Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 23

09 Jan 2027, 15:00

Post on X

ST Mirren

Away

AI call Difficult Kilmarnock win or draw

58%

27%

15%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren prediction: Sportiko gives Kilmarnock a 58% chance of winning, ST Mirren 15% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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73% 71%

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 13.4%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Kilmarnock

DWDDL

ST Mirren

LLLWD

Last 3 meetings Kilmarnock · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Kilmarnock will face St Mirren in a critical Premiership clash, with both teams vying for essential points to improve their standings. Kilmarnock's recent form shows a mix of results, but they will aim to leverage their attacking capabilities, which has seen them score an average of 1.2 goals per game this season. St Mirren, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. This matchup could hinge on Kilmarnock's ability to exploit St Mirren's defensive vulnerabilities, while the visitors will look to capitalize on any counter-attacking opportunities. Overall, the match promises to be a tightly contested affair, with both teams keen on securing a vital win.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

ST Mirren goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	5	2	1
1	13	13	4	1
2	13	9	4	1
3	7	5	2
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Kilmarnock goals · most likely 1–0 (13.4%)

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Players in form

Kilmarnock

No scorer data.

ST Mirren

K. Phillips 3 gls

Samu 1 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

27%

Away Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

27%

Away Win

15%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

79% Home (No Draw) 21% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 15% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	5.1%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%
1	13.4%	12.6%	4.2%	1.0%	0.2%
2	12.6%	9.4%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%
3	7.1%	5.3%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
4	3.0%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Kilmarnock	Draw	ST Mirren
Kilmarnock	36.9%	3.5%	0.8%
Draw	20.5%	17.8%	6.5%
ST Mirren	2.2%	3.6%	8.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

31%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

47%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren

1 Kilmarnock Wins

1 Draws

1 ST Mirren Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
02 Sep 2026	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	ST Mirren
11 Feb 2026	Kilmarnock	4 - 3	ST Mirren
27 Dec 2025	ST Mirren	0 - 0	Kilmarnock

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Kilmarnock — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Hibernian	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Aberdeen	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Aberdeen	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H ST Mirren	L	0 - 1

ST Mirren — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Dundee Utd	L	0 - 3
09 Sep	A Rangers	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Celtic	L	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Kilmarnock	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Motherwell	D	3 - 3

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.