FC Zurich vs FC Luzern Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 11

24 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

FC Luzern

Away

AI call FC Zurich to win or draw

68%

23%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Zurich vs FC Luzern prediction: Sportiko gives FC Zurich a 68% chance of winning, FC Luzern 8% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 16.2%

Both teams to score

35%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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FC Zurich

DWDLW

FC Luzern

WLDWD

Last 3 meetings FC Zurich · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

FC Zurich faces FC Luzern in a crucial Super League encounter. Historically, Zurich has shown stronger form at home, boasting a higher win rate against Luzern in their recent clashes. Zurich's attacking efficiency, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, could be a key factor, while Luzern's defense has struggled, conceding an average of 1.5 goals. However, Luzern's recent resurgence in form, winning three of their last four matches, suggests they could pose a significant challenge. Overall, this match promises to be tightly contested, with both teams vying for crucial points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

68%

45%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Luzern goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	4	1
1	16	10	2
2	16	8	2
3	10	5	1
4	5	2	1
5	2	1

↑ FC Zurich goals · most likely 2–0 (16.2%)

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Players in form

FC Zurich

U. Emmanuel 4 gls

FC Luzern

D. Mikołajewski 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

23%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

23%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

89% Home (No Draw) 11% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

42% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

68% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

20%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.5%	3.7%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
1	16.2%	10.2%	2.4%	0.4%	0.1%
2	16.2%	8.4%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%
3	10.1%	5.3%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%
4	4.7%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Zurich	Draw	FC Luzern
FC Zurich	45.1%	2.6%	0.4%
Draw	22.9%	16.1%	4.0%
FC Luzern	1.8%	2.6%	4.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

59%

31%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Zurich vs FC Luzern

1 FC Zurich Wins

1 Draws

1 FC Luzern Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Feb 2026	FC Zurich	1 - 4	FC Luzern
08 Nov 2025	FC Zurich	3 - 2	FC Luzern
03 Aug 2025	FC Luzern	1 - 1	FC Zurich

See all 10 meetings — Premium

FC Zurich — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A FC Sion	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	H FC Vaduz	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Grasshoppers	D	2 - 2
01 Sep	H BSC Young Boys	L	2 - 4
29 Aug	A Lausanne	W	2 - 3

FC Luzern — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Grasshoppers	W	5 - 1
13 Sep	H FC Basel 1893	L	2 - 4
05 Sep	A BSC Young Boys	D	3 - 3
02 Sep	H FC Vaduz	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Servette FC	D	1 - 1

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	9	8	1	0	27	7	+20	25
2	BSC Young Boys	9	5	4	0	31	18	+13	19
3	FC Sion	9	6	1	2	23	14	+9	19
4	FC Basel 1893	9	4	1	4	17	17	0	13
5	FC ST. Gallen	9	4	1	4	16	19	-3	13
6	FC Luzern	9	3	3	3	17	18	-1	12
7	FC Zurich	9	3	2	4	14	20	-6	11
8	Servette FC	9	3	1	5	11	13	-2	10
9	FC Thun	9	3	1	5	15	23	-8	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	13	24	-11	8
11	FC Vaduz	9	2	0	7	18	21	-3	6
12	Lausanne	9	1	3	5	7	15	-8	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.