FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 3

09 Aug 2026, 14:30

Post on X

FC Thun

Away

St. Jakob-Park, Basel

AI call FC Basel 1893 or draw

47%

25%

27%

Home Win · 1.90 Draw · 4.20 Away Win · 3.90

FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun prediction: Sportiko gives FC Basel 1893 a 47% chance of winning, FC Thun 27% and the draw 25%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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FC Basel 1893

LWWLD

FC Thun

WLLWD

Last 3 meetings FC Basel 1893 · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

FC Basel 1893 faces FC Thun in their upcoming Super League match. Basel has historically been strong at home, boasting a robust attacking lineup that averages 2.1 goals per match this season. In contrast, Thun's defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. The key battle will likely be in midfield, where Basel’s control could dictate the pace and flow of the game. Both teams will aim for crucial points, making this a pivotal clash in their respective campaigns.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

47%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

27%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Thun goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	5	2	1
1	8	13	7	3	1
2	7	9	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ FC Basel 1893 goals · most likely 1–1 (13.3%)

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Players in form

FC Basel 1893

No scorer data.

FC Thun

M. Gutbub 1 gls

N. Bürgy 1 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Away Win

27%

Draw

25%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Away Win

27%

Draw

25%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 29% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	6.0%	4.8%	2.0%	0.6%
1	7.7%	13.3%	7.5%	3.2%	1.0%
2	7.3%	9.2%	5.9%	2.5%	0.8%
3	3.8%	4.8%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.5%	1.9%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Basel 1893	Draw	FC Thun
FC Basel 1893	24.6%	4.4%	2.0%
Draw	16.5%	17.0%	11.7%
FC Thun	2.7%	4.6%	16.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun

1 FC Basel 1893 Wins

0 Draws

2 FC Thun Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Apr 2026	FC Thun	3 - 1	FC Basel 1893
01 Feb 2026	FC Basel 1893	1 - 2	FC Thun
13 Sep 2025	FC Thun	1 - 3	FC Basel 1893

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FC Basel 1893 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Lausanne	L	0 - 1
25 Jul	A Servette FC	W	0 - 1
26 Jun	A Rapperswil	W	0 - 3
18 Apr	A FC Thun	L	3 - 1
04 Apr	H BSC Young Boys	D	3 - 3

FC Thun — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	H Vikingur Reykjavik	W	3 - 0
01 Aug	H BSC Young Boys	L	0 - 6
28 Jul	A Dinamo Zagreb	L	3 - 2
25 Jul	A FC Luzern	W	1 - 3
21 Jul	H Dinamo Zagreb	D	1 - 1

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	BSC Young Boys	2	2	0	0	10	2	+8	6
2	FC Lugano	2	2	0	0	6	2	+4	6
3	FC ST. Gallen	2	2	0	0	5	3	+2	6
4	Lausanne	2	1	1	0	2	1	+1	4
5	FC Sion	2	1	0	1	5	4	+1	3
6	FC Zurich	2	1	0	1	3	3	0	3
7	FC Basel 1893	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3
8	FC Thun	2	1	0	1	3	7	-4	3
9	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	2	5	-3	1
10	FC Vaduz	2	0	0	2	3	5	-2	0
11	Servette FC	2	0	0	2	1	3	-2	0
12	FC Luzern	2	0	0	2	1	6	-5	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.