FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys Prediction
FT
AI call
FC Lugano or draw
43%
25%
33%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys prediction: Sportiko gives FC Lugano a 43% chance of winning, BSC Young Boys 33% and the draw 25%. Last updated 12 Sep 2026, 18:54.
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- 1st Half Home or Draw 71%
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Timeline
Daniel Dos Santos
assist: Antonios Papadopoulos
2'
⚽
1–0
Renato Steffen
⇄ Elias Pihlström
21'
⇄
⚽
1–1
28'
Samuel Essende
assist: Christian Fassnacht
⚽
1–2
45'
Christian Fassnacht
David von Ballmoos
⇄ Felix Gebhardt
45'
⇄
⇄
45'
Isaac Schmidt
⇄ Lewin Blum
HT 1–2
Lars Lukas Mai
Yellow Card
49'
▮
▮
61'
Sandro Lauper
Yellow Card
Antonios Papadopoulos
Yellow Card
62'
▮
⇄
65'
Alan Virginius
⇄ Bahereba Guirassy
Lars Lukas Mai
⇄ Albian Ajeti
67'
⇄
Yanis Cimignani
⇄ Ezgjan Alioski
68'
⇄
Daniel Dos Santos
Yellow Card
75'
▮
Albian Ajeti
assist: Dereck Moncada
80'
⚽
2–2
⇄
81'
Samuel Essende
⇄ Mamadou Kaly Sene
⇄
86'
Sandro Lauper
⇄ Moritz Jenz
⇄
86'
Armin Gigović
⇄ Dominik Pech
Dereck Moncada
⇄ Beckham Castro
89'
⇄
FT 2–2
FC Lugano
Match Stats
BSC Young Boys
59%
Ball Possession
41%
16
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
5
10
Shots insidebox
11
5
Shots outsidebox
3
4
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
548
Total passes
387
484
Passes accurate
314
13
Free Kicks
8
FC Lugano
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Albian Ajeti F | 8.2 | 23' | 1 | – | 2 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 27 Daniel Dos Santos M | 7.8 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 40 (34%) | 1 |
| 8 Anto Grgić M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 63 (59%) | 1 |
| 30 Dereck Moncada F | 7.0 | 89' | – | 1 | 3 | 15 (13%) | 1 |
| 3 Hannes Delcroix D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 76 (71%) | – |
| 6 Antonios Papadopoulos D | 6.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 50 (47%) | 2 |
| 22 Beckham Castro F | 6.7 | 1' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 25 Uran Bislimi M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 92 (82%) | 1 |
| 24 Elias Pihlström F | 6.5 | 69' | – | – | 2 | 18 (14%) | – |
| 21 Yanis Cimignani M | 6.4 | 68' | – | – | – | 27 (25%) | – |
| 7 Ezgjan Alioski D | 6.3 | 22' | – | – | 1 | 17 (15%) | 1 |
| 11 Renato Steffen M | 6.2 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 16 David von Ballmoos G | 6.1 | 46' | – | – | – | 29 (19%) | – |
| 17 Lars Lukas Mai D | 6.1 | 67' | – | – | – | 60 (56%) | 1 |
| 2 Bekhruz Karimov M | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (19%) | 1 |
| 28 Felix Gebhardt G | 5.5 | 44' | – | – | – | 14 (13%) | – |
BSC Young Boys
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Christian Fassnacht M | 8.4 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 (13%) | 1 |
| 99 Samuel Essende F | 8.2 | 81' | 1 | – | 4 | 18 (16%) | – |
| 1 Marvin Keller G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (27%) | – |
| 23 Loris Benito D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 56 (50%) | 1 |
| 6 Edimilson Fernandes M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (43%) | 1 |
| 12 Bahereba Guirassy F | 6.5 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 9 Mamadou Kaly Sene F | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | 3 | – |
| 30 Sandro Lauper D | 6.4 | 86' | – | – | – | 40 (34%) | 3 |
| 27 Lewin Blum D | 6.4 | 44' | – | – | – | 18 (11%) | 4 |
| 8 Armin Gigović M | 6.3 | 86' | – | – | 2 | 34 (27%) | 3 |
| 33 Stefan Bukinac D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (37%) | – |
| 7 Alan Virginius M | 6.2 | 65' | – | – | 2 | 20 (15%) | 2 |
| 22 Isaac Schmidt D | 6.1 | 46' | – | – | – | 20 (14%) | 3 |
| 4 Moritz Jenz D | 6.1 | 4' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 10 Alvyn Sanches M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 31 (23%) | – |
| 13 Dominik Pech M | 6.0 | 4' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (43%)
At a glance
Our lean
FC Lugano or draw
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FC Lugano
WWDWW
BSC Young Boys
WDDWD
Last 3 meetings
FC Lugano · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
FC Lugano faces BSC Young Boys in what promises to be a competitive Super League encounter. Young Boys have historically outperformed Lugano, with a strong attacking record, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season. Conversely, Lugano has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Key players to watch include Young Boys' top scorer, whose finishing prowess can exploit any defensive lapses from Lugano. The outcome may hinge on Lugano's ability to stabilize their defense and capitalize on set pieces.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
43%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
33%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
FC Lugano
D. Moncada
3 gls
H. Delcroix
3 gls
BSC Young Boys
S. Essende
10 gls
C. Fassnacht
4 gls
A. Sanches
3 gls
Joël Monteiro
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys
1
FC Lugano Wins
1
Draws
1
BSC Young Boys Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | BSC Young Boys | 1 - 1 | FC Lugano |
| 21 Dec 2025 | FC Lugano | 3 - 0 | BSC Young Boys |
| 31 Aug 2025 | BSC Young Boys | 3 - 1 | FC Lugano |
FC Lugano — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Lausanne | W | 0 - 4 |
| 16 Sep | H FC ST. Gallen | W | 4 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H BSC Young Boys | D | 2 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | A FC Basel 1893 | W | 1 - 3 |
| 03 Sep | H Servette FC | W | 1 - 0 |
BSC Young Boys — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Servette FC | W | 3 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A FC Lugano | D | 2 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | H FC Luzern | D | 3 - 3 |
| 01 Sep | A FC Zurich | W | 2 - 4 |
| 29 Aug | H FC Basel 1893 | D | 3 - 3 |
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Lugano
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 7 | +20 | 25 |
| 2 |
BSC Young Boys
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 18 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |
FC Sion
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 19 |
| 4 |
FC Basel 1893
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 |
FC ST. Gallen
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
| 6 |
FC Luzern
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 |
FC Zurich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 |
Servette FC
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 |
FC Thun
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 |
Grasshoppers
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 |
| 11 |
FC Vaduz
|
9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lausanne
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 6 |
BSC Young Boys
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: G. Seoane
1
Keller
33
Bukinac
23
Benito
30
Lauper
22
Schmidt
6
Fernandes
8
Gigović
7
Virginius
10
Sanches
16
Fassnacht
99
Essende
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Keller | G |
| 22 | I. Schmidt | D |
| 30 | S. Lauper | D |
| 23 | L. Benito | D |
| 33 | S. Bukinac | D |
| 8 | A. Gigović | M |
| 6 | E. Fernandes | M |
| 16 | C. Fassnacht | M |
| 10 | A. Sanches | M |
| 7 | A. Virginius | M |
| 99 | S. Essende | F |
Substitutes
| 27 | L. Blum | D |
| 34 | E. Etoski | M |
| 12 | Bahereba Guirassy | F |
| 17 | S. Janko | D |
| 4 | M. Jenz | D |
| 52 | N. Tschanz | M |
| 18 | J. Mall | G |
| 13 | D. Pech | M |
| 9 | K. Sène | F |
FC Lugano
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: M. Croci-Torti
16
Ballmoos
3
Delcroix
17
Mai
6
Papadopoulos
21
Cimignani
27
Santos
8
Grgić
25
Bislimi
2
Karimov
30
Moncada
11
Steffen
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | D. von Ballmoos | G |
| 6 | A. Papadopoulos | D |
| 17 | L. Mai | D |
| 3 | H. Delcroix | D |
| 2 | B. Karimov | M |
| 25 | U. Bislimi | M |
| 8 | A. Grgić | M |
| 27 | Daniel Dos Santos | M |
| 21 | Y. Cimignani | M |
| 11 | R. Steffen | M |
| 30 | D. Moncada | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | B. Castro | F |
| 18 | J. Bichsel | D |
| 7 | E. Alioski | D |
| 28 | F. Gebhardt | G |
| 4 | D. Kelvin | D |
| 24 | E. Pihlström | F |
| 14 | A. Kendouci | M |
| 9 | A. Ajeti | F |
| 23 | G. Ajdin | M |