FC Lugano vs FC Zurich Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 3

09 Aug 2026, 12:00

Post on X

FC Zurich

Away

AI call FC Lugano to win

65%

21%

14%

Home Win · 1.54 Draw · 4.55 Away Win · 5.80

FC Lugano vs FC Zurich prediction: Sportiko gives FC Lugano a 65% chance of winning, FC Zurich 14% and the draw 21%. Last updated 8 Aug 2026, 08:01.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 12.9%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

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FC Lugano

WWWWW

FC Zurich

WLWLL

Last 3 meetings FC Lugano · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Super League match, FC Lugano will face FC Zurich. Historically, Lugano has shown a solid home record, but Zurich remains a strong contender with competitive away performances. Both teams have been evenly matched in their last five encounters, with each side claiming two wins and one draw. Key players to watch will be Lugano's attacking threats and Zurich's defensive resilience. Overall, this match is expected to be tightly contested, with both teams vying for crucial points early in the season.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Zurich goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	3	1
1	10	10	3	1
2	13	10	4	1
3	10	7	3	1
4	6	4	2
5	3	2	1

↑ FC Lugano goals · most likely 2–0 (12.9%)

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Players in form

FC Lugano

Y. Cimignani 2 gls

L. Mai 1 gls

FC Zurich

V. Berisha 1 gls

M. Bangoura 1 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

65%

Draw

21%

Away Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

65%

Draw

21%

Away Win

14%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

88% Home (No Draw) 12% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

47% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

70% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	2.6%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
1	10.2%	9.6%	3.2%	0.8%	0.2%
2	12.9%	9.7%	3.6%	0.9%	0.2%
3	9.8%	7.4%	2.8%	0.7%	0.1%
4	5.6%	4.2%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Lugano	Draw	FC Zurich
FC Lugano	43.0%	2.3%	0.5%
Draw	25.1%	12.2%	3.7%
FC Zurich	3.7%	3.6%	5.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

35%

1.5

65%

62%

2.5

38%

83%

3.5

17%

Home Exact Goals

11%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

47%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Lugano vs FC Zurich

3 FC Lugano Wins

0 Draws

0 FC Zurich Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Apr 2026	FC Zurich	0 - 1	FC Lugano
17 Dec 2025	FC Zurich	0 - 1	FC Lugano
18 Oct 2025	FC Lugano	1 - 0	FC Zurich

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FC Lugano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	H NSI Runavik	W	2 - 0
02 Aug	A Grasshoppers	W	1 - 4
29 Jul	A Dukagjini	W	1 - 5
26 Jul	H FC Vaduz	W	2 - 1
23 Jul	H Dukagjini	W	1 - 0

FC Zurich — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Servette FC	W	2 - 1
26 Jul	A FC ST. Gallen	L	2 - 1
27 Jun	H FC Schaffhausen	W	3 - 2
11 Apr	H FC Lugano	L	0 - 1
06 Apr	A FC ST. Gallen	L	2 - 1

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	BSC Young Boys	2	2	0	0	10	2	+8	6
2	FC Lugano	2	2	0	0	6	2	+4	6
3	FC ST. Gallen	2	2	0	0	5	3	+2	6
4	Lausanne	2	1	1	0	2	1	+1	4
5	FC Sion	2	1	0	1	5	4	+1	3
6	FC Zurich	2	1	0	1	3	3	0	3
7	FC Basel 1893	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3
8	FC Thun	2	1	0	1	3	7	-4	3
9	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	2	5	-3	1
10	FC Vaduz	2	0	0	2	3	5	-2	0
11	Servette FC	2	0	0	2	1	3	-2	0
12	FC Luzern	2	0	0	2	1	6	-5	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.