FC Vaduz vs FC Thun Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 9

Post on X

FC Thun

Away

Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz

AI call FC Vaduz or draw

42%

24%

34%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Vaduz vs FC Thun prediction: Sportiko gives FC Vaduz a 42% chance of winning, FC Thun 34% and the draw 24%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 13:56.

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1st Half Home or Draw 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%

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Timeline

▮ 31'

Nassim Zoukit Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 33'

Furkan Dursun

▮ 39'

Jan Bamert Yellow Card

HT 0–1

⚽ 0–2 49'

Nils Reichmuth assist: Furkan Dursun

▮ 67'

Justin Roth Yellow Card

⇄ 67'

Mattias Käit ⇄ Noah Christoffersson

⇄ 67'

Tom Strannegård ⇄ O. Mambwa

⇄ 67'

Furkan Dursun ⇄ Nico Maier

Marcel Monsberger assist: Lutfi Dalipi

73' ⚽ 1–2

Juan Cabrera ⇄ Dejan Đokić

74' ⇄

Niklas Lang ⇄ Mischa Beeli

74' ⇄

▮ 77'

Mattias Käit Yellow Card

Miloš Cocić Yellow Card

77' ▮

⇄ 78'

Nils Reichmuth ⇄ Fabio Fehr

Dominik Schwizer ⇄ Malik Sawadogo

80' ⇄

⇄ 86'

Nassim Zoukit ⇄ Louis Passavant

▮ 88'

Nico Maier Yellow Card

Nicolas Hasler ⇄ Mattia Walker

88' ⇄

FT 1–2

FC Vaduz

Match Stats

FC Thun

66% Ball Possession 34%

17 Total Shots 14

3 Shots on Goal 5

10 Shots off Goal 4

4 Blocked Shots 5

13 Shots insidebox 9

4 Shots outsidebox 4

3 Corner Kicks 7

0 Offsides 1

13 Fouls 21

1 Yellow Cards 5

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 2

516 Total passes 271

431 Passes accurate 180

21 Free Kicks 12

FC Vaduz

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Marcel Monsberger F	7.8	90'	1	–	5	13 (8%)	–
11 Lutfi Dalipi F	7.7	90'	–	1	2	49 (42%)	2
4 Nicolas Hasler D	6.9	88'	–	–	1	37 (33%)	–
20 Luca Mack M	6.8	90'	–	–	1	98 (84%)	4
6 Denis Simani D	6.8	90'	–	–	1	71 (61%)	4
19 Dejan Đokić F	6.7	16'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
7 Dominik Schwizer D	6.6	80'	–	–	–	59 (51%)	2
10 Juan Cabrera M	6.4	74'	–	–	1	30 (25%)	–
25 Leon Schaffran G	6.3	90'	–	–	–	36 (26%)	–
17 Julian Stark M	6.3	90'	–	–	2	39 (33%)	1
29 Malik Sawadogo D	6.2	10'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
14 Mischa Beeli D	6.1	16'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	–
27 Niklas Lang D	6.1	74'	–	–	3	32 (28%)	1
30 Mattia Walker M	6.0	2'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
28 Miloš Cocić M	5.6	90'	–	–	1	19 (14%)	1

FC Thun

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Furkan Dursun F	9.0	67'	1	1	1	10 (8%)	2
70 Nils Reichmuth M	7.5	78'	1	–	8	20 (9%)	1
18 Tom Strannegård D	6.9	67'	–	–	–	16 (12%)	1
2 O. Mambwa D	6.9	23'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
13 Nassim Zoukit D	6.8	86'	–	–	–	28 (25%)	2
47 Fabio Fehr D	6.6	12'	–	–	–	6 (2%)	2
16 Justin Roth M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	25 (18%)	–
54 Louis Passavant D	6.5	4'	–	–	–	–	–
26 Noah Christoffersson F	6.4	23'	–	–	1	3 (3%)	–
8 Fabio Saiz M	6.4	90'	–	–	1	23 (16%)	2
96 Brighton Labeau F	6.3	90'	–	–	–	22 (12%)	–
14 Mattias Käit M	6.3	67'	–	–	–	22 (18%)	2
1 Niklas Steffen G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	30 (15%)	–
30 Nico Maier M	6.2	23'	–	–	2	11 (6%)	–
19 Jan Bamert D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	26 (18%)	5
37 Lucien Dähler D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	24 (15%)	–

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Our lean

FC Vaduz or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 9.2%

Both teams to score

73%

Over 2.5 goals

73%

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FC Vaduz

LLWLW

FC Thun

WLLLD

Last 3 meetings FC Vaduz · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

FC Vaduz will host FC Thun in a Super League clash on September 20, 2026. Vaduz has shown a solid performance at home, utilizing their attacking style to create goal-scoring opportunities, averaging 1.5 goals per game in their last five home matches. Conversely, Thun's away form has been inconsistent, with a defensive record that has seen them concede an average of 2 goals per game in recent outings. The match could hinge on Vaduz's ability to capitalize on their offensive strengths against Thun's defense. Both teams will be eager for points, making this an intriguing matchup.

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: FC Thun leads 1-2. Win probability: 78.5%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 21.5%.

74' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. FC Thun win: 77.7%. BTTS: 100%.

48' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 36.5%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. FC Thun leads. Win probability: 64.8%. Over 0.5 more goals: 83.5%.

33' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. FC Thun win: 62.3%. BTTS: 72.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

42%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

34%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Thun goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3	3	4	2	1
1	3	9	7	4	2	1
2	5	8	7	5	2	1
3	3	6	5	3	1
4	2	3	3	2	1
5	1	1	1	1

↑ FC Vaduz goals · most likely 1–1 (9.2%)

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Players in form

FC Vaduz

M. Monsberger 4 gls

Juan Cabrera 4 gls

L. Dalipi 3 gls

M. Ćoćić 3 gls

FC Thun

B. Labeau 3 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Away Win

34%

Draw

24%

Both Teams To Score

73% BTTS Yes 27% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

97%

10%

1.5

90%

27%

2.5

73%

48%

3.5

52%

68%

4.5

32%

83%

5.5

17%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Away Win

34%

Draw

24%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

55% Home (No Draw) 45% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 18% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 34% Away Scores More 24% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

97%

10%

1.5

90%

27%

2.5

73%

48%

3.5

52%

68%

4.5

32%

83%

5.5

17%

Both Teams To Score

73% BTTS Yes 27% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

21%

20%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.3%	3.0%	3.7%	2.2%	1.0%
1	3.5%	9.2%	7.4%	4.5%	2.0%
2	4.6%	8.3%	7.5%	4.5%	2.0%
3	3.1%	5.6%	5.0%	3.0%	1.4%
4	1.6%	2.8%	2.5%	1.5%	0.7%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

20%

27%

28%

15%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

14%

22%

29%

19%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Vaduz	Draw	FC Thun
FC Vaduz	28.1%	5.5%	3.5%
Draw	12.4%	12.4%	12.2%
FC Thun	2.7%	4.2%	19.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

87%

41%

1.5

59%

68%

2.5

32%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

27%

28%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Vaduz vs FC Thun

1 FC Vaduz Wins

0 Draws

2 FC Thun Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 Aug 2020	FC Thun	4 - 3	FC Vaduz
07 Aug 2020	FC Vaduz	2 - 0	FC Thun
02 Jun 2017	FC Vaduz	1 - 3	FC Thun

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FC Vaduz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H FC Thun	L	1 - 2
13 Sep	A FC Zurich	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Lausanne	W	3 - 1
02 Sep	A FC Luzern	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H Grasshoppers	W	5 - 2

FC Thun — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FC Vaduz	W	1 - 2
16 Sep	H Servette FC	L	2 - 4
12 Sep	H Grasshoppers	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	A FC Sion	L	3 - 2
02 Sep	H Lausanne	D	0 - 0

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	9	8	1	0	27	7	+20	25
2	BSC Young Boys	9	5	4	0	31	18	+13	19
3	FC Sion	9	6	1	2	23	14	+9	19
4	FC Basel 1893	9	4	1	4	17	17	0	13
5	FC ST. Gallen	9	4	1	4	16	19	-3	13
6	FC Luzern	9	3	3	3	17	18	-1	12
7	FC Zurich	9	3	2	4	14	20	-6	11
8	Servette FC	9	3	1	5	11	13	-2	10
9	FC Thun	9	3	1	5	15	23	-8	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	13	24	-11	8
11	FC Vaduz	9	2	0	7	18	21	-3	6
12	Lausanne	9	1	3	5	7	15	-8	6