Lausanne vs FC Lugano Prediction
FT
Stade de la Tuilière, Lausanne
AI call
Difficult FC Lugano win or draw
22%
26%
51%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Lausanne vs FC Lugano prediction: Sportiko gives Lausanne a 22% chance of winning, FC Lugano 51% and the draw 26%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 16:21.
Timeline
Koba Koindredi
Yellow Card
2'
▮
▮
4'
Yanis Cimignani
Yellow Card
Étienne Youte Kinkoue
Yellow Card
7'
▮
Abdou Karim Sow
Yellow Card
33'
▮
⚽
0–1
35'
Hannes Delcroix
assist: Antonios Papadopoulos
Omar Janneh
⇄ Seydou Traore
45'
⇄
HT 0–1
⚽
0–2
48'
Hannes Delcroix
assist: Beckham Castro
Sekou Kone
Red Card
50'
▮
⚽
0–3
52'
Hannes Delcroix
assist: Bekhruz Karimov
▮
53'
Beckham Castro
Yellow Card
▮
55'
Uran Bislimi
Yellow Card
Ibrahim Bah Mendes
⇄ Nathan Butler-Oyedeji
55'
⇄
Enzo Molebe
⇄ Florent Mollet
55'
⇄
⇄
56'
Yanis Cimignani
⇄ Mattia Zanotti
⇄
57'
Beckham Castro
⇄ Albian Ajeti
⚽
0–4
61'
Abdou Karim Sow
Own Goal
⇄
72'
Bekhruz Karimov
⇄ Martim Marques
⇄
72'
Uran Bislimi
⇄ Ahmed Kendouci
Koba Koindredi
⇄ Levy Nene
72'
⇄
⇄
81'
Anto Grgić
⇄ Gjan Ajdin
Étienne Youte Kinkoue
⇄ Dircssi Ngonzo
87'
⇄
FT 0–4
Lausanne
Match Stats
FC Lugano
29%
Ball Possession
71%
7
Total Shots
20
4
Shots on Goal
5
2
Shots off Goal
11
1
Blocked Shots
4
4
Shots insidebox
12
3
Shots outsidebox
8
1
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
10
3
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
299
Total passes
744
235
Passes accurate
690
10
Free Kicks
13
Lausanne
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 Levy Nene F | 6.6 | 18' | – | – | 2 | 3 (3%) | – |
| 11 Nathan Butler-Oyedeji F | 6.5 | 35' | – | – | – | 13 (10%) | 3 |
| 9 Enzo Molebe F | 6.4 | 55' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 51 Ibrahim Bah Mendes F | 6.3 | 55' | – | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 17 Seydou Traore F | 6.2 | 44' | – | – | – | 16 (13%) | – |
| 88 Koba Koindredi M | 6.2 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 25 (22%) | – |
| 18 Morgan Poaty M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 19 (17%) | 1 |
| 78 Omar Janneh F | 6.0 | 46' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 90 Melvin Mastil G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (16%) | – |
| 91 Florent Mollet M | 5.9 | 35' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | – |
| 4 Étienne Youte Kinkoue D | 5.8 | 87' | – | – | – | 33 (31%) | – |
| 5 Dircssi Ngonzo D | 5.7 | 3' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 2 Brandon Soppy M | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (33%) | 4 |
| 31 Nicolas Cozza D | 5.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (16%) | 1 |
| 80 Sekou Kone M | 5.2 | 50' | – | – | – | 19 (16%) | 1 |
| 71 Abdou Karim Sow D | 4.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 30 (26%) | – |
FC Lugano
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Hannes Delcroix D | 10.0 | 90' | 3 | – | 3 | 94 (89%) | 2 |
| 6 Antonios Papadopoulos D | 8.4 | 90' | – | 1 | 3 | 80 (76%) | 2 |
| 2 Bekhruz Karimov M | 7.8 | 72' | – | 1 | 2 | 17 (17%) | – |
| 16 David von Ballmoos G | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | – |
| 17 Lars Lukas Mai D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 94 (87%) | 2 |
| 22 Beckham Castro M | 7.5 | 57' | – | 1 | 1 | 6 (6%) | 1 |
| 46 Mattia Zanotti D | 7.4 | 34' | – | – | – | 32 (30%) | – |
| 21 Yanis Cimignani M | 7.4 | 56' | – | – | – | 29 (25%) | 1 |
| 8 Anto Grgić M | 7.2 | 81' | – | – | 2 | 104 (99%) | 2 |
| 27 Daniel Dos Santos M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 61 (57%) | 2 |
| 14 Ahmed Kendouci M | 7.1 | 18' | – | – | – | 34 (32%) | 2 |
| 25 Uran Bislimi M | 7.0 | 72' | – | – | 2 | 97 (88%) | 2 |
| 26 Martim Marques D | 6.9 | 18' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | 1 |
| 23 Gjan Ajdin M | 6.8 | 9' | – | – | – | 17 (15%) | – |
| 9 Albian Ajeti F | 6.6 | 33' | – | – | 2 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 30 Dereck Moncada F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 27 (22%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (51%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult FC Lugano win or draw
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Lausanne
LLLDL
FC Lugano
WWDWW
Last 3 meetings
Lausanne · 0W 2D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Super League clash, Lausanne faces FC Lugano, both teams are vying for crucial points in the early season. Lausanne has shown a strong attacking approach, averaging 1.5 goals per match, while Lugano's defense has been solid, conceding only 0.9 goals per match. Key players to watch include Lausanne's leading scorer, who has netted three goals in the past four matches, and Lugano's goalkeeper, who has maintained a commendable save percentage of 75%. This match will be pivotal for both squads in establishing early momentum in the league.
Live insights
76'
time check
80% sure
Min 76: FC Lugano leads 0-4. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.
63'
Goal
85% sure
FC Lugano now leads 0-4 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 53.4%.
53'
Goal
85% sure
FC Lugano now leads 0-3 with 99.4% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 68.1%.
49'
Goal
85% sure
FC Lugano now leads 0-2 with 95.4% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 71.6%.
45'
half time
65% sure
Half-time: 0-1. FC Lugano leads. Win probability: 80%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.8%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
22%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
51%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Lausanne
No scorer data.
FC Lugano
D. Moncada
3 gls
H. Delcroix
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Lausanne vs FC Lugano
0
Lausanne Wins
2
Draws
1
FC Lugano Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | FC Lugano | 2 - 1 | Lausanne |
| 07 Dec 2025 | Lausanne | 0 - 0 | FC Lugano |
| 17 Sep 2025 | FC Lugano | 1 - 1 | Lausanne |
Lausanne — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H FC Lugano | L | 0 - 4 |
| 13 Sep | H Servette FC | L | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A FC Vaduz | L | 3 - 1 |
| 02 Sep | A FC Thun | D | 0 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | H FC Zurich | L | 2 - 3 |
FC Lugano — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Lausanne | W | 0 - 4 |
| 16 Sep | H FC ST. Gallen | W | 4 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H BSC Young Boys | D | 2 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | A FC Basel 1893 | W | 1 - 3 |
| 03 Sep | H Servette FC | W | 1 - 0 |
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Lugano
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 7 | +20 | 25 |
| 2 |
BSC Young Boys
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 18 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |
FC Sion
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 19 |
| 4 |
FC Basel 1893
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 |
FC ST. Gallen
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
| 6 |
FC Luzern
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 |
FC Zurich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 |
Servette FC
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 |
FC Thun
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 |
Grasshoppers
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 |
| 11 |
FC Vaduz
|
9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lausanne
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 6 |
FC Lugano
Formation: 3-5-1-1
Coach: M. Croci-Torti
16
Ballmoos
3
Delcroix
17
Mai
6
Papadopoulos
21
Cimignani
27
Santos
8
Grgić
25
Bislimi
2
Karimov
22
Castro
30
Moncada
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | D. von Ballmoos | G |
| 6 | A. Papadopoulos | D |
| 17 | L. Mai | D |
| 3 | H. Delcroix | D |
| 2 | B. Karimov | M |
| 25 | U. Bislimi | M |
| 8 | A. Grgić | M |
| 27 | Daniel Dos Santos | M |
| 21 | Y. Cimignani | M |
| 22 | B. Castro | M |
| 30 | D. Moncada | F |
Substitutes
| 9 | A. Ajeti | F |
| 23 | G. Ajdin | M |
| 18 | J. Bichsel | D |
| 26 | Martim Marques | D |
| 46 | M. Zanotti | D |
| 28 | F. Gebhardt | G |
| 4 | D. Kelvin | D |
| 14 | A. Kendouci | M |
| 44 | João Victor Schlickmann Carbone | D |
Lausanne
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
90
Mastil
31
Cozza
71
Sow
4
Youté
18
Poaty
88
Koindredi
80
Koné
2
Soppy
9
Molébé
78
Janneh
51
Mayala
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 90 | M. Mastil | G |
| 4 | É. Youté | D |
| 71 | K. Sow | D |
| 31 | N. Cozza | D |
| 2 | B. Soppy | M |
| 80 | S. Koné | M |
| 88 | K. Koindredi | M |
| 18 | M. Poaty | M |
| 51 | I. Bah Mendes Mayala | F |
| 78 | Omar Janneh | F |
| 9 | E. Molébé | F |
Substitutes
| 6 | T. Bergvall | D |
| 7 | A. Ajdini | F |
| 11 | N. Butler-Oyedeji | F |
| 1 | T. Castella | G |
| 91 | F. Mollet | M |
| 47 | Papa Souleymane N'Diaye | M |
| 77 | L. Nene | F |
| 5 | D. Ngonzo | D |
| 17 | S. Traore | F |