FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 3

09 Aug 2026, 14:30

Post on X

FC Luzern

Away

St. Jakob-Park, Basel

AI call Difficult FC ST. Gallen win or draw

54%

24%

22%

Home Win · 2.02 Draw · 4.00 Away Win · 3.68

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern prediction: Sportiko gives FC ST. Gallen a 54% chance of winning, FC Luzern 22% and the draw 24%. Last updated 8 Aug 2026, 08:01.

Premium picks

Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — the AI's sharpest picks across all 70+ markets are Premium.

71% 70%

See Premium picks

Free account

Unlock all of today's AI predictions — free

You've seen today's free previews. Create a free account for the AI call, win probabilities and confidence on every match — plus follow your teams and get the daily digest.

Already have an account? Log in

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Live in-play co-pilot

Go Premium

At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 12.1%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

FC ST. Gallen

WWLWW

FC Luzern

LLDLW

Last 3 meetings FC ST. Gallen · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

FC St. Gallen and FC Luzern meet in the Super League with both teams looking to establish early momentum in the season. St. Gallen will rely on their offensive capabilities, having averaged 1.5 goals per game last season, while Luzern's defense, which conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match, will need to tighten up. The outcome may hinge on St. Gallen's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and Luzern's response to pressure. Key players to watch include St. Gallen’s top scorer and Luzern's defensive stalwart, both of whom could influence the match significantly. Expect a competitive clash as both teams aim to secure valuable points early in the campaign.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

54%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

22%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Luzern goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	4	2	1
1	11	11	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	8	7	3	1
4	4	3	1
5	2	1	1

↑ FC ST. Gallen goals · most likely 2–0 (12.1%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

FC ST. Gallen

E. Owusu 2 gls

L. Görtler 1 gls

FC Luzern

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

24%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

24%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

82% Home (No Draw) 18% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 14% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	3.7%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
1	10.9%	11.3%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%
2	12.1%	9.9%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%
3	8.0%	6.6%	2.7%	0.7%	0.2%
4	4.0%	3.3%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

20%

29%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC ST. Gallen	Draw	FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen	35.4%	2.5%	0.6%
Draw	25.1%	14.6%	5.0%
FC Luzern	4.0%	4.5%	8.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern

0 FC ST. Gallen Wins

2 Draws

1 FC Luzern Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Apr 2026	FC Luzern	2 - 2	FC ST. Gallen
01 Feb 2026	FC Luzern	2 - 2	FC ST. Gallen
24 Aug 2025	FC ST. Gallen	0 - 1	FC Luzern

See all 10 meetings — Premium

FC ST. Gallen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A Sheriff Tiraspol	W	1 - 3
02 Aug	A FC Vaduz	W	2 - 3
30 Jul	A Benfica	L	5 - 0
26 Jul	H FC Zurich	W	2 - 1
23 Jul	H Benfica	W	2 - 1

FC Luzern — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	A FC Sion	L	3 - 0
25 Jul	H FC Thun	L	1 - 3
12 Apr	H FC ST. Gallen	D	2 - 2
06 Apr	A Servette FC	L	3 - 0
22 Mar	H Lausanne	W	4 - 0

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	BSC Young Boys	2	2	0	0	10	2	+8	6
2	FC Lugano	2	2	0	0	6	2	+4	6
3	FC ST. Gallen	2	2	0	0	5	3	+2	6
4	Lausanne	2	1	1	0	2	1	+1	4
5	FC Sion	2	1	0	1	5	4	+1	3
6	FC Zurich	2	1	0	1	3	3	0	3
7	FC Basel 1893	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3
8	FC Thun	2	1	0	1	3	7	-4	3
9	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	2	5	-3	1
10	FC Vaduz	2	0	0	2	3	5	-2	0
11	Servette FC	2	0	0	2	1	3	-2	0
12	FC Luzern	2	0	0	2	1	6	-5	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.