
|
13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 18 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |
FC Zurich
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 20 |
| 5 |
FC ST. Gallen
|
12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 19 |
| 6 |
Servette FC
|
12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |
FC Basel 1893
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 |
FC Luzern
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 13 |
| 9 |
FC Thun
|
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 13 |
| 10 |
Grasshoppers
|
13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
| 11 |
FC Vaduz
|
13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 |
Lausanne
|
13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 7 |
FC Lugano
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: M. Croci-Torti
16
Ballmoos
3
Delcroix
17
Mai
4
Kelvin
21
Cimignani
8
Grgić
25
Bislimi
2
Karimov
30
Moncada
24
Pihlström
91
Behrens
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | D. von Ballmoos | G |
| 4 | D. Kelvin | D |
| 17 | L. Mai | D |
| 3 | H. Delcroix | D |
| 2 | B. Karimov | M |
| 25 | U. Bislimi | M |
| 8 | A. Grgić | M |
| 21 | Y. Cimignani | M |
| 30 | D. Moncada | F |
| 91 | K. Behrens | F |
| 24 | E. Pihlström | F |
Substitutes
| 9 | A. Ajeti | F |
| 7 | E. Alioski | D |
| 18 | J. Bichsel | D |
| 22 | B. Castro | F |
| 26 | Martim Marques | D |
| 27 | Daniel Dos Santos | M |
| 28 | F. Gebhardt | G |
| 14 | A. Kendouci | M |
| 46 | M. Zanotti | D |
FC Thun
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1
Steffen
18
Strannegård
5
Bürgy
54
Passavant
47
Fehr
30
Maier
13
Zoukit
16
Roth
70
Reichmuth
96
Labeau
9
Dursun
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Steffen | G |
| 47 | F. Fehr | D |
| 54 | L. Passavant | D |
| 5 | N. Bürgy | D |
| 18 | T. Strannegård | D |
| 70 | N. Reichmuth | M |
| 16 | J. Roth | M |
| 13 | N. Zoukit | M |
| 30 | N. Maier | M |
| 9 | F. Dursun | F |
| 96 | B. Labeau | F |
Substitutes
| 26 | N. Christoffersson | F |
| 20 | R. Braschi | F |
| 17 | A. Balaruban | D |
| 37 | L. Dähler | D |
| 52 | Adam Ilic | M |
| 15 | P. Kristal | M |
| 14 | M. Käit | M |
| 80 | S. Lengen | F |
| 25 | T. Spycher | G |