FC Basel 1893 vs FC Lugano Prediction
FT
St. Jakob-Park, Basel
AI call
FC Lugano or draw
32%
27%
41%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
FC Basel 1893 vs FC Lugano prediction: Sportiko gives FC Basel 1893 a 32% chance of winning, FC Lugano 41% and the draw 27%. Last updated 6 Sep 2026, 16:25.
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Timeline
▮
2'
Dereck Moncada
Yellow Card
Jonas Omlin
⇄ Mirko Salvi
45'
⇄
Ludwig Thorell
⇄ Xherdan Shaqiri
45'
⇄
Jonas Harder
⇄ Metinho
45'
⇄
HT 0–0
Metinho
assist: A. Sow
47'
⚽
1–0
▮
59'
Yanis Cimignani
Yellow Card
⚽
1–1
59'
Yanis Cimignani
assist: Renato Steffen
⚽
1–2
61'
Uran Bislimi
Kazeem Olaigbe
⇄ Philip Otele
63'
⇄
⇄
63'
Dereck Moncada
⇄ Albian Ajeti
Xherdan Shaqiri
Yellow Card
70'
▮
▮
72'
Anto Grgić
Yellow Card
⇄
79'
Renato Steffen
⇄ Elias Pihlström
⇄
79'
Daniel Dos Santos
⇄ Ahmed Kendouci
⚽
1–3
81'
Ahmed Kendouci
assist: Elias Pihlström
A. Sow
⇄ A. Malouda
84'
⇄
▮
85'
Uran Bislimi
Yellow Card
▮
87'
Elias Pihlström
Yellow Card
⇄
90'
Uran Bislimi
⇄ Gjan Ajdin
⇄
90+1'
Yanis Cimignani
⇄ Carbone
FT 1–3
FC Basel 1893
Match Stats
FC Lugano
44%
Ball Possession
56%
5
Total Shots
23
2
Shots on Goal
5
1
Shots off Goal
11
2
Blocked Shots
7
2
Shots insidebox
13
3
Shots outsidebox
10
1
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
0
13
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
444
Total passes
543
390
Passes accurate
485
15
Free Kicks
13
FC Basel 1893
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Metinho M | 7.1 | 45' | 1 | – | 2 | 16 (16%) | 1 |
| 55 Akpe Victory D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 63 (56%) | – |
| 18 A. Sow F | 7.0 | 84' | – | 1 | – | 33 (29%) | 1 |
| 6 Keigo Tsunemoto D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 66 (62%) | 3 |
| 11 Kazeem Olaigbe F | 6.5 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | 2 |
| 9 Žan Celar F | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 15 (12%) | – |
| 4 Bećir Omeragić M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (43%) | 2 |
| 24 Flavius Daniliuc D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 71 (64%) | – |
| 17 A. Malouda F | 6.3 | 6' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 3 Nicolas Vouilloz D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (23%) | – |
| 10 Xherdan Shaqiri M | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 24 (22%) | – |
| 7 Philip Otele F | 6.1 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 7 (4%) | 1 |
| 8 Ludwig Thorell M | 5.8 | 45' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | – |
| 44 Jonas Harder M | 5.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 16 (12%) | – |
| 1 Jonas Omlin G | 4.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 21 (14%) | – |
| 13 Mirko Salvi G | 4.8 | 45' | – | – | – | 16 (12%) | – |
FC Lugano
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Uran Bislimi M | 8.2 | 89' | 1 | – | 3 | 79 (72%) | 2 |
| 21 Yanis Cimignani M | 8.2 | 89' | 1 | – | 3 | 54 (44%) | 2 |
| 14 Ahmed Kendouci M | 7.2 | 11' | 1 | – | 1 | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 3 Hannes Delcroix D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 66 (61%) | 4 |
| 11 Renato Steffen F | 7.1 | 79' | – | 1 | 5 | 44 (38%) | 1 |
| 8 Anto Grgić M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 75 (67%) | – |
| 24 Elias Pihlström F | 6.9 | 11' | – | 1 | – | 6 (5%) | 2 |
| 6 Antonios Papadopoulos D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 41 (39%) | 1 |
| 17 Lars Lukas Mai D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (64%) | – |
| 2 Bekhruz Karimov M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 27 (25%) | 3 |
| 27 Daniel Dos Santos M | 6.6 | 79' | – | – | 3 | 29 (28%) | 3 |
| 16 David von Ballmoos G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (28%) | – |
| 9 Albian Ajeti F | 6.5 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 30 Dereck Moncada F | 6.4 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 9 (9%) | – |
| 23 Gjan Ajdin M | 0.0 | 1' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 44 Carbone D | 0.0 | 1' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (41%)
At a glance
Our lean
FC Lugano or draw
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FC Basel 1893
LWLLD
FC Lugano
WWDWW
Last 3 meetings
FC Basel 1893 · 0W 1D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming Swiss Super League match, FC Basel 1893 will face FC Lugano. Basel has demonstrated strong offensive capabilities, averaging 2.1 goals per game in their last five fixtures, while Lugano has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals in the same timeframe. The last five encounters between these teams show Basel's dominance, with four wins and one draw, suggesting a psychological edge. However, Lugano's recent form indicates potential for an upset if they can tighten their defense and capitalize on counter-attacks. Overall, Basel will aim to leverage their attacking prowess to secure a crucial victory.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
32%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
41%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
FC Basel 1893
Ž. Celar
6 gls
A. Sow
3 gls
X. Shaqiri
3 gls
FC Lugano
D. Moncada
3 gls
H. Delcroix
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: FC Basel 1893 vs FC Lugano
0
FC Basel 1893 Wins
1
Draws
2
FC Lugano Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | FC Basel 1893 | 1 - 1 | FC Lugano |
| 09 Nov 2025 | FC Basel 1893 | 0 - 1 | FC Lugano |
| 10 Aug 2025 | FC Lugano | 3 - 1 | FC Basel 1893 |
FC Basel 1893 — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H FC ST. Gallen | L | 1 - 3 |
| 13 Sep | A FC Luzern | W | 2 - 4 |
| 06 Sep | H FC Lugano | L | 1 - 3 |
| 03 Sep | H FC Sion | L | 1 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | A BSC Young Boys | D | 3 - 3 |
FC Lugano — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Lausanne | W | 0 - 4 |
| 16 Sep | H FC ST. Gallen | W | 4 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H BSC Young Boys | D | 2 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | A FC Basel 1893 | W | 1 - 3 |
| 03 Sep | H Servette FC | W | 1 - 0 |
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Lugano
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 7 | +20 | 25 |
| 2 |
BSC Young Boys
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 18 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |
FC Sion
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 19 |
| 4 |
FC Basel 1893
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 |
FC ST. Gallen
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
| 6 |
FC Luzern
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 |
FC Zurich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 |
Servette FC
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 |
FC Thun
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 |
Grasshoppers
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 |
| 11 |
FC Vaduz
|
9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lausanne
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 6 |
FC Basel 1893
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Mohammed Adil Erradi
1
Omlin
3
Vouilloz
55
Victory
24
Daniliuc
6
Tsunemoto
8
Thorell
4
Omeragić
44
Harder
11
Olaigbe
9
Celar
18
Sow
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Omlin | G |
| 6 | K. Tsunemoto | D |
| 24 | F. Daniliuc | D |
| 55 | A. Victory | D |
| 3 | N. Vouilloz | D |
| 44 | J. Harder | M |
| 4 | B. Omeragić | M |
| 8 | L. Małachowski Thorell | M |
| 18 | A. Sow | F |
| 9 | Ž. Celar | F |
| 11 | K. Olaigbe | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | A. Bačanin | M |
| 5 | Metinho | M |
| 7 | P. Otele | F |
| 27 | K. Rüegg | D |
| 13 | M. Salvi | G |
| 10 | X. Shaqiri | M |
| 17 | A. Malouda | F |
| 37 | G. Koloto | F |
| 41 | J. Doucoure | M |
FC Lugano
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: M. Croci-Torti
16
Ballmoos
3
Delcroix
17
Mai
6
Papadopoulos
21
Cimignani
27
Santos
8
Grgić
25
Bislimi
2
Karimov
30
Moncada
11
Steffen
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | D. von Ballmoos | G |
| 6 | A. Papadopoulos | D |
| 17 | L. Mai | D |
| 3 | H. Delcroix | D |
| 2 | B. Karimov | M |
| 25 | U. Bislimi | M |
| 8 | A. Grgić | M |
| 27 | Daniel Dos Santos | M |
| 21 | Y. Cimignani | M |
| 11 | R. Steffen | F |
| 30 | D. Moncada | F |
Substitutes
| 9 | A. Ajeti | F |
| 18 | J. Bichsel | D |
| 22 | B. Castro | F |
| 28 | F. Gebhardt | G |
| 4 | D. Kelvin | D |
| 14 | A. Kendouci | M |
| 24 | E. Pihlström | F |
| 23 | G. Ajdin | M |
| 44 | João Victor Schlickmann Carbone | D |